tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post4973551298532184044..comments2024-02-13T03:39:18.616-05:00Comments on News 8 Weather Blog: GETTING A LITTLE INTERESTING...News 8 Weatherhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10107233504909304176noreply@blogger.comBlogger115125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-14478311321601617052014-02-17T13:55:52.232-05:002014-02-17T13:55:52.232-05:00Yeah sure, we always miss storms. Except for this ...Yeah sure, we always miss storms. Except for this year, when we haven't.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-47771218507289871332014-02-17T13:42:02.493-05:002014-02-17T13:42:02.493-05:00In other words there is always something that make...In other words there is always something that makes us miss storms. Downsloping, south and east, west, etc.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-15179850632520635622014-02-17T12:34:45.022-05:002014-02-17T12:34:45.022-05:00This is not a case of "miss to the south"...This is not a case of "miss to the south" as much as it is a case of downsloping causing the atmosphere to dry out. This will substantially cut back on totals across the region, and wasn't evident in previous model runs which tracked the system further south. The Canadian model is apparently not picking up on the downsloping effect, unlike all of the other models. Anyone expecting 3-6 inches is going to be sorely disappointed.Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-38335275338937815132014-02-17T12:21:46.950-05:002014-02-17T12:21:46.950-05:00Why have the local weather folksnot picked up on t...Why have the local weather folksnot picked up on this. All three station say from:<br />- Channel 8 - 1-3"<br />- Channel 10 - 1-2"<br />- Channel 13 - 1-2"<br /><br />Boy if they don't communicate to residents that we can expect 3 to 6 inches by morning - they will have blown it again for many of us who need to prepare for the morning commute. Now wonder if they are wrong about the warm up expected as the week goes on. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-11873370522421530292014-02-17T10:39:20.496-05:002014-02-17T10:39:20.496-05:00Latest Canadian model gives us 3-6 inches?Latest Canadian model gives us 3-6 inches?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-17654512129807160262014-02-17T09:47:56.866-05:002014-02-17T09:47:56.866-05:00Yep again we have a miss to our south and this sys...Yep again we have a miss to our south and this system is looking more robust too. What else is new we have the dry slot.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-44091363856779398852014-02-17T09:40:55.992-05:002014-02-17T09:40:55.992-05:00Towards the end of last week you were now to "...Towards the end of last week you were now to "next two weeks....". Four weeks would bring us to the beginning of April. So are you predicting a blizzard for our area in April? <br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-64639645031630633522014-02-17T09:39:31.799-05:002014-02-17T09:39:31.799-05:00Many of the weather folks have commented on the &q...Many of the weather folks have commented on the "Thruway Snow Derby" and stated that the measurable snow for Rochester has been incorrect and is higher than the numbers reflect. I know along the lake shore, we have over 100" of snow thus far. One area which has been mentioned specifically is Webster with 100+ inches of snow thus far. So to say that we are below normal in snow this year, is not a correct statement for everyone. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-43476606302142559042014-02-17T07:20:24.665-05:002014-02-17T07:20:24.665-05:00We will not get much from this little system tonig...We will not get much from this little system tonight as most of the energy will slide south of us. We will be lucky to see and inch and then the melting will commence.Snowdognoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-29592697588231816992014-02-16T21:51:29.870-05:002014-02-16T21:51:29.870-05:00Praying for Charles and his family.Praying for Charles and his family.Snowdognoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-12855700415351890442014-02-16T21:26:14.622-05:002014-02-16T21:26:14.622-05:00Oh my that is very sad. I do remember Charles and ...Oh my that is very sad. I do remember Charles and my heart goes out to him and his family.<br /><br />Andy<br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-20572760501768890522014-02-16T20:14:20.067-05:002014-02-16T20:14:20.067-05:00I'm sure some of you who have been on here for...I'm sure some of you who have been on here for a while will remember Charles Wachal. He used to post on here quite a bit. Recently he put up a post that said that his wife was very sick and was having surgery. I was following the Facebook page that someone made for them and sadly she passed away. It's very sad, she was young and they have a small baby girl. Just thought those of you who remember him would want to know. :( Snowluvernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-33594276306848394002014-02-16T20:07:27.415-05:002014-02-16T20:07:27.415-05:00Snowing in Gananda right now as well.Snowing in Gananda right now as well.Snowdognoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-76623030207450607772014-02-16T19:19:53.105-05:002014-02-16T19:19:53.105-05:00Been snowing steady since 2 PM today - easily anot...Been snowing steady since 2 PM today - easily another 3-4" of fluffy stuff here north of 104. I found season to date snow data for Walworth (CoCoRahs) and a spotter has 103". A buddy of mine lives in Walworth and he has had less snow than me so I'd estimate 120-130" here in Ontario/Williamson this year. It's funny that the radar never seems to pick up the snow here (right now for instance it's snowing steady)...<br /><br />Great winter and Mother Nature doesn't seem to be letting up! Chris in Ontarionoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-67133513311240418502014-02-16T19:19:40.440-05:002014-02-16T19:19:40.440-05:00FROM KW:
