tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post5193754636810539639..comments2024-02-13T03:39:18.616-05:00Comments on News 8 Weather Blog: WHAT DID YOU GET?News 8 Weatherhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10107233504909304176noreply@blogger.comBlogger16125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-18213991020322078582014-12-14T07:43:45.037-05:002014-12-14T07:43:45.037-05:00I hear ya. I have noticed that last winter is tak...I hear ya. I have noticed that last winter is taking on a historical personality that is not truly accurate. Sure, it was a long, cold winter, but it also was a winter that brought us fairly extended warm-ups at least four times. We had three storms in December, all three 10"+ events, but that snow was gone by the second week of January! I think the lore of 2013-14 winter is erasing the fact that was spent ten days in the 40s and 50s in the middle of January! Then, we got rain and warmth in the 40s for two or three days in February. Granted, it was cold and snowy in between those stretches, and winter hung around well in March (including a record low of -9 F) but last winter was not what everyone seems to be shaping it into. The winter of 02-03 was just as cold as the coldest stretches last winter, without the warm-ups! 2010-11 was also a consistently, cold snowy winter with only two warm-ups - one around New Years and one in late February that came and went within 36 hours. That winter did end about two weeks earlier than 02-03 and last winter, though. <br /><br />Kinda makes me wonder what truly happened in some of those famed winters in the past … were they really that incredible, or were they MOSTLY noteworthy and people's recollections somewhat filled in the gaps of what really happened in those seasons...Chris now in Penfieldnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-49996987328113743902014-12-13T18:41:55.788-05:002014-12-13T18:41:55.788-05:00No I still do o just don't want my flight canc...No I still do o just don't want my flight cancelled, kids will be upset. I've never wished for travel to be halted or peopled plans ruined. I just like when it snows. I don't mind driving in it. Farmington Snowloverhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02919521822931558122noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-26040156962943448922014-12-13T18:03:52.499-05:002014-12-13T18:03:52.499-05:00I'm not even remotely invested in this week...I'm not even remotely invested in this week's system beyond how it influences the real system of interest for the following week. Its strength and velocity will determine where the blocking high in Canada ends up, which affects the timing of any coastal transfer scenario.Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-10600972544666977152014-12-13T17:42:25.400-05:002014-12-13T17:42:25.400-05:00The system this week looks more like rain to me an...The system this week looks more like rain to me and then a changeover to snow. Next week and beyond looks to get quite active. Interesting times ahead.Snowdognoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-30254797934029124962014-12-13T12:32:59.625-05:002014-12-13T12:32:59.625-05:00Models are repeatedly trying to suppress the syste...Models are repeatedly trying to suppress the system, which I believe is wrong. We won't have the sort of teleconnection arrangement that would support a system sliding eastward out to sea, plus the BSR would argue for a Miller B type storm. We'll see what transpires, but my advice would be to avoid the models until they've gotten a much better handle on things.Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-62693280161302260412014-12-13T12:27:19.292-05:002014-12-13T12:27:19.292-05:00A bigger storm is a very valid possibility, especi...A bigger storm is a very valid possibility, especially given the amount of moisture any stronger system could bring. The BSR actually does argue for a stronger system.Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-3578549653021182002014-12-13T10:27:43.861-05:002014-12-13T10:27:43.861-05:00Don't love snow so much now!Don't love snow so much now!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-78175773644242056862014-12-13T08:46:30.467-05:002014-12-13T08:46:30.467-05:00Is the storm they are talking about for next week ...Is the storm they are talking about for next week not a big deal, just a little snow or mix depending on track? We r flying to NC on 12/22...is there any threat of anything big happening on models around that time that could mess with our flight?Farmington Snowloverhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02919521822931558122noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-21734969511022123642014-12-13T08:26:29.210-05:002014-12-13T08:26:29.210-05:00Thanks for the data sources. I already used the NW...Thanks for the data sources. I already used the NWS climate page, but had trouble finding "average to date" but the Goldensnowball site does provide that.<br /><br />I'm encouraged with the data. While a snowy November is not strongly correlated with an above average winter, December is. We are off to a good start for December. Lets hope it keeps going.<br /><br />Andy<br />Andy<br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-48782850637039070662014-12-13T07:02:55.546-05:002014-12-13T07:02:55.546-05:00goldensnowball.comgoldensnowball.comAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-32969275131945390592014-12-12T17:37:58.636-05:002014-12-12T17:37:58.636-05:00Hard to believe that even last winter, with all of...Hard to believe that even last winter, with all of its constant snowiness and frigidity, was rescued from the jaws of a green Christmas at the last possible moment. Those big warmups mere days before Christmas seem to happen pretty reliably during otherwise cold Decembers.<br /><br />I just use the NWS Buffalo climate page for all daily/monthly snowfall information, their data is very comprehensive.Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-83698116565120706252014-12-12T17:05:32.406-05:002014-12-12T17:05:32.406-05:00hmm... I like those maps and hope it comes true. ...hmm... I like those maps and hope it comes true. A frequent Christmas Wx frustration is getting snow like we just got only to have it melt before Christmas and then end up with a green Christmas. It definitely seems the forecasted warm up for Sunday and early next week has cooled a fair amount, which is good for keeping snow pack.<br /><br />On another topic, anyone have a good source for daily snowfall averages and cumulative month to date?<br /><br />AndyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-10537106522752124602014-12-12T16:46:38.898-05:002014-12-12T16:46:38.898-05:00Whoops...
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis...Whoops...<br /><br />http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2014121212/ecmwf_T850_eus_8.png<br />http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2014121212/ecmwf_T850_eus_9.png<br />http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2014121212/ecmwf_T850_eus_10.png<br />http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2014121212/ecmwf_T850_eus_11.png<br /><br />Keep this general scenario of a Miller B type coastal transfer in mind going forward. For the record those are generally spread-the-wealth deals and frequently have good results in these parts, but as with anything they are never a guarantee. Obviously way too early for specifics beyond a simple "keep it in mind for now."Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-51655016842158095812014-12-12T16:08:26.906-05:002014-12-12T16:08:26.906-05:00Heard we should look for middle of next week as po...Heard we should look for middle of next week as possible another Winter Storm. What are folks seeing. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-48038144234460914602014-12-12T13:09:42.147-05:002014-12-12T13:09:42.147-05:00Confidence growing in earlier ideas of bitter cold...Confidence growing in earlier ideas of bitter cold XMas-New Year's & beyond. Pattern increases chance of white XMas ROC but not a certainty. KWSnowdognoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-9067752061544239382014-12-11T15:28:33.279-05:002014-12-11T15:28:33.279-05:00Thanks Scott! The frequent updates have been grea...Thanks Scott! The frequent updates have been great.Jo-Sefnoreply@blogger.com