tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post4060866343364652261..comments2024-02-13T03:39:18.616-05:00Comments on News 8 Weather Blog: Same Old, Same Old...News 8 Weatherhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10107233504909304176noreply@blogger.comBlogger72125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-3893550409015341542015-01-20T17:25:11.705-05:002015-01-20T17:25:11.705-05:00Well he sang a different toon on his telecast just...Well he sang a different toon on his telecast just now so not sure what's up Farmington Snowloverhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02919521822931558122noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-62038481546077764642015-01-20T16:39:15.412-05:002015-01-20T16:39:15.412-05:00Not being pessimistic Farmington. Just calling out...Not being pessimistic Farmington. Just calling out what KW said on his tweet.Snowdognoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-60474480188671292282015-01-20T16:25:40.971-05:002015-01-20T16:25:40.971-05:00I don't mean this in a disrespectful way Snowd...I don't mean this in a disrespectful way Snowdog, but I would hate to be you. So pessimistic. But to each his own. I had to say that last sentence otherwise I would be called out for not letting people express their opinion. Farmington Snowloverhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02919521822931558122noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-49726821691442046352015-01-20T16:13:50.985-05:002015-01-20T16:13:50.985-05:00Looks to be a Long Island/Boston snowstorm. Spect...Looks to be a Long Island/Boston snowstorm. Spectators again!!!!Snowdognoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-70095307253741174802015-01-20T16:11:13.671-05:002015-01-20T16:11:13.671-05:00FROM KW:
NE storm this wknd likely a miss.FROM KW:<br /><br />NE storm this wknd likely a miss.Snowdognoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-1820650686298135792015-01-20T13:54:02.008-05:002015-01-20T13:54:02.008-05:00Still not far enough and will not impact Rochester...Still not far enough and will not impact Rochester. Sorry folks.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-78235524319580198072015-01-20T13:36:10.632-05:002015-01-20T13:36:10.632-05:0012z Euro west too!12z Euro west too!Bobnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-76690195758716756282015-01-20T13:00:17.980-05:002015-01-20T13:00:17.980-05:00So apparently the GGEM ensembles came in before th...So apparently the GGEM ensembles came in before the operational. "F**k it, we'll do it live." lol<br /><br />They're west and amped compared to 00z by the way.Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-48196548362328491072015-01-20T12:36:40.919-05:002015-01-20T12:36:40.919-05:00I guess the GGEM called in sick today. Can't f...I guess the GGEM called in sick today. Can't find the 12z run anywhere I look.Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-59336092966406384322015-01-20T12:14:56.542-05:002015-01-20T12:14:56.542-05:00Right now it still looks to miss us. We will see.Right now it still looks to miss us. We will see.Snowdognoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-92181508853726253682015-01-20T12:00:48.625-05:002015-01-20T12:00:48.625-05:00The past several model run cycles have demonstrate...The past several model run cycles have demonstrated perfectly why writing off the next ten days based on the GFS output is an exercise in absolute stupidity. That big Gulf system which looked destined for the fishes not long ago has made a sudden jump westward, particularly in the Euro suite. This is a storm whose vital time frame sits less than 5 days from now, and yet we've seen a huge shift with such little lead time. This is why I have such a problem with the "models show nothing for 10 days woe is us" people...you can't fully rely on these operational models beyond 3 or 4 days let alone a week and a half. And if our system of interest continues to trend favorably for us over the next several days then it will be far from the first time it's ever happened. All of that said, there are no guarantees that the trend leads to good stuff for us, or even that the trend will continue at all. The northern stream system is still a concern because it could still manage to kick the main system out to sea, and then no one except Bermuda has any fun. But then you look at the overall situation: big amplified coastal storm, Euro seemingly leading a westward charge, ensemble members clustered west of the operational. That's a situation we've seen several times in just the past couple of winters, and it usually ends pretty well for us. Again though, there are absolutely no guarantees, or even any high probabilities or likelihoods. We'll simply have to wait and see what happens.Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-62709867359050767302015-01-20T11:41:46.124-05:002015-01-20T11:41:46.124-05:00Were you expecting something more?Were you expecting something more?Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-4255130995181121002015-01-20T08:05:41.142-05:002015-01-20T08:05:41.142-05:00Looks like models over night trending west with st...Looks like models over night trending west with storm next Sunday/Monday timeframe. Time will tell and would be interesting to see what CCCC says.Bobnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-89642375773037280182015-01-20T06:07:42.494-05:002015-01-20T06:07:42.494-05:00A dusting last night. Yike. This is pathetic. LOLA dusting last night. Yike. This is pathetic. LOLSnowdognoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-90036909194750935232015-01-19T19:24:15.219-05:002015-01-19T19:24:15.219-05:00And of course we need to hear about it several tim...And of course we need to hear about it several times each day, or else mother nature will never call her customer service department back into the office -_-Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-42956534928927065442015-01-19T19:11:23.943-05:002015-01-19T19:11:23.943-05:00Ho hum. Boring boring winter so farHo hum. Boring boring winter so farAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-55064415118318531992015-01-19T16:37:27.528-05:002015-01-19T16:37:27.528-05:00It's much closer to being something decent tha...It's much closer to being something decent than previous runs. The typically flat-biased NAVGEM has an amplified coastal hugger. And the Euro ensembles have a large cluster of members west of the operational run. Kind of a half-hearted comeback attempt, but there is still a tiny trace of hope. The one afterward has a higher chance of delivering, but its ceiling is much lower given its pure northern stream origins.Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-88251524579087709422015-01-19T14:14:41.499-05:002015-01-19T14:14:41.499-05:0012z Euro OTS. Has a storm just can not get it to c...12z Euro OTS. Has a storm just can not get it to come up the coast right now darn.Bobnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-61328200288699416342015-01-19T13:01:00.350-05:002015-01-19T13:01:00.350-05:00We also had three significant storms by this point...We also had three significant storms by this point last season, compared to just one this time around. That's probably why it feels like the difference should be way more than a foot. And if you consider last season's November and December storms then those account for essentially the entire difference. We've simply been unlucky this winter.Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-58626340073724442102015-01-19T12:36:28.734-05:002015-01-19T12:36:28.734-05:00I thought last year was much more snowy than this ...I thought last year was much more snowy than this year at this time but it really was not. Last year at this time we have 49.7" of snow and right now we are at 37.8". I now it is a ft difference but I thought we had more snow last year at this time.Snowdognoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-40558799731984672012015-01-19T12:15:46.383-05:002015-01-19T12:15:46.383-05:00What fantasy land are you getting that idea from? ...What fantasy land are you getting that idea from? If it's about the last sentence in my post then that has more to do with lack of faith in the models as opposed to lack of faith in the pattern. It still looks better for snow chances by the way, but if you're looking for a big storm out of it then you're S.O.L.Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-72638098411182922732015-01-19T12:00:23.645-05:002015-01-19T12:00:23.645-05:00So again really nothing looking good for snow lov...So again really nothing looking good for snow lovers is what CCCC just said. Hope that is about it even with the 1000 pattern change coming posts that said better snow set up?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-25254972556666523302015-01-19T11:54:44.207-05:002015-01-19T11:54:44.207-05:00The outdoor scenery today reminds me too much of e...The outdoor scenery today reminds me too much of early spring. Blech. And we're probably stuck with it until later in the week, when a northern stream low may try to drop us another nickel. The next legitimate chance is still early next week when vigorous northern stream energy currently looks to dive south and develop into something more organized. The way this season has gone so far I'm not holding my breath on it unless and until it reaches slam dunk territory.Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-84905842056928667892015-01-19T11:45:50.446-05:002015-01-19T11:45:50.446-05:00-No model is backing off on anything. Which is unf...-No model is backing off on anything. Which is unfortunate because no one wants super intense cold.<br />-You're only going to be disappointed if you set your expectations high.<br />-Congratulations, your comment is this blog's 1000th complaint to affect zero change on the weather pattern. Mother nature's customer service reps are still on vacation.Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-45545629035968587122015-01-19T10:55:46.639-05:002015-01-19T10:55:46.639-05:00Models are backing off on the cold and every thing...Models are backing off on the cold and every thing. This winter is really going to be a big disappointment.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com