COOL AND WET IN GENERAL THIS SUMMER
 |
| PREDICTION BY NEWS 8 TEAM IN MAY |
 |
| OBSERVED SUMMER WEATHER THROUGH AUGUST 18TH
Written By: Scott Hetsko
After a warm start for much of June, the cooler and rainy Summer we expected to develop indeed has since early July. July was a top 5 for rain in Rochester dating back to 1870. Temperatures so far in August have averaged nearly 3 degrees below the norm. As for the upcoming Winter....c'mon it's too soon!!!
|
"As for the upcoming Winter....c'mon it's too soon!!!"
ReplyDeleteNonsense! Heresy! It's never too early to talk winter! In fact I'm already compiling what I need to make a post about the winter of 2015-16, with a preliminary sneak peek at 2016-17 as well!
In all seriousness I think a number of us just want something to talk about here during downtime from regular life, because recently the pattern has been pretty dull and shows little indication of producing anything interesting for awhile. I've heard rumblings of a tropical critter perhaps developing in 10 days or so, but I'm not holding my breath. And nice job on the summer forecast, you fine folks absolutely nailed it!
October is winter prediction month. I can't wait! Hope it gets piled into mountainous snow banks this year.
ReplyDeleteAnd I hope it comes via moist and persistent WNW to NW flow of arctic air...I'll be living in Webster for the next 6 months, right along the infamous Route 104 corridor ^_^
DeleteOh.. and what happens if your rain prediction was too low? That would be bananas!
ReplyDeleteAugust has been brutal. The last 14 days nearly 6 degrees below normal highs and the last 4 days nearly 10 degrees below normal highs.
ReplyDeletePrecip for August is running a bit below normal MTD. So August isn't wet so far but the cool temps provide that dank feel.
July was wet but only on a few select days. Temps were nearly normal.
Last year seemed wetter when the lawn mowing guys fell way behind and couldn't keep up. Haven't seen that happen yet.
Could really suck if August doesn't turn around soon.
Are we going to luck out and not get the heavy rain today?
ReplyDeleteUnless the rain has yet to form off to our West or south, I'm not seeing it. What I thought would hit us has passed to our East. Let's hope we get a break.
ReplyDeleteI'm sure it will rain. I'm just hoping the forecast I saw for an inch or more in places doesn't happen.
ReplyDeleteYeah unfortunately starting to see some convective activity South and West. Hopefully we don't get it for long duration.
ReplyDeleteSome areas of Wayne county got between 0.5" to 0.75" this afternoon. Rain didn't develop to the West as expected. A continued risk for showers and thunder tomorrow.
ReplyDeleteGood. Glad we missed all that rain. We need several weeks of dry time especially for the farmers.
ReplyDeleteHopefully the trend toward dry continues. The forecast favors dryer.
ReplyDeleteHope mother nature gives us a good September since August was largely poor.
Someone at USA Today didn't think things through...
ReplyDeletehttp://i.imgur.com/8BWbP40.jpg
(warning: NSFW-ish)
LOL... that made my day!
DeleteI am hearing a lot about this upcoming winter being cold and snowy. Any truth to that Carol?
ReplyDeleteAnother snowy winter like last year would be nice. Fewer thaw cycles would be appreciated.
DeleteSo you enjoyed us going through the polar votex with 25-30 below wind chill.
DeleteIt stands a better chance of being cold and snowy IF we end up with either a weak west-based El Nino or an El Nino Modoki. It's true that a lot of outlooks are pegging us for a cold and snowy season, and not just the usual run of Youtube wannabes predicting the worst of winter to conveniently occur right in their backyard. Remember that we had a number of reputable sources calling for yet another blockbuster winter in 2011-12. I may or may not have repressed most of my memories from that season but I do believe it was rather toasty with not much snow...
DeleteAs for 25-30 below wind chill...yeah can we not. Being outside in that for even 5 minutes at a time was nearly unbearable. We love snow and long stretches with deep snow cover here at the News 8 Weather Blog, we don't enjoy having barbaric wind chills low enough to make Satan's weenie fall off.
No, I can do without the polar vortex, but it doesn't have to be bitter for snow. In fact bitter often is too cold for snow. I just could do without the melts so we get a good base.
DeleteLooks like some warmer and dryer weather is due for us through next Thursday. Let's hope as we are owed it after a mostly poor August.
ReplyDeleteDon't want warmer. I'm ready for fall.
ReplyDeleteThose who have diligently maintained their pools despite the poor swimming weather this summer deserve their dues. I'm fine with it as long as it doesn't herald a lengthy stretch of balminess.
ReplyDeleteI am one of those. Crystal Cherlene clear water, ready to be iced over, so to speak, at a cool 69 degrees. I can't tolerate that much shrinkage.
DeleteI can't take the mosquitoes much longer. They are ridiculous.. can't even go outside.
ReplyDeleteYes, with the wet weather, mosquitoes seem to be bad this year.
DeleteWow. It looks like we may actually get 4-5 days of sun. Miracles happen.
ReplyDeleteYes it looks like if we get through today without rain, we got a good chance of 6-7 straight days without rain! Interestingly we are still below normal MTD on rain.
ReplyDelete