Wet weather Tuesday into Wednesday
Written by: Scott Hetsko
A series of low pressure systems travel to our West the next 36 hours. A flood of warmer air will arrive Tuesday but it won't be sunny. Rounds of rain will fall especially Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Well over an inch of rain is possible by noon Wednesday. Localized flooding of small creeks and streams is likely due to a combination of rain and ice melting. A flood watch is in effect for the area for this eventuality. Colder air and wet snow is likely Wednesday night. The pattern remains the same around here since early January!
Your cohorts on the other stations are saying freezing rain on Wed before change to snow. What do you think?
ReplyDeleteI doubt it. Colder air will work in aloft AND at the surface on Wednesday. Usually that means rain over to wet snow without any icing problems. You can live on what computers say alone!
ReplyDeleteScott
I mean "can't" live on computer models alone...:)
ReplyDeletewell it looks like winter storm now
ReplyDeleteChecked out the 15z sref 850 for wed. mid-day. much warmer than the 9z. what thinks you?
ReplyDeleteLooking at everything, other than the 18z Nam (which is on the fence and usually too cold), everything says rain to me. Making me sad.
Please make the storm suppress south by about another 75 miles Scott.
David dvdmw@aol.com
so you think we will all get rain?
ReplyDeleteScott are you still thinking snow/sleet for Gates and north or have you started to think more freezing rain? 10 & 13 are making this sound like a potentially major icing event.
ReplyDeletealso what about wayne county with zr
ReplyDeleteYeah, I heard about some major icing too, but it looks like only 10 is trying to run up a panic at Wegmans now... lol!
ReplyDelete10 is always the worst for trying to make weather news rather than report it. Even when we are having a decent stretch he'll throw in a comment about "big changes" in the future.
ReplyDeleteHowever the 13 forecast is not comforting either though not as draconian as Williams'. So I'd still like to know Scotts' latest thinking on this.
I hate winter but I'd rather see 10 inches of snow than 1/2" of ice.
I'm sorry it's been all day to write to you guys! I love the conversation! Here's what I'm thinking as of 11 p.m. tonight. Given what I see in obs in Southern Michigan tonight, it's most likely that we'll wake to a moderate to heavy wet snow for areas North of I-90. More icy mix in central Livingston, Wyoming counties and the finger lakes region where temperatures aloft won't hit sub-freezing values until late a.m. or early p.m. Impressive amounts of precipitation from about 4 a.m. through noon. Ice accumulation could reach 0.5" South, should not be enough to cause a "MAJOR" ice storm. Hang on, a busy Wednesday ahead!
ReplyDeleteScott Hetsko
I'll take snow, ice, or whatever mothernature wants to thow at us up here over those storms down in the midwest! Scott, did you get a chance to look at the "supercell" from mississippi over 300 miles north past Nashville? Are we looking at a result of global warming?
ReplyDelete