tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post6833314592184747908..comments2024-02-13T03:39:18.616-05:00Comments on News 8 Weather Blog: WINDY, WET & MILD TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...News 8 Weatherhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10107233504909304176noreply@blogger.comBlogger102125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-34820961651615197722014-02-24T11:55:16.844-05:002014-02-24T11:55:16.844-05:00Yes GFS did show something to keep an eye on or th...Yes GFS did show something to keep an eye on or the next Monday period. I believe it is the Monday timeframe. Interested if the EURO run today shows anything.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-75139509165818862542014-02-24T11:43:27.387-05:002014-02-24T11:43:27.387-05:00The GFS has shown a storm pretty consistently (the...The GFS has shown a storm pretty consistently (the last 3 runs or so) for early next week:<br /><br />http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2014022412&time=INSTANT&var=PRMSL&hour=183<br /><br />not particularly strong but plenty of golf moisture. It's tracking it into Ohio river valley before an energy transfer to a coastal low. Could be something to watch. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-27363063985039586512014-02-24T11:18:07.463-05:002014-02-24T11:18:07.463-05:00No updates from last nights EURO and the 12z GFS t...No updates from last nights EURO and the 12z GFS that just ran? Thinking must be nothing to talk about potential wise.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-20023739187358997752014-02-24T07:40:08.678-05:002014-02-24T07:40:08.678-05:00Now you are down to days vs. weeks. Now you are down to days vs. weeks. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-75029036652673720442014-02-24T07:22:45.520-05:002014-02-24T07:22:45.520-05:00Come on guys, this blog is turning into a bashing ...Come on guys, this blog is turning into a bashing other people game. Lets respect everyone's opinion. Snowdognoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-92225226055930124182014-02-24T06:25:10.705-05:002014-02-24T06:25:10.705-05:00There is a petition here please sign to change the...There is a petition here please sign to change the way facebook is treating me and others in the same situation.<br /><br />https://www.change.org/petitions/facebook-allow-next-of-kin-access-to-a-deceased-family-member-s-facebook-accountCharlesnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-10487215520095946592014-02-23T23:45:18.953-05:002014-02-23T23:45:18.953-05:006 or 7 inches over the course of a whole week isn&...6 or 7 inches over the course of a whole week isn't much any way you slice it.<br /><br />Just keep digging through that needlestack, that hay has got to be in there somewhere...Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-18501439004320484482014-02-23T23:37:21.512-05:002014-02-23T23:37:21.512-05:00Rochester's most accurate disagrees does not s...Rochester's most accurate disagrees does not see much for city and our official numbers at airport. No talk about several shortwave disturbances this week on his forecast. Snowdog and I looking good for under 100.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-44294876311856656372014-02-23T23:35:42.268-05:002014-02-23T23:35:42.268-05:00Don't look now, but there's a nice band of...Don't look now, but there's a nice band of snow coming down towards Rochester from out of nowhere.Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-74187146824873878622014-02-23T23:29:56.847-05:002014-02-23T23:29:56.847-05:00It's not quite "nothing" but it'...It's not quite "nothing" but it's definitely not too compelling. It looks like a decent system is trying to work its way northeastward out of the western Gulf states by March 3rd.Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-88332561440071992592014-02-23T23:25:56.126-05:002014-02-23T23:25:56.126-05:00Figured nothing happening maybe that will change w...Figured nothing happening maybe that will change week of March 3rd.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-40735528372154698102014-02-23T23:25:22.555-05:002014-02-23T23:25:22.555-05:00Not unreasonable to think we'll be up around 8...Not unreasonable to think we'll be up around 85 inches for the season by the end of the week.Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-80434402539544500632014-02-23T23:22:07.968-05:002014-02-23T23:22:07.968-05:00So far it's through Day 6, and it depicts basi...So far it's through Day 6, and it depicts basically what's been said here already. Light snowfalls adding up over time.Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-15446012766058317772014-02-23T22:47:51.380-05:002014-02-23T22:47:51.380-05:00OK got it CCCC but I think the cold is going to ov...OK got it CCCC but I think the cold is going to over achieve and surprise people. Anything interesting on Oz GFS?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-31491531349586277832014-02-23T22:41:25.331-05:002014-02-23T22:41:25.331-05:00When I mentioned the lambasting I was referring to...When I mentioned the lambasting I was referring to what usually happens when a storm forecast goes wrong. Many people get all up in arms about how "the weather guy can't ever get it right" even though they at least get very close 97 percent of the time. Oh well.