Written by: Brian Neudorff
We all need a break even if you are a die hard snow lover. That is what we get for your Thursday. This morning winds have become more west-southwest and have pushed the lake effect snow out over the lake into the counties off the eastern shores of Lake Ontario and into Syracuse and surrounding areas.
If we get a coating or an inch today I would consider us lucky. We would need the winds to shift back west-northwest. It will be cold with highs in the upper 20s but there will be times of sunshine too.
Our monthly total for December as of yesterday is 44.6 we are 1.6" away from tying the 2008 mark of 46.2" Syracuse picked up another foot of snow yesterday and their monthly total is 66.1"
BEING A SNOW LOVER I REALLY FEEL BAD FOR THE SNOW LOVERS SOUTH OF THE THRUWAY WHO HAVE RECEIVED VERY LITTLE SNOWFALL. HERE IN VICTOR IF 1 INCH COVERS THE GROUND RIGHT NOW THEY ARE LUCKY. THIS YEAR HAS BEEN ALL LAKE EFFECT AND NO SYNOPTIC SNOW. WE HAVE HAD ZERO SYNOPTIC SNOW SO FAR THIS YEAR. IF IT WAS NOT FOR THE LAKE WE WOULD HAVE ZIPPO. WHERE ARE THE SYNOPTIC SYSTEMS?????
ReplyDeleteThat is not true on "ZERO" Synoptic snow. December first many locations around western NY had 3 inches. Granted it is small when compared to 40+ inches but there was synoptic.
ReplyDeleteAlthough we love the big snow storms they are not the bulk of our snow anyway. Majority of our snow comes from lake effect. -Brian
Lyons picked up another 6+ inches last night.West winds continue to blow it around a bit.
ReplyDeleteSal - Thank you for your information. Much appreciated.
ReplyDeleteNews 8.. when is our next chance to get snow? Looks like not for atleast a week?
ReplyDeleteCanadian Radars show a very pronounced veering of the winds to more NW, with the upper ends of the bands dropping south quickly. Isn't this ahead of schedule? If this continues down the band, a very pronounced southward shift of the eastern portion of the bands (our area) should begin this afternoon. Perhaps a surprise shot of snow for Wayne county this evening, and then Rochester overnight?
ReplyDeleteCHANNEL 10 DID SAY SOMETHING ABOUT THAT ON THEIR FORECAST THIS AM.
ReplyDeleteThe latest WRF has the orientation of the bands all wrong for this morning. It seems to be a good 6 hours behind schedule in when it depicts the bands dropping south. Current radar and trends as of 11AM look more like what the WRF is depicting for 5 or 6 this evening. In other words, it seems that band will drop south sooner and in more pronounced fashion than what models are indicating. Here's the WRF animation:
ReplyDeletehttp://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/WRFRAD_12z/jloop.html
DK what does all that mean? Help us struggling weather people who are learning! You seem to have excellent knowledge waht are the models saying about that storm on the 19th and 20th?
ReplyDeleteI agree that the band to the north will slowly drop south. I think the realistic forecast is to think that band touches the northern shores of Monroe and Wayne counties along the 104 corridor. I don't think it means a log of snow for the city at all.
ReplyDeleteI would say along the lake shore there is a possibility of 2 to 4 maybe 3 to 6 inches. It will be tight. Been watching the radar too all morning. Seen more oscillation in that band out over Lake Ontario than a full movement back to the south. I also looked at the band off of Lake Erie I haven't seen much change in winds from that. Still a nice west-southwest flow. I will have more at noon.
Thanks for the update, Brian!
ReplyDelete