tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post5883255123581448380..comments2024-02-13T03:39:18.616-05:00Comments on News 8 Weather Blog: Another Round of Snow TonightNews 8 Weatherhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10107233504909304176noreply@blogger.comBlogger41125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-48428080574323029822012-02-01T12:15:50.173-05:002012-02-01T12:15:50.173-05:00Us snow lovers have to pack it in. Long range mode...Us snow lovers have to pack it in. Long range models are now suggesting above average temps with hardly any snow for at least until the third week of Feb.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-68909745371273564132012-02-01T11:15:35.613-05:002012-02-01T11:15:35.613-05:00This winter is not good. But the glass is half ful...This winter is not good. But the glass is half full because at least we haven't gotten our 100" of snow in the form of rain. Could you imagine how rotten that would be? We've been lucky in that regard and we've had a fair amount of sunny days. Just trying to be positive.<br /><br />AndyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-48731022065957491392012-02-01T07:56:45.351-05:002012-02-01T07:56:45.351-05:00Yup, the cold forecast keeps getting pushed farthe...Yup, the cold forecast keeps getting pushed farther and farther out. First it was Jan., they were sure the pattern would change now it was this weekend, now it's late next week. Whatever, I can't take this anymore. I need to stop holding on to hope and stop looking at the forecast and just be surprised if and when we do get any snow. Highly disappointed at this winter, nothing we can do about it, it is what it is and it stinks!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-80382610391845117022012-02-01T07:44:18.268-05:002012-02-01T07:44:18.268-05:00I believe we finally have to admit that weatherdan...I believe we finally have to admit that weatherdan is right. There is nothing coming and this winter is shot. He is right 40 inches will be lucky to fall. It is the old wait until next year.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-35096920370965752502012-01-31T23:57:23.962-05:002012-01-31T23:57:23.962-05:00No matter how the rest of this pathetic winter tur...No matter how the rest of this pathetic winter turns out, which, I think will be warm and snowless, this winter will go down in history as being one of the warmest and least snowiest. Even if we receive average snowfall for Feb and March, which we will not, we will be well under 70 inches. My guess is we will top out between 40-50 inches. It is February 1st and I have my windows in my house open and I took the dog for a walk in shorts and a short sleeve shirt. Are you kidding me?weatherdannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-67178582224135768312012-01-31T23:12:48.608-05:002012-01-31T23:12:48.608-05:00Now it is Mid-February that it will get cold and s...Now it is Mid-February that it will get cold and snowy. It keeps getting pushed out every week. It will be June by the time the pattern changes. LOLweatherdannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-39504093584405891532012-01-31T21:34:57.712-05:002012-01-31T21:34:57.712-05:00Yeah I was a little bullish on that Arctic air bui...Yeah I was a little bullish on that Arctic air building over Hudson Bay next week and dropping South. Long range still hinting on a Polar Vortex developing later next week which could result in a period of very cold and snowy weather for mid February. Time will tell!<br /><br />Scott HetskoNews 8 Weatherhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10107233504909304176noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-40923453656226952102012-01-31T18:54:01.270-05:002012-01-31T18:54:01.270-05:00Scott are you out there I posted a question to you...Scott are you out there I posted a question to you earlier about what siad in your forecast last night. Any response?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-40612451109416382432012-01-31T18:40:40.009-05:002012-01-31T18:40:40.009-05:00Phase 8 of the MJO usually means cold in the East....Phase 8 of the MJO usually means cold in the East..along with phases 1, 2, and this time of the year, phase 3. So I'd imagine it's one of the things they are looking at.Caledonianoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-3975635740837025292012-01-31T18:00:39.735-05:002012-01-31T18:00:39.735-05:00Just walked the dog on Jan. 31st without a hat or ...Just walked the dog on Jan. 31st without a hat or gloves or boots.........hoping for some snow in Feb., but also hoping that this mild winter doesn't lead to a terrible spring and summer. While I do like snow, I don't like not having a good spring or summer.