tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post3260854475706300678..comments2024-02-13T03:39:18.616-05:00Comments on News 8 Weather Blog: LOCALLY HEFTY LAKE SNOW WESTNews 8 Weatherhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10107233504909304176noreply@blogger.comBlogger40125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-89959105561783740592011-12-11T18:34:34.246-05:002011-12-11T18:34:34.246-05:00Nothing we can do about the weather! Just have to ...Nothing we can do about the weather! Just have to watch and wait for that pattern changer, which, trust me, will happen. It's a matter of when and for how long.Weatherguynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-57639725124466076382011-12-11T16:47:10.515-05:002011-12-11T16:47:10.515-05:00Wow weatherdan you must be right News8 has not mad...Wow weatherdan you must be right News8 has not made a post in days. That sure shows you how dead it is for winter weather. Not looking good.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-44611602038816530622011-12-11T14:16:32.118-05:002011-12-11T14:16:32.118-05:00It really does not look good for snow lovers for D...It really does not look good for snow lovers for December. I still think we will be lucky to see<br />12 inches for the month. There really is no snow in sight.weatherdannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-44093303359750576172011-12-11T10:27:36.645-05:002011-12-11T10:27:36.645-05:00New's 8 Weather team,
How accurate are the lon...New's 8 Weather team,<br />How accurate are the long range models at predicting that temperatures will be above or below normal? I've seen some people commenting here that it's due to be warmer than normal for the next 2 or 3 weeks. Are the models even remotely accurate 2+ weeks out for temperature generalities or trends?<br /><br />Thanks<br />AndyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-44237735937184101422011-12-11T00:07:46.897-05:002011-12-11T00:07:46.897-05:00Yes, there is a bit of potential on the horizon ye...Yes, there is a bit of potential on the horizon yet again (late next week)...but the air looks to be pretty warm. I wouldn't get too excited. I'm just hoping for a white Christmas at this point - and guessing we probably have a 50/50 shot. Winter is coming...slowly.Jo-Sefnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-71532548889614460072011-12-10T23:48:45.717-05:002011-12-10T23:48:45.717-05:00So far so good......
AND NWS predicting above ave ...So far so good......<br />AND NWS predicting above ave temps through the 24th now. Great news!!!!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-2709025361410505712011-12-10T22:05:35.724-05:002011-12-10T22:05:35.724-05:00Remember usually storms that initially look to hea...Remember usually storms that initially look to head to far west usually move further east then expected and those that look to be too far east usually move more westward so maybe we will get the storm to take more of a favorable track to get some snow over us. Its still quite far away from us right nowCharles Wachalnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-73891216499322929702011-12-10T12:02:59.802-05:002011-12-10T12:02:59.802-05:00We have to be positive. I am not so sure that the ...We have to be positive. I am not so sure that the possible storm on the 19th or so date will cut to our west. We may be in the sweet spot this time. Hang in there and think positive we might get a nice storm right before Christmas.Andrewnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-13045678798401854802011-12-10T10:42:50.904-05:002011-12-10T10:42:50.904-05:00Yeah, a storm cutting to our West.Yeah, a storm cutting to our West.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-86064023198830583992011-12-09T23:26:43.015-05:002011-12-09T23:26:43.015-05:00I think there is something brewing for next weeken...I think there is something brewing for next weekend and early the following week!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-25250214130641944022011-12-09T19:19:15.569-05:002011-12-09T19:19:15.569-05:00Euro weeklies say we will be mowing our lawns firs...Euro weeklies say we will be mowing our lawns first week of January. Ok..maybe not that extreme but they're not favorable for winter fans right through the first week of January. <br /><br /> MJO comes out of the circle of death into phase 4..also not good for Eastern US cold.<br /><br />Doesn't necessarily mean we torch for weeks on end. It's just guidance.<br /><br /> Anyone out there understand mountain torque and Brewer-Dobson circulation? I've done some reading but my eyes glaze over and I fall out of my chair. I need some layman terms. Just a basic overview of what they are and what they do?Caledonianoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-87571814373802687062011-12-09T12:42:13.093-05:002011-12-09T12:42:13.093-05:00THE HALF INCH WE RECEIVED IN VICTOR IS GONE. IT WA...THE HALF INCH WE RECEIVED IN VICTOR IS GONE. IT WAS PRETTY OUTSIDE WHILE IT LASTED.WEATHERDANnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-36015310486562859172011-12-09T09:38:55.259-05:002011-12-09T09:38:55.259-05:00Scott, Chance of a squall this afternoon/evening?...Scott, Chance of a squall this afternoon/evening?Davidnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-81739167079299294992011-12-09T09:20:25.991-05:002011-12-09T09:20:25.991-05:00The boundary had a little more umph than I expecte...The boundary had a little more umph than I expected. The rest of the day will behave as expected. It was nice to see a fresh dusting of snow here in Henrietta. <br /><br />ScottNews 8 Weatherhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10107233504909304176noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-86207235991750692262011-12-09T08:42:13.410-05:002011-12-09T08:42:13.410-05:00i thought we were not supposed to see any snow unt...i thought we were not supposed to see any snow until possibly later in the afternoon...the grass is covered here in victor which is a nice surprise. I'm not complaining, just confused as to where this came from all of a sudden, thought scott said no snow till later and maybe a dusting for us. this is great!