The late week thaw will be nice, but the...FROM KW:<br /><br />The late week thaw will be nice, but then it is back to ice. The month will end very cold with multiple snow chances.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-7545550098023170822014-02-16T19:18:10.460-05:002014-02-16T19:18:10.460-05:00FROM KW:
Thaw is on, but will be brief and meek, ...FROM KW:<br /><br />Thaw is on, but will be brief and meek, and won't even last a week. Mildest early Friday...perhaps near 50. But snow precedes and follows.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-72196838470727789712014-02-16T16:57:31.741-05:002014-02-16T16:57:31.741-05:00I am with Andy on this one over 100 inches. Hamli...I am with Andy on this one over 100 inches. Hamlin is already well OVER 100 inches this season. It snowed all day today and we got another 4 inches of powder on the north side. So much for a early spring, next weeks warm up is getting cooler and shorter everyday. The ECMWF 12Z run has brought winter back next weekend with a possible snow storm for our area. Time will tell but it still looks very promising for winter fans. This winter has been a municipal snow plowers dream. I got another 33 hrs OT since last Sunday, keep it coming I can catch up on sleep in the spring.HPnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-53333713359073264232014-02-16T16:50:37.445-05:002014-02-16T16:50:37.445-05:00Scott says mini thaw next weekend. I think we will...Scott says mini thaw next weekend. I think we will hit 50s Sat/Sunday.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-57410122008866495222014-02-16T16:22:47.639-05:002014-02-16T16:22:47.639-05:00Also like to draw your attention to the winter of ...Also like to draw your attention to the winter of 83/84 with a snowfall profile that looks much like this winter. We finished that winter at 118."<br /><br />AndyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-40626725445381427572014-02-16T16:17:22.750-05:002014-02-16T16:17:22.750-05:00I don’t use the 30 year average, I use the data fr...I don’t use the 30 year average, I use the data from 1940/1941 to present available at http://www.erh.noaa.gov/buf/climate/roc_snow00s.php. I just dumped it to an Excel sheet for analysis, and that average is 93” and median of 89”.<br /><br />The data does not support a high probability of finishing the winter at less than 100.” If you look at all winters where we finished Feb between 80”-85” for the season, there were 5 since 40/41. Only the winter of 80/81 finished below 100” at 94”, but we also only had 9” in Feb so this year does not look like that year at all. However the other 4 winters were above 100”-- we finished at 121” for 55/56, 106” for 89/90, 107” for 06/07, and 106” for 07/08. We average 15” in March, and seasons resembling this season typically have resulted in hefty March snowfalls, so I’m saying 100” can be taken to the bank, and I’ll stick with 110” as the likely season total.<br /><br />But please Mother Nature, with all due respect PLEASE, no accumulating snow in April or May :)<br /><br />Andy<br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-24960349137830773152014-02-16T15:07:11.237-05:002014-02-16T15:07:11.237-05:00There will be a Blizzard in the Flower City within...There will be a Blizzard in the Flower City within the next 4 weeks. Mark it down!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-75028977500555428942014-02-16T14:56:20.195-05:002014-02-16T14:56:20.195-05:00Wouldn't surprise me if we were over 90" ...Wouldn't surprise me if we were over 90" before February is over. Once this brief warm up begins to break down, the jet stream will be in a favorable position for us to see some decent snow. Remember, there is a deep snow pack from our region north and west. Couple that with the near record ice extent for the Great Lakes and it's going to take some time for winter to retreat north.Weatherguynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-33138465170194511222014-02-16T14:28:31.272-05:002014-02-16T14:28:31.272-05:00No support for 50s in any of the ensemble means. I...No support for 50s in any of the ensemble means. It looks like mid to possibly upper 40s will be as good as it gets for most of us. Normally this would not be enough to create flooding issues, but the passage of a Pacific cold front on Thursday could throw a wrench into that equation. Later next weekend there is strong agreement on a return to well below normal temperatures after the passage of an arctic front. There is the potential for some sort of Eastern system early the following week, but details on it are hazy at best.<br /><br />We average around 100 inches of snow per season. If you want to split hairs then the exact 30 year mean is 99.5 inches. We are currently at 77.5 inches, 22 inches below the average for an entire season. There's a good chance we meet or beat 80 inches by the tail end of tomorrow night's system, which looks like a 2-4 inch event right now. That would put us around 20 inches away from the century mark, and given how much time remains for snow opportunities after the warmup I'd say that isn't a tall order.Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-21123669479834211162014-02-16T14:10:50.225-05:002014-02-16T14:10:50.225-05:00We all know that March could be a bear or we could...We all know that March could be a bear or we could see nothing. Thanks Andy. I am going to say we finish below 100" this year. Where do U get that 93" inches is the average? I thought 100" is the average. This weak system for Monday night will give us maybe 1-3 inches. NBDSnowdognoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-39198006365128761602014-02-16T13:59:19.304-05:002014-02-16T13:59:19.304-05:00Where is CCCC? Update on Monday night into Tuesday...Where is CCCC? Update on Monday night into Tuesday based on latest model runs? Plus, I am saying keep an eye on the week of the24th for a BIG storm somewhere. Probably not here but somewhere on the east coast?Bnoreply@blogger.com