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Our weather blog brings you expert perspective on the latest weather news. Our weather experts share the inside scoop with blog entries from the studio and from the field. Check out the latest weather news and storm coverage in our most recent blog entries.

Friday, June 26

A WEEKEND WASHOUT

It's already been a very wet month in Rochester with nearly double the amount of rain that we normally see and it looks like we'll be adding a lot more to the bucket over the weekend.

An unseasonably strong area of low pressure currently developing across the Ohio Valley will slowly make its way into western New York Saturday with rain overspreading the region. By afternoon, the rain will become heavy at times and a gusty east wind will develop making it a day to stay inside.

Confidence in seeing significant rain is high since almost all of the major forecast models are in agreement.

The GFS model is showing a general 1-2" of rain for most of the region with locally over 3", especially across the Southern Tier.


Another very reliable model, the ECMWF is painting a similar picture with widespread 1-2" amounts and locally over 3".



Along with the widespread rain, gusty winds over 30 mph will make it very uncomfortable to be outside. Temperatures will be nearly 20 degrees below average with highs struggling to climb into the lower 60s by Sunday. 

Written By: Meteorologist Matt Jones







Thursday, June 11

Nasty Late Spring Storms, Possible Tornado

The severe storms that rolled through western New York Wednesday night produced dozens of reports of wind damage, and MAY have spawned a tornado. Storm relative velocity did indeed indicate some rotation within the storm. A tornado warning was posted for Ontario county, while the storm originated in southern Monroe county and showed rotation starting just south and west of Rochester. So, was it a tornado that caused the widespread damage? We don't know...yet. The NWS Buffalo is heading out this morning to survey the damage, looking at the damage pattern to see whether it was a tornado, or straight line winds. Tornadoes aren't common in WNY, but they aren't unheard of. Remember when a tornado hit Hilton? And another one Corfu back in 2009? We should know more later today from the weather service regarding Wednesday's storms. 

Saturday, May 16

STORMS HERALD CHILLY AIR

After our brutal winter, we've really turned a corner so far in May with several bouts of truly Summer-like air. We've already seen a few days in the 90s and some humidity to go along with the heat. 


Summer warmth and humidity will return to western New York in the next few days as high pressure sets up over the Mid-Atlantic and a strong cold front approaches from the west. The southerly flow in between these two features will pump lots of warmth and moisture in from the south with highs by Monday soaring well into the 80s. 

With more moisture and warmer temperatures, our instability will increase and so will the chance of thunderstorms as we kick off the work week. As a strong cold front approaches from the west Monday afternoon and evening, some of these storms could turn a bit frisky producing very heavy rain and strong winds. 