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-66252913895858777972011-12-09T07:53:12.503-05:002011-12-09T07:53:12.503-05:00Been snowing in Lyons for about an hour. More whi...Been snowing in Lyons for about an hour. More white than green on the ground at this point.Sal in Lyonsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-44843609302053608732011-12-09T07:41:26.897-05:002011-12-09T07:41:26.897-05:00It's snowing in Greece!! Yay!!!!It's snowing in Greece!! Yay!!!!Snowlovernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-34385633408987303882011-12-08T22:12:20.623-05:002011-12-08T22:12:20.623-05:00I love this blog and I agree with others, keep it ...I love this blog and I agree with others, keep it positive. I wish we could be looking forward to a nice lake effect or synoptic snow system, but unfortunately its not in Mother Nature's plan right now! Look at it this way, we don't have to worry about driving in bad conditions during the work week and worry about individuals getting hurt or killed during the bad weather. I do feel bad for the folks that make a living plowing and folks that make $$ with ski resorts and tubing places. Hopefully things turn around as mid to late decemeber approaches!Michele in Penfieldnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-16187170296090947162011-12-08T21:31:34.776-05:002011-12-08T21:31:34.776-05:00It's true that Winter's seem to be more fr...It's true that Winter's seem to be more frequent "small" snows that go away. The last 20 years we have had more 100" seasons than the previous 100 years! Think about that, it's amazing. Either January or February will have 40" I think.<br /><br />ScottNews 8 Weatherhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10107233504909304176noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-64149463659472556072011-12-08T20:51:52.055-05:002011-12-08T20:51:52.055-05:00When I asked my 67 year old parents about winters ...When I asked my 67 year old parents about winters 30-40 years ago, they recall those seasons being more consistently cold and snowier than the last 20 years. My father said it did not snow as often, it seemed, but it stayed around a lot longer and rarely melted.Chris N, Sodus Ptnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-34790536473965612992011-12-08T20:28:34.701-05:002011-12-08T20:28:34.701-05:00After this, no snow in sight for a long time!
So ...After this, no snow in sight for a long time!<br /><br />So far so good!!!! I hope a long time means late Feb with a quick warmup in March to melt it.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-59417229999222971652011-12-08T19:11:30.913-05:002011-12-08T19:11:30.913-05:00Seems I remember winter hardly ever got started be...Seems I remember winter hardly ever got started before the New Year when I was a kid. Might just be selective memory.. but this year doesn't seem that unusual to me. ( As far as lack of snow )<br /><br /> Extremely positive AO regimes are generally longer lasting. Average might be somewhere around 35 days. We are in day 19 of +AO.. so counting forward I'm placing my money on a Christmas Eve miracle storm. <br /><br />Things that contributed to this forecast:<br />1.) A very quick scan of past +AO periods<br />2.) Gut feeling<br />3.) It's the one day a majority of people seem to not mind snow.Caledonianoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-39898022385891727082011-12-08T18:04:20.157-05:002011-12-08T18:04:20.157-05:00Scott,
Have you ever met the NWS M.I.C Tom Niziol?...Scott,<br />Have you ever met the NWS M.I.C Tom Niziol? I found this recent video of him in the Buffalo News talking about recent, major lake effect snow storms since 2000:<br /><br />http://video.buffalonews.com/player/?id=3788Rochesterian4lifenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-10711482187893610432011-12-08T17:39:05.796-05:002011-12-08T17:39:05.796-05:00SnowFan: All these oscillations work together. I...SnowFan: All these oscillations work together. I do see the NAO is forecast to become negative by late December. Usually there is a few day lag time between that and our weather turning. Let me take you back to December 2006. 4.7" of snow for the season through 12/31.<br /><br />We had about 30" in January 2007, 43" in February including that Valentine's Day storm that dumped 21" on the city!<br /><br />ScottNews 8 Weatherhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10107233504909304176noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-14267677590962468202011-12-08T16:50:55.958-05:002011-12-08T16:50:55.958-05:00Snowfan, they're predicting the NAO to move ne...Snowfan, they're predicting the NAO to move neutral to slightly negative in the next 2 weeks....Weatherguynoreply@blogger.com