Brisk, Raw Tuesday on Tap
Written by John DiPasquale:
Hello all! The same old story today with more mild weather & eventually it will turn quite wet again come late today, & especially tonight into Tuesday. Temperatures will slowly dip back into the mid & upper 30s Tuesday afternoon, which should cause the rain to at least mix with, if not change to a bit of wet snow before ending Tuesday night. Little, if any, accumulation will occur for most, but there may be a slushy coating to an inch or two over the high terrain south, especially in Wyoming County. Still a little too warm for most of us to see much if any snow with this storm, though.
Now after a quiet, cool Wednesday, we will warm back up with some rain developing Thursday in advance of a powerful storm that will chill us down & flip any rain showers to some snow during the day Friday with lots of wind to boot. The colder air should deepen, along with quite a bit of moisture in the air should be just what we need to get some accumulating snows & lake snows going around here late Friday into Saturday. That will be a bit strange to see for sure!! Perfect timing though, for what looks to be good odds for a white Christmas if latest indications hold. A little more lake snow MAY fly Sunday right through Christmas Eve, as it stays at least seasonably chilly, but of course this is still a week away, so we'll see if this holds, but it definitely looks promising snow lovers! Hard to say how much, but looks safe to say that at least some, if not most, will be able to say bye-bye grass & hello winter white! Stay tuned.
Hey, John. Thanks for the info. Any idea how much snow for Friday and Saturday? I guess I am asking, are we talking big storm or just your average every day snowfall? Will travel be affected?
ReplyDeleteDon Paul of WIVB, responding to a blog post:
ReplyDelete"it will depend on the precise boundary layer wind direction, but some part of the Rochester area should get some decent snows, if not hefty."
I like our setup for sizable lake effect snows Friday night through Saturday if this verifies. Favorable 850 mb wind alignment but AS IMPORTANT the relative humidity in the boundary layer will be high at that time period. That's important so as the lake won't have to work hard to PRIME the layer.
ReplyDeleteStop dreaming, a white christmas looking better for Rochester area.
Scott
I'm crossing my fingers as hard as I can.
DeleteAmen. Good news Scott.
ReplyDeleteScott, Will the lake snow be in the normal areas east of Rochester? Or will it include western Monroe and Orleans county?
ReplyDeleteScott: how much snow are we talking here?
ReplyDeleteFrom recently issued NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook:
ReplyDeleteACCUMULATING SNOW APPEARS LIKELY FOR THE ENTIRE REGION...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW EXPECTED SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES AND ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN.
Sweet baby Jesus it's about time.
Is this for Friday or Saturday?
ReplyDeleteFROM THE NWS:
ReplyDeleteA STORM SYSTEM MAY BRING STRONG WINDS AND ACCUMULATING SNOW TO
THE REGION LATE THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. STRONG WINDS MAY BEGIN
THURSDAY NIGHT AS A POWERFUL COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION. THERE
IS A CHANCE THESE WINDS MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE SOME MINOR
DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK.
RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW BY FRIDAY MORNING...WITH PERIODS OF SNOW
CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY. ACCUMULATING SNOW APPEARS
LIKELY FOR THE ENTIRE REGION...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW EXPECTED
SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES AND ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN.
THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS LOW
AND THE DETAILS AS TO WHERE THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HEAVIEST SNOW
WILL BE. STAY TUNED TO FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN THE COMING DAYS FOR FURTHER UPDATES.
Finally Finally Finally
yea - finally!!!!
DeleteI can do without damaging wind...but please let the snow pile high.
ReplyDeleteI'd say most areas will get at least a few inches of snow with higher amounts North of Route 5/20 Friday night and Saturday. Depends on if that low slows down over Eastern New York which would help enhancement bands.
ReplyDeleteScott
So, all day Saturday, too, or ending Sat. morning.
ReplyDelete12z run of the Euro showing the low a little further south and east... Scott, you feel pretty confident that this will be a cutter, or do you see a potential for the storm track to shift and play out into a more classic double-barrel low scenario?
ReplyDelete