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Our weather blog brings you expert perspective on the latest weather news. Our weather experts share the inside scoop with blog entries from the studio and from the field. Check out the latest weather news and storm coverage in our most recent blog entries.

Tuesday, April 21

CHILLY AIR HERE TO STAY

I hope you've been enjoying the mild weather in recent weeks because the all too familiar pattern that we dealt with for much of the winter is setting up again.

A deep low pressure system will develop over Ontario and Quebec this week and then remain in place for at least the next 7 to 10 days as a blocking pattern sets up across the country. This will ensure us an extended period of chilly, unsettled weather.



Temperatures will turn progressively cooler each day and by Thursday and Friday, highs will struggle to climb out of the lower 40s. Overnight lows will dip below freezing in many areas.

A series of disturbances rotating around the main upper level low will bring scattered showers and gusty winds each day through Friday. Some flakes will mix with the rain at times but little accumulation is expected.

As mentioned, it doesn't look like this pattern will break until the first week in May so keep the sweaters out and pack away the shorts and t-shirts for awhile.

Written By: Meteorologist Matt Jones

Tuesday, April 7

Wet, Not White



Written by: Stacey Pensgen

It seems we have finally turned the page! We've gone from looking at every single run of every single model in search of "the big snowstorm" to looking for the warmth. In typical Spring fashion, we do have some warmer weather in the forecast, but nothing prolonged. Mid-week is kind of gross, with a chilly rain on Wednesday, followed by a less chilly rain on Thursday, and a milder rain on Friday. Temps should hit the mid and upper 60s on Friday  ahead of a system that will drag down another shot of cooler air for the weekend. But, instead of these cooler shots of air being in the teens and 20s, we're now only falling into the 40s! Woohoo!

This really appears like it'll be the trend over the next few weeks, possibly month - nothing prolonged in the "warm weather" department, but rather warm-ups ahead of a storm system, followed by troughiness. So, enjoy these bouts of milder air when they come along, which they will, tempered by cooler air to follow, like Friday and Monday!

Saturday, April 4

TRICKY FORECAST NEXT WEEK

As much as I'd like to tell you it's going to be sunny and 70 for Easter Sunday, it looks like you'll be dodging rain and snow showers during those egg hunts instead. A stationary front will set up south of the Thruway and as a series of weak disturbances move along this boundary, rain and snow will be the result. 



This same front is going to make for a very tricky temperature forecast through much of next week as it wavers north and south across the region. South of the boundary, highs each day will be well into the 50s and 60s while locations north of the front will hold in the 30s. It's still too soon to say exactly where this front will set up each day making for an uncertain forecast. 

It will also be a very active pattern with several disturbances and waves of low pressure moving through. Periods of rain will be the result almost each day and locations along and north of the stationary boundary could mix with snow at times. 

Looking further ahead, signs point to a change in the pattern that will allow for much warmer air to arrive by the end of next week. Unlike our most recent warm spell that only lasted a few days, it looks as though the mild weather this time around could last for awhile. 


Written By: Meteorologist Matt Jones

Saturday, March 28

ACTIVE PATTERN AHEAD


The incredibly persistent pattern that we've seen over the past few months of a massive ridge in the west and a trough in the east will start to undergo some changes over the next week. A more zonal, or west to east flow, will try and establish itself across the country.

As this happens, milder Pacific air will overspread the northeast with temperatures much closer to where they should be this time of year. This same pattern will be active with several fast moving storm systems that will impact the northeast.

Each system will bring some rain and snow showers along with gusty winds but temperatures won't be overly cold thanks to that milder Pacific air that will be in place. Highs through early next week will be in the upper 30s and lower 40s, still slightly below average for this time of year.

A much stronger surge of warmer air will arrive during the second half of next week as a strong low pressure system develops to our west.



Temperatures by Thursday will warm well into the 50s and some forecast models show readings soaring into the 60s!

Beyond this time, the forecast gets very uncertain with lots of disagreement in the various forecast models. Some show a major storm moving up the the coast bringing cold air and snow while others move this storm well to our west bringing another surge of warm air. Time will tell!

Written By: Meteorologist Matt Jones 











Friday, March 27

Late Season Snow

Written by: Stacey Pensgen

I think most of us have been done with the snow and ready to say "goodbye" to winter 2014-2015 for the last month. But, Mother Nature has other plans. With more snow in the forecast tonight (several inches of lake fluff), and a few more shots of it next week, you might be asking, "is it rare to get snow this late into the season?" The answer - no! Going back through all the snowfall stats kept for Rochester, the average last date of 1" or more of snow is April 1. The latest we've ever gotten 1" or more of snow (officially at the airport) is May 10th! Can you say Mother's Day snow?! And just looking back at the last 15 years, 7 of those recorded 1" or more of snow in 24 hours right into April. So, given the severity of the last few months of winter, many of us just want to be done. But, we're not done. And that's not a rarity!

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