2" FROM THE RECORD NOW!
Written By: Scott Hetsko
Rochester is now just a measly two inches from the all time record of December snowfall. Official records date back all the way to December 1884 when records were recorded downtown. What is amazing is that 4 of the top ten December snows have happened after the year 2000.
I pretty confident that we will record our first 50" December month in recorded history!
Rochester is now just a measly two inches from the all time record of December snowfall. Official records date back all the way to December 1884 when records were recorded downtown. What is amazing is that 4 of the top ten December snows have happened after the year 2000.
I pretty confident that we will record our first 50" December month in recorded history!
Brian, Scott, Whens our chance for more snow, Lake effect or storm?
ReplyDeleteDavid
JUST MY THOUGHT. NO STORMS IN SIGHT. MAYBE A LITTLE LAKE EFFECT NEXT WEEK. LET THE PROFESSIONALS ANSWER THOUGH.
ReplyDeleteGood Afternoon Scott, do u think were going to get snow of any kind lake or storm christmas eve/day in Lyons???????
ReplyDeleteChannel 10 website has windy and snow next Tuesday and Wednesday. They have not been very good with their forecasts lately but it looks like they are saying we could get some next week not flurries!
ReplyDeleteWell no one can Forecast the weather, i mean they are humans and they all make mistakes.
ReplyDeleteI am wondering what the experts are feeling about that weekend Noreaster I am not so sore this one is going OTS. If fact with the La Nina pattern this may go west young man and the question how far west? The GFS run at 10:30 tonight should be interesting!
ReplyDeleteI think that Low is going to come up the coast. The blocking High will cease back up to Cananda and the low will retrograde back and give us wrap around snow and yes LES.
ReplyDeleteIs it me or is that band heading south?
ReplyDeleteYep we'll see snow showers overnight but nothing significant. As for next weeks storm, it will be off the coast and likely won't be close enough initially. Later in the week it could stall and swing some lake snows here.
ReplyDeleteScott
Well are we going to get snow for christmas eve and day then??????
ReplyDeleteYou think I can tell you that now? We're 9 days away. I will say that we should keep most of what we've got and may get some more before Christmas Day. A white Christmas is a good bet.
ReplyDeleteScott
Hey Scott, do you think we will see a storm New Years eve 2018 on the long long long range model?
ReplyDeleteOr is it going too far East?
or too far west???
ReplyDeleteI think its going to start out with snow, change to rain, then freezing drizzle before ending with a long period of accumulating grapple, 3-6'....
ReplyDeletethere was a light 1-2 inches of snow in Ontario, NY
ReplyDeleteCharles,
ReplyDeleteHow deep is the snow out in Ontario?
What's all this blossoming stuff on the radar? Is this synoptic??
ReplyDeleteAbout 20 inches
ReplyDeleteHow much has the airport picked up between last night and now? We need just less than 2" to hit the all time snowiest record. Every little bit counts now.
ReplyDeleteI do not think we will find out till NWS releases there afternoon update on it... around 4-5 PM
ReplyDeleteUnless they issue a record report after we break the record
ReplyDeleteThe blossoming is still lake effect. No synoptic snow. As for reports. I haven't seen anything yet. I did see a report of 5 inches of fluff this morning in Irondequoit as of 3:20am and I know they got more during the 5am hour. -Brian
ReplyDeleteYeah, i saw that 5" of fluffy on the report this morning. Sort of surprised me. I picked up about 1-2 inches overnight at my location on the east side of Rochester.
ReplyDeleteAs of 3:30am on my car I brushed off maybe an inch or inch and a half in Brighton. -Brian
ReplyDeleteRochester probably got 1 tenth of an inch short of the record
ReplyDeleteBrighton would be in line with the airport on a west-ish wind. So if Brighton got that much, it might be a good bet that KROC did as well. Can't wait to see the official number!
ReplyDeleteWhens out next chance at snow. Lake effect or storm?
ReplyDelete3 inches of fluff in Gananda. Surprised
ReplyDeleteNo storms on the horizon.
ReplyDeletesnow seems to be blossoming over Rochester
ReplyDeleteThe GFS is trying to develop something Christmas day and after.
