Thinking Spring in WNY
Written by: Stacey Pensgen
Alright, you guys asked for it, so here it is. We've had a long and tough winter, and it's time to talk about some "brighter" weather (pun intended).
After one last piece of energy slides off to our east on Monday, taking with it clouds and chilly temperatures, high pressure will ridge in bringing plenty of sunshine by Monday afternoon. Temperatures will jump from the 20s early Tuesday into the 50s by the afternoon, and that's where we'll stay for the majority of the week. I wouldn't be shocked if we nudge 60 readings by the end of the week (although not guaranteeing it, of course), which we haven't felt for almost 4 months.
So, as we "Spring ahead" it looks as though Mother Nature has decided to think Spring, as well!
I have to add - this is the kind of forecast that you love putting together; that just puts you in a good mood, especially after 120" of snow!
ReplyDelete-Stacey
Best news I've heard in 3.5 months.
ReplyDeleteYes, as a snow lover, even I am happy to see some warmer temps come in. The snowpack is mostly gone, so this will really help to thaw out and warm up the soil. Soon, we'll gasing up our lawn mowers! It would be great if we had a repeat of last spring when it was in the 80's by April 2nd. Not counting on being quite that warm though. That doesn't happen every year in these parts.
ReplyDeleteI agree, even us snow lovers are excited about the warm up. I love the different seasons...I'm ready for the change to spring..seeing the ground is nice, but now I can't wait for the mud to dry up..so much outside clean up to do. Looking forward to this wonderful week!
ReplyDelete...but, as has been the case so many times since Dec, we are waking up to another inch or so of snow. The familiar sound of the snow plow going by is getting old. Let's hope we finally turn the corner this week.
ReplyDeleteSo is it final? Take the mowers out and get them ready? Put the plows and salters away?
ReplyDeleteyeah, we woke up to snow, but look outside now. It's not even noontime yet, and the snow is, poof, gone. That's March for ya.
ReplyDeleteThe temperature has been at or below freezing all morning. So the March sun angle alone melted all this snow. Pretty cool stuff.
ReplyDeleteI would get that lawn mower ready, but I wouldn't take that plow off the truck yet. Despite how good the next 7 to 10 days look, A quick hitting, overnight 6 inch snowstorm can still happen right through April. And late March / April snowstorms are the very ones that need a plow the most because the snow is very wet and heavy. I'd wait another 4 to 6 weeks before officially writing off snow until next fall. Just can't trust the weather this time fo year in this lattitude.
ReplyDeleteSooo happy for this forecast. We are moving March 25-26th. We were worried about the weather but as of right now its looking great!!! :) :)
ReplyDeleteIt is over! The winter is over DK mark it down. Nothing on the long range models. The blog can shut down until December. Lets have a great spring and a hot summer!. Enjoy all.
ReplyDeleteTo Anonymous who wants us to shut this down. Not going to happen. There is still plenty to talk about. We like all weather not just snow. We would love to keep this blog active into the summer. We post, we did last summer people just didn't come to comment much.
ReplyDeleteAlso, what have we learned about models and even long range models this winter. I feel like a broken record. So many of you put WAY TOO MUCH faith in them. Well this model says this and this model says that, the truth is they're always saying something and especially with long range models they usually not saying much despite what they may or may not be showing.
Weather forecasting goes way beyond models. Anyone can look at a model but the cardinal rule of weather forecasting is don't live by the models alone. I will be the first to admit there have been times I have broken this rule. Maybe more than I'd like to admit but still I know it and when the model is wrong I won't blame anyone else but myself for being narrow sited.
As for winter being over, not so fast. It's not that I see anything in particular but I have seen and experienced too many winters around the Great Lakes that just when you get the first good mild streak of warmth and you are thinking spring "BAM" you get hit with a winter storm. If it's ever snowed in April or May (which it has) then by no means should anyone say it is over.
Back to blog topics, what kind of topics would you liked discussed this spring and summer? There has to be a few of you that like other weather besides snow? Let us know what you want to talk about what topics you like. Also, it's almost that time when we start to get ready for the severe weather special. It's great to do but it is even better when we know we are giving you the viewers the info you want to know.
I would like to know why the lake breezes always blow out of the northeast on hot summer days...
ReplyDeleteI couldn't have said it better, myself, Brian.
ReplyDeleteA TRUE weather enthusiast finds interest in talking about more than just snowstorms. I love to track those lake breezes in the spring. How about last spring when a California-like Marine Layer came inland leaving areas north of 104 shrouded in blinding fog and temps in the 40's, while at that same exact time, Henrietta was pushing 80 degrees with brilliant sunshine. That's just as exciting.
How about the flash flooding that occurred in the city of Rochester last summer, putting the area around East Ave near Wegmans under water for 30 minutes? That's just as exciting.
How about those days when it's already 80F at 9AM, and 89F by noon. Tracking how many places hit the 90's while it stays a chilly 65 on the lake shore is exciting.
I could go on and on with this, but you get my drift.
Keep this blog going full steam ahead ALL YEAR ROUND! Weather is exciting, and there's never a shortage of weather no matter what time of year!
Scott, Brian and Stacey,
You meteorologists are great. I know I speak for many others when I say I greatly appreciate this blog. It would be very missed if it didn't exist. Nevermind the negative commenters. They're probably like that with everything in life.
Brian,
ReplyDeleteDuring the summer, I would love to hear people report on the blog their backyard temperatures. It will be cool to see the contrast between lakeshore communitues and places down around Dansville, which is notorious for being one of the hottest locations during the summer.
Thunderstorms that fire up along the convergence between lake Erie and Ontario then travel east along the Niagara Escarpment into Monroe county is also very fun to watch.
Anybody heard of an "Onion Snow"? What's it mean?
ReplyDeleteI too want this blog to run 365 days a year. people talk about the weather ALL THE TIME...not just winter. This is one of the first sites i go to everytime I jump on the internet.
ReplyDeleteSame here. This blog is on my 'favorites' on my computer. I check it all the time while i'm at work and at home.
ReplyDeleteScott, Brian or Stacey,
ReplyDeleteIs there any chance of radiation reaching the U.S if a meltdown were to occur at one of the Nuclear plants in Japan?
Keep in mind as he nuclear material spread away from the source it dilutes so by the time it would travel 5000 miles it would not be a concern. So no worries here in the United States. -Brian
ReplyDelete