A Little Snow this Week
The weather will remain unseasonably chilly through much of the week, & while we will likely see a little snow from time to time this week, especially Wednesday, the more substantial storm system shown above will stay far enough away to really not impact us late tonight into Tuesday. Highs will range from the mid 30s to low 40s right through the week, with a couple of cold fronts setting off some snow shower activity & a few squalls Wednesday & possibly a bit again on Thursday. Possibly a coating to an inch or two, maybe a bit more in the most persistent lake snows, could fall in spots with these systems for the middle of the week but that should be the worst of it. Later Friday into Friday night a warm front will try to push in & could set off a bit of snow &/or a mix before flipping to drizzle & a little light rain at times over the weekend. Temperatures come the weekend will likely warm back into the 40s to possibly up around 50 by Sunday, as we kick off December Saturday. We'll see how successful the warm front is in getting through Friday night/Saturday...
Have a great start to your week WNY!
Ho humm. Boring!!!!
ReplyDeleteNot complaining just really feelin that there is something tom this climate change. I think our winters will now become like last years. Our snow and cold will be no where it used to be because of global warming. I know it is only November but we average I believe at least 8 inches in the month of November. Look at last year and this year in November. I think December is going to be the same. Just think what we experienced last winter and are experiencing now will be the norm from now on.
ReplyDeleteThe reason last winter, as well as this early winter it seems, have been so mild and snowless is because of a very unfavorable pattern over the Pacific Ocean, not global warming. That said, the stunning lack of active weather in November the last 4 years can't be ignored. We've gotten a total snowfall of 0.9 inches in the last FOUR Novembers COMBINED. Our winters are starting later and ending earlier, which thus far is the most noticeable impact from global warming on winter weather here. Seasons like last season won't become the norm until about 50 years from now, assuming the upward trend in global temperatures continues during that time. Which I trust it will, but by then I will have moved to Newfoundland...
DeleteIf you look at at all the long range models, a warming trend will start this weekend, and as it looks now, a green Christmas once again. Yes, I am starting to believe our Winters are becoming less and less each year. Here is my prediction for this winter based on the squirrels running around in my back yard. Colder than normal, with hardly any snow. Why? Because the squirrels have heavier coats, and are not burying their nuts that deep in the ground.
ReplyDeleteThere is no expert on Earth who can reliably predict weather more than two weeks in advance, yet somehow you've managed to predict a cold AND snowless winter using squirrels. Impressive.
DeleteAs for a green Christmas, I wouldn't bet money on it at this point. Christmas is just under a month from now, and the only models that can predict weather that far away aren't very good at it. If by December 12th all indications point to a green Christmas, then I'll be concerned. For now, I'm not worried and you shouldn't be either :)
Euro weeklies don't agree with a warming trend right through Christmas.
ReplyDeleteFor around the last 40 years something like more than 40% of our Christmas's are green, so really not that uncommon.
ReplyDeleteAndy
Some years we have a white Thanksgiving followed by a green Christmas. It is way to early to be worried about having no snow for Christmas. Many years we have alot of snow before Christmas only to see it melt away just before the big day. It is basicaly a coin toss 50/50. Either way we will get what we get, lets all hope it is more snow than last winter. At this point it is all we can do. Still very early so we should stay positive. It will snow this year.
ReplyDeleteCPC outlook discussion:
ReplyDeletehttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/fxus06.html
8 to 14 day period may have some promise, but confidence is only 3 out of 5 and I'm not sure the Pacific pattern would even allow something like that to happen.
I just want the sun to come out. This is depressing.
ReplyDeleteLets calm down it may be meterlogical winter but really still is fall
ReplyDeleteGreat news---chance of 60 by Tuesday!!!!!
ReplyDeleteSo far so good.
And then we're back to colder weather soon afterwards. Didn't mean to burst your bubble...actually I did sorry ;)
Delete14 day forecast is for above ave temps--that gets us to mid Dec. A few cold days no biggie at this time of year. Starting to shorten up the winter. Nope my bubble is hangin' in there just fine so far.
ReplyDeleteThink I'll go out and idle my antique car for an hour, might help the global warming.
You'd rather pollute the atmosphere than deal with a little cold and snow? For shame. By the way one of the trade offs of warmer winters is a higher frequency of dangerous heat waves and destructive thunderstorms, but I suppose you don't have to shovel those things...
DeleteNext week is pretty high confidence for warmth, but the following week is up in the air, although the past few days have shown a growing tendency towards cold. I don't know what 14 day forecast you're talking about, but if it's from accuweather I have bad news for you...
Don't feed the "so far so good" troll. Ignore.
ReplyDelete