SNOW 3 HOURS TO THE EAST TODAY
Written By: Scott Hetsko
Image: Time Warner Albany
Your looking at a traffic image on the Thruway near Exit 2 in the Albany area this afternoon. A stalled coastal low continues to feed in moisture as far West as Utica tonight. There are Winter Weather Advisories up for a few inches of slushy snow this evening in the Catskill and Capital region.
Further West in the Rochester area, expect great weather to dominate this week. Sunshine will increase as will temperatures. Temperatures will soar to the lower 60s by Friday afternoon.
Hi Scott,
ReplyDeleteDo you see any signs of a fundamental pattern change to truly wintry weather yet? Anything at all in the long range? A lot of us snow folks are getting really nervous that we'll experience another bust of a November with no measurable snowfall. By the end of next week we'll already be half way through the month!
I do see signs of Polar air dropping South into the Great Plains around the 18th-20th of the month. We'll see if that air will move East into New England or not...
ReplyDeleteI sure hope it does. Correct me if i'm wrong, but I think a typical la nina pattern would suggest that the cold air retreats back to the north before it's able to make it far enough east to impact us with any significance. If that's the case, it may have a hard time reaching WNY - at least not the core of it. One the other hand, it might bode well for a storm track that rides along the edge of that cold air. And if it can slide just enough to our east, we might get in on a little synoptic snow. Or maybe a lot if you trust last night's 0z run of the GFS. That run was in dream land for us with a bombing out storm buring us with heavy wet snow and lots of wind. But yeah, i'm no meteorologist by any means, i'm just speculating with the limited knowledge of have of this stuff.
ReplyDeleteThanks for the tease!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
ReplyDeleteSome of the models are hinting at major cold, but I have one specific reason to be skeptical at this point, and that is the PNA is not projected to go positive at that point, which will make it very difficult to spill in the large chunks of polar air into our region - even with a somewhat negative AO and NAO. Just my opinion.
ReplyDeleteScott do you think we'll have snow flakes back in the forecast for later next week?
ReplyDeleteThe real signs of cold may come the week of Thanksgiving but it's too early to tell. It's really early in the season but I expect the last 10 days of November to be more Wintry.
ReplyDeleteI can't wait to see your winter outlook on the 20th. Hopefully by then we'll have the prospects of our first measurable snowfall within long range sight.
ReplyDeleteScott,
ReplyDeleteWhen the time comes (hopefully sooner than later), for the community to be asked to report backyard snow totals, what is the best medium to relay that info to you?
Also, I just have a thought that might make this blog even better. What if you promoted / advertised the blog to the community as the main location to report snow amounts and general weather conditions during major storms? I know some folks used it during the late Februray 2010 storm, but I think not many people knew or thought to go to the blog to report them over an email, for example. Also, it would be generally easier for folks to quickly jump on the blog and report totals / conditions rather than login to email. I think you will see this blog light up during big storms if in advance of the storm you up the promotion of the blog and advise people to hop on and tell us how much snow they got and what's going on.
Just a thought.