<br /><br />I was wondering if this information below from the NWS is what the Channel 8 Mets were talking about in terms of a pattern change in Feb.?<br /><br />NORMALLY A NEGATIVE AO AND POSITIVE PNA WOULD BRING COLD TO OUR<br />REGION...HOWEVER THE MADDEN JULIAN OSCILLATION /MJO/ HAS BEEN STUCK<br />IN PHASE 5 AND 6 OF THE WHEELER PHASE/SPACE PLOT THROUGH MOST OF THE<br />WINTER...WHICH CORRELATES STRONGLY TO ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES<br />ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE UNITED STATES. LATEST GEFS RUNS<br />CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE EMERGENCE OF ANOTHER ROUND OF ACTIVE MJO<br />CONVECTION ACROSS THE WESTERN PACIFIC DURING THE FIRST WEEK OF<br />FEBRUARY...AND ALSO FORECAST THE MJO CONVECTION TO PROPAGATE EAST<br />THROUGH REGION 7 AND TOWARDS REGION 8 DURING THE SECOND WEEK IN<br />FEBRUARY.<br /><br />A SIGNIFICANT SUDDEN STRATOSPHERIC WARMING EVENT JUST FINISHED UP<br />LAST WEEK...AND THE EFFECTS THAT HAS ON THE STRATOSPHERIC POLAR<br />VORTEX GRADUALLY TRICKLE DOWN TO THE TROPOSPHERE AND CAN FAVOR<br />DEVELOPMENT OF HIGH LATITUDE BLOCKING AND NEGATIVE AO/NAO ABOUT 3<br />WEEKS LATER.Michele in Penfieldnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-49172841432928876402012-01-31T17:59:29.772-05:002012-01-31T17:59:29.772-05:00I agree Calendonia, I'm ready to ride my snowm...I agree Calendonia, I'm ready to ride my snowmobile and snow sled with my kids... by March when the sun shines, it sure melts the snow rather quickly and gets messy. I am one snow lover that keeps hanging on to the hope but I'm losing hope rather quickly now that Feb is approching and STILL temps aproaching 40 for the weekend. Looks like the potential storm is no longer according to some of you?? So disappointing!Ginger In Waylandnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-30319810302899628522012-01-31T16:12:27.988-05:002012-01-31T16:12:27.988-05:00A once in a century storm isn't what I was tal...A once in a century storm isn't what I was talking about as a nuisance snow. Lol. If I could ride my snowmobile in it for a week without my house collapsing.. yeah I'd take it.Caledonianoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-44784436916091061922012-01-31T15:56:54.910-05:002012-01-31T15:56:54.910-05:00I give the mets from channel 8 credit.....They mus...I give the mets from channel 8 credit.....They must come on here and just shake their heads...People's pessimism and criticism is entertaining to say the least! <br /><br />Still hoping for winter...Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-12161903162260639942012-01-31T15:28:51.043-05:002012-01-31T15:28:51.043-05:00Oh come on caledonia, wouldn't you take a Marc...Oh come on caledonia, wouldn't you take a March 1993 blizzard if you could?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-88568200444854117482012-01-31T14:58:35.265-05:002012-01-31T14:58:35.265-05:00Scott could you elaborate on your thinking last ni...Scott could you elaborate on your thinking last night during your forecast. You seemed really sure that by midweek next week the cold air will be here and hinted at strong cold and storms. Was I interpreting that correctly?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-45061147987342879352012-01-31T14:31:41.928-05:002012-01-31T14:31:41.928-05:00Well I'm sure it is going to snow again at som...Well I'm sure it is going to snow again at some point. But people like me that need it to stick around so we can go play in it might be out of luck. If an extended period of winter isn't set in by February 10th or so.. I don't want it anymore. Spring snow is highly annoying and useless to me.Caledonianoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-33820139166087276742012-01-31T13:45:25.703-05:002012-01-31T13:45:25.703-05:00I agree the cold will also be weak. It is time to ...I agree the cold will also be weak. It is time to pack it in and move on to the spring and face the fact that we are not getting one big storm in the Rochester metro. A horrible winter for winter enthusiasts.