While we are basking in sun and what could be out last real taste of summer-like warmth this season, we look back 9 years ago. Lake effect storm "aphid" was hitting western New York, specifically the buffalo area with heavy, wet snow. The rare storm hit so early in the fall season that many leaves still had most, if not all of their leaves. Hundreds of thousands of people lost power for days.
News 8 Weather Blog
with Scott Hetsko, Chief Meteorologist
Monday, October 12
Wednesday, September 30
We've certainly seen our fair share of rain over the past 24 hours thanks to a slow moving front and a deepening area of low pressure moving in from the southwest but there could be plenty more ahead by the weekend.
Joaquin has now strengthened into a hurricane and is expected to become a strong category 2 or even a major hurricane over the next few days as atmospheric conditions become increasingly favorable. Then the million dollar question: Where does it track this weekend and early next week?
Models have been all over the place when it comes to the forecast track and there is a ton of uncertainty in our weekend forecast for western New York. If the storm tracks northwest and into the New England coast, we could see an extended period of heavy rain and gusty winds as far west as western New York. Models this morning however, show the storm taking a sharp turn to the west and moving into the southern Mid-Atlantic late this weekend and early next week.
Here's what the latest GFS is showing:
Still plenty of time for things to change between now and the weekend so keep checking back with us!
Meteorologist Matt Jones
Tuesday, September 15
No, not for Christmas. Not even for snow. We're now getting into leaf peeping season, for all you Fall lovers out there. The I Love NY website issues weekly Fall foliage updates, and this week's is just starting to show some leaves just beginning to change color in the Catskills, highest peaks in the Adirondacks, and the Tug Hill Plateau. According to Accuweather (no, I'm not a leaf expert), the perfect autumn weather conditions for brilliant Fall colors is warm days, cool nights (without frost) and abundant sunshine. If this week's weather is any indication, colors will be vibrant this Fall! Time will tell...
Tuesday, August 25
It's not your imagination. We have seen our fair share of cool, wet weather this summer. The large scale pattern has featured a large ridge of high pressure across the Western and Central U.S. and a trough of low pressure over the Northeast for the past few months. This has led to a record setting wildfire season over the Pacific Northwest while our rainfall has been well above average.
Temperature-wise, we've only seen a handful of those hot, humid days. Since May, Rochester has officially recorded just three 90 degree days, compared to the average of nine. Last summer wasn't much different with just three days at or above 90.
Good news though for those wanting some more summer weather! Although we're dealing with the fall-like conditions this week, long range signals point toward another stretch of some very warm and humid weather by the end of August and continuing into the first part of September.
This is the outlook from the Climate Prediction Center calling for well above average temperatures across the Northeast by the end of the month:
Written By: Meteorologist Matt Jones
Friday, August 14
We've seen a few brief periods of hot and humid weather so far this summer but for the most part, it's been a relatively comfortable few months.
August is notorious for producing some very hot and humid weather and it looks like we have plenty over the next several days as the large scale pattern changes across the Northeast.
High pressure will set up over the Mid-Atlantic this weekend and a cold front will slowly approach from the west. The flow around the high and ahead of the front will tap into some very warm and humid air currently to our south and bring in north into the region.
In fact by Sunday and Monday, many locations could be flirting with that 90 degree mark and depending on how much sun we see, some locations will climb into the lower 90s. Along with the heat, humidity levels will be ramping up making it feel even hotter.
Here's where the forecast gets a bit tricky. A few days ago, forecast models were showing a pretty substantial cooling trend by the middle of next week but latest trends show only some minor cooling with temperatures quickly heating up again by the middle of next week. Long range signals suggest that this hot and humid pattern could stick around for quite some time. Here's the latest outlook from the Climate Prediction Center showing above average temperatures in the Northeast through the end of the month.
Written By: Meteorologist Matt Jones