<br /><br />Scott never goes out on a limb with storm potentials because those are a lot trickier than large scale patterns. The general pattern can be reliably predicted more than a week out thanks to ensembles, but storm systems have no such benefit until the medium range (4-6 days). Speaking of ensembles, the Euro ensemble mean is much less aggressive with the cold than its operational counterpart, as are the other ensemble means and operational models. So the 12z Euro is a cold outlier.Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-70245405762192690542014-02-23T22:30:39.928-05:002014-02-23T22:30:39.928-05:00No one is lambasting Scott. Plus CCCC am I wrong w...No one is lambasting Scott. Plus CCCC am I wrong with -28C temps on 12z EURO today thought that would mean below zero temps here? What did surprise me was Scott posting that 4 days ago for 9 days out. He never does that with a potential storm just shocked when he posted that about potential severe cold. Not sure why he went out on a limb maybe it was that direct southern drop from north pole that amazed him and he got excited.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-81107293303335920902014-02-23T22:26:57.461-05:002014-02-23T22:26:57.461-05:00As for "fighting for every last inch," I...As for "fighting for every last inch," I will gladly fight tooth-and-nail for any inch that gets us closer to 100 :PMantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-52542768828016529512014-02-23T22:18:45.714-05:002014-02-23T22:18:45.714-05:00All indications at the time pointed towards much s...All indications at the time pointed towards much sharper cold than what is currently being depicted. Definitely can't fault someone for going with the evidence, that's how science is supposed to work after all. I wish more people understood this, then maybe we wouldn't see such misguided lambasting of our wonderful meteorologists from laypeople when a forecast goes wrong...Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-27496355085129347772014-02-23T22:15:44.311-05:002014-02-23T22:15:44.311-05:00Scott what I do not get is the EURO today had -28 ...Scott what I do not get is the EURO today had -28 C temps for our area would that not be at least -5 to -10F this time of year? When I saw that I did think you were right.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-33922843676121962962014-02-23T22:13:34.795-05:002014-02-23T22:13:34.795-05:00I did read Scott's post. I also read the NWS d...I did read Scott's post. I also read the NWS discussion, and they mentioned the shortwaves I brought up. I feel as though Scott will elaborate more in his full forecast.Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-76270227210439691422014-02-23T22:12:12.662-05:002014-02-23T22:12:12.662-05:00I find humor in watching people fight for every la...I find humor in watching people fight for every last inch.<br /><br />As for Scott's prediction. It was days out. Good for him with the update. Can't hammer Scott for being 10 degrees or so off that far out. It's still going to be quite cold.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-31330878346570648442014-02-23T22:06:48.053-05:002014-02-23T22:06:48.053-05:00I prefer to go with Rochester's most accurate....I prefer to go with Rochester's most accurate. Please read his above post. Thank-you Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-85242092448407993982014-02-23T22:04:19.347-05:002014-02-23T22:04:19.347-05:00We've got 2-3 solid weeks of snow chances rema...We've got 2-3 solid weeks of snow chances remaining after this week, probably closer to 3 the way things are looking in the ensembles and long range models. Don't count your chickens before the hen's been impregnated. Besides it's not like the airport can't slowly bump the snowfall numbers up during this kind of pattern. There will be numerous small shortwave disturbances yielding area-wide light snowfalls, and there's still a chance that the midweek system becomes something a bit more substantial. Then there's the following week, which has already been discussed here at length.<br /><br />But I suppose you and Snowdog can continue to ignore facts and logic if you really want to. There's always a miniscule chance that the blind fool finds the hay in the needlestack after all...Mantis Tobogganhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11104491137465766315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-19811345913882586152014-02-23T21:49:23.675-05:002014-02-23T21:49:23.675-05:00Wow the Arctic Air is modified Scott does not have...Wow the Arctic Air is modified Scott does not have one day below zero when he was talking record cold last week. Scott will winds be with this cold to create low wind chills?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5793508672957135735.post-59596092905271903972014-02-23T21:34:44.048-05:002014-02-23T21:34:44.048-05:00Thanks Scott! There you have it. As the Dog and I ...Thanks Scott! There you have it. As the Dog and I been saying no big storms for at least 7 days and probably more. That means time for snow is shrinking so under 100 inches looking good Dog.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com