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-81859289592277213102012-01-31T13:14:21.415-05:002012-01-31T13:14:21.415-05:00Looks like on the GFS the EXTREME cold in Alaska g...Looks like on the GFS the EXTREME cold in Alaska gets pushed out by a Western ridge.. but it pushes the cold into Asia. I'd imagine that is going to leave us with marginal temps with any storm no matter what the general pattern is.Caledonianoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-49731861306993002732012-01-31T12:56:10.745-05:002012-01-31T12:56:10.745-05:00I would imagine over the next few model runs the 2...I would imagine over the next few model runs the 2 lows will combine as one stronger low. The exact track will play a huge role in what type and how much precip we get.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-75908238461634961242012-01-31T12:37:11.861-05:002012-01-31T12:37:11.861-05:00That system for Monday does not look impressive at...That system for Monday does not look impressive at all. It looks to split into 2 weak systems as it heads northeast and get even weaker before heading well South of us and off the coast. It does look to get colder next week though, but no BIG storms.weatherdannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-46999091874110177902012-01-31T10:24:15.448-05:002012-01-31T10:24:15.448-05:00Good morning everyone,
A coating to an inch or tw...Good morning everyone,<br /><br />A coating to an inch or two of snow fell across the area last night, & wasn't more due to less forcing than originally thought. So that's it for January with regards to snow. Today will be well into the 40s with some sun to finish out January. Appropriate that we finish this month on such a mild note considering this month, & the whole winter for that matter, has been so feeble & balmy. We officially ended the month with just about 20" for the month here in Rochester leaving us about 8" below average. Now what about February? February will start very mild with no snow, big surprise, right!? Temperatures will be well into the 40s Wednesday morning with a few rain showers before it turns a bit colder during the afternoon in the wake of a cold front passage tomorrow. <br /><br />Right now Thursday through Sunday looks mainly quiet & more seasonable with some sun & maybe a passing snow shower or flurry from time to time, but that's about it. Come later Sunday night into Monday a storm will try to deliver some precipitation to the region. The big question will be the ultimate storm track. This will determine how much, & the type of precipitation we see. Stay tuned. <br /><br />Have a nice day everyone!<br /><br />News 8 <br />Meteorologist (AMS Seal)<br />John DiPasqualeAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-90522197509606363432012-01-31T10:03:14.001-05:002012-01-31T10:03:14.001-05:00Weatherdan all I can tell you is that the PV is go...Weatherdan all I can tell you is that the PV is going to be dropping a great deal. In fact it may drop down to the Gulf of Mexico! This means get ready for the polar air from Cananda. It is going to get cold cold late next week. At least we know we will have cold air in place for any potential storm.Andrewnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-18729714170870122782012-01-31T09:53:28.480-05:002012-01-31T09:53:28.480-05:00However, all of them seem to be on the change for ...However, all of them seem to be on the change for the middle of next week. Scott is pretty good and he was pretty strong in his belief that things will change by next Wednesday. I believe it will!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-81223720146140757392012-01-31T09:43:32.586-05:002012-01-31T09:43:32.586-05:00It is hard to get excited anonymous when we have b...It is hard to get excited anonymous when we have been told week after week and month after month od an impending pattern change and it does not happen. I will believe it when it actually happens.weatherdannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-33082872136590562732012-01-31T09:37:54.207-05:002012-01-31T09:37:54.207-05:00Going to drain the old gas out of my snowmobile an...Going to drain the old gas out of my snowmobile and put it away for the year. I might even drive up North and spend money at all the places I normally would during a normal winter. I'd imagine some of them will be going out of business without any traffic this year.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com