ReplyDeleteI'll be talking long term about the Christmas Day potential for a mid atlantic low. Looks like it will happen but of course then the discussion becomes how far North will the snow shield reach. At this early point, looking good for snow in Philly, DC area.
ReplyDeleteScott
The afternoon update is out and we are sitting at 44.9 inches for the month ... still have not broken the record
ReplyDeletenot from warsaw, but im from perry...not snowing too hard but its covering the roads quick and they are starting to get bad, nothing out of the ordinary, just take it slow if headed this way!! Dave from Perry
ReplyDeleteThe new GFS has it closer to us, but still a miss for the Christmas day storm. I am sure it will change 1000 times before then. It will be fun to watch.
ReplyDeletecan someone explain what the GFS is in laymans terms Sally
ReplyDeleteThe GFS is a computer model that uses mathmatical calculations to forecast the weather
ReplyDeleteLook at this forecast for the mountains in California. WOW!!!!!
ReplyDeleteOvernight: Snow. Low around 30. Breezy, with a south wind around 24 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 17 to 23 inches possible.
Saturday: Rain and snow. The rain and snow could be heavy at times. High near 38. Windy, with a south southwest wind between 25 and 31 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 10 to 16 inches possible.
Saturday Night: Rain and snow. Low around 33. Breezy, with a south southwest wind between 16 and 23 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 17 to 23 inches possible.
Sunday: Rain and snow. High near 38. Breezy, with a south southwest wind between 18 and 24 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 16 to 22 inches possible.
Sunday Night: Snow. Low around 27. Breezy, with a southwest wind between 20 and 24 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 9 to 13 inches possible.
Monday: Snow. High near 32. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.
Monday Night: Snow. Low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.
Why are you posting the whole week forecast for the mountains in California?
ReplyDeleteJust thought it wold be intersting to see how much snow they are supposed to receive. 1-2 feet per day.
ReplyDeleteNot the nickle and dime stuff we always see.
ReplyDeleteIt looks like that storm for Christmas is heading right for us, but then veers South and misses us. There is no HIGH pressure North of us, so it is strange that it would not hit us. Someone is going to get a pretty good snowstorm for later Christmas day and night.
ReplyDeletethats the government with the haarps controling the weather
ReplyDeleteBut let's say the government is controling the weather and steering storms in directions of their choosing. How would the GFS forecast model know that and depict it? That part doesn't add up, unless you're saying that HAARP has the computer models like the GFS and Euro programed in advance to steer the storm the way the government plans it? That's pretty elaborate even for the biggest conspiracy theorists. We don't even know how to cure cancer yet we can control the weather?
ReplyDeleteThe last GFS run takes the stormay little bit northwest! Nice...
ReplyDeletelink?
ReplyDeleteAnything new on the possible Christmas storm?
ReplyDeleteChristmas storm still looks to go mainly south and east of us. We may get in a bit of very minor snow shower activity from it - maybe some lake effect on a moist flow around it. But all in all, there are NO indications of having a direct impact from it. To far away.
ReplyDeleteAgree with DK this will be minor for us. The big cities will be more involved with this storm. We will not get any major stroms this winter. It will be similar to last winter. We will get our totals from LES.
ReplyDeleteDo we have any snowfall in sight?
ReplyDeleteChristmas day storm will be too far south Snow showers will be about all we see.
ReplyDeleteScott
Another synoptic snow miss. There is a shocker. What happened to the La Nina effect and storms going to our West. Same as last year. Storms go to our West, or South and East. Same old story year after year after year after year.
ReplyDeleteI have heard/read from several weather experts that Dec. might be our coldest/snowiest month of the winter. I'm hoping that's the case since I have had close to 5 or 6 feet in my backyard here in Lyons since the month started.
ReplyDeleteDo your guys at News 8 agree that we just might be living through the worst month of the winter?
That would suck if December was our winter and that was it. Since there are no storms in our future hitting the 50 inch mark at the airport might not happen.
ReplyDeleteQuite weather no storms on the horizen has brought this forum to a screetching halt.
ReplyDeleteWell.....you all might want to look at the latest 18z run of the GFS. Major snowstorm projected to slam Rochester on Christmas Day. I'm talking high winds, heavy snow adding up in feet.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_pcp_150m.gif
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_p60_180m.gif
Not what Scott said and he is the best!
ReplyDelete