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Our weather blog brings you expert perspective on the latest weather news. Our weather experts share the inside scoop with blog entries from the studio and from the field. Check out the latest weather news and storm coverage in our most recent blog entries.

Tuesday, August 25

NOT MUCH SUMMER THIS SUMMER

It's not your imagination. We have seen our fair share of cool, wet weather this summer. The large scale pattern has featured a large ridge of high pressure across the Western and Central U.S. and a trough of low pressure over the Northeast for the past few months. This has led to a record setting wildfire season over the Pacific Northwest while our rainfall has been well above average.

Temperature-wise, we've only seen a handful of those hot, humid days. Since May, Rochester has officially recorded just three 90 degree days, compared to the average of nine. Last summer wasn't much different with just three days at or above 90.



Good news though for those wanting some more summer weather! Although we're dealing with the fall-like conditions this week, long range signals point toward another stretch of some very warm and humid weather by the end of August and continuing into the first part of September.

This is the outlook from the Climate Prediction Center calling for well above average temperatures across the Northeast by the end of the month:


Written By: Meteorologist Matt Jones

Friday, August 14

DOG DAYS RETURN

We've seen a few brief periods of hot and humid weather so far this summer but for the most part, it's been a relatively comfortable few months.

August is notorious for producing some very hot and humid weather and it looks like we have plenty over the next several days as the large scale pattern changes across the Northeast.

High pressure will set up over the Mid-Atlantic this weekend and a cold front will slowly approach from the west. The flow around the high and ahead of the front will tap into some very warm and humid air currently to our south and bring in north into the region.



In fact by Sunday and Monday, many locations could be flirting with that 90 degree mark and depending on how much sun we see, some locations will climb into the lower 90s. Along with the heat, humidity levels will be ramping up making it feel even hotter.

Here's where the forecast gets a bit tricky. A few days ago, forecast models were showing a pretty substantial cooling trend by the middle of next week but latest trends show only some minor cooling with temperatures quickly heating up again by the middle of next week. Long range signals suggest that this hot and humid pattern could stick around for quite some time. Here's the latest outlook from the Climate Prediction Center showing above average temperatures in the Northeast through the end of the month.



Written By: Meteorologist Matt Jones

Friday, June 26

A WEEKEND WASHOUT

It's already been a very wet month in Rochester with nearly double the amount of rain that we normally see and it looks like we'll be adding a lot more to the bucket over the weekend.

An unseasonably strong area of low pressure currently developing across the Ohio Valley will slowly make its way into western New York Saturday with rain overspreading the region. By afternoon, the rain will become heavy at times and a gusty east wind will develop making it a day to stay inside.

Confidence in seeing significant rain is high since almost all of the major forecast models are in agreement.

The GFS model is showing a general 1-2" of rain for most of the region with locally over 3", especially across the Southern Tier.


Another very reliable model, the ECMWF is painting a similar picture with widespread 1-2" amounts and locally over 3".



Along with the widespread rain, gusty winds over 30 mph will make it very uncomfortable to be outside. Temperatures will be nearly 20 degrees below average with highs struggling to climb into the lower 60s by Sunday. 

Written By: Meteorologist Matt Jones







Thursday, June 11

Nasty Late Spring Storms, Possible Tornado

The severe storms that rolled through western New York Wednesday night produced dozens of reports of wind damage, and MAY have spawned a tornado. Storm relative velocity did indeed indicate some rotation within the storm. A tornado warning was posted for Ontario county, while the storm originated in southern Monroe county and showed rotation starting just south and west of Rochester. So, was it a tornado that caused the widespread damage? We don't know...yet. The NWS Buffalo is heading out this morning to survey the damage, looking at the damage pattern to see whether it was a tornado, or straight line winds. Tornadoes aren't common in WNY, but they aren't unheard of. Remember when a tornado hit Hilton? And another one Corfu back in 2009? We should know more later today from the weather service regarding Wednesday's storms. 

Saturday, May 16

STORMS HERALD CHILLY AIR

After our brutal winter, we've really turned a corner so far in May with several bouts of truly Summer-like air. We've already seen a few days in the 90s and some humidity to go along with the heat. 


Summer warmth and humidity will return to western New York in the next few days as high pressure sets up over the Mid-Atlantic and a strong cold front approaches from the west. The southerly flow in between these two features will pump lots of warmth and moisture in from the south with highs by Monday soaring well into the 80s. 

With more moisture and warmer temperatures, our instability will increase and so will the chance of thunderstorms as we kick off the work week. As a strong cold front approaches from the west Monday afternoon and evening, some of these storms could turn a bit frisky producing very heavy rain and strong winds. 



Once this front moves through, a significantly cooler and drier airmass will arrive from Canada with highs falling well below the seasonal average. In fact by Wednesday, temperatures will struggle to climb out of the lower 50s and combine some wind and it will feel downright chilly! 



Written By: Meteorologist Matt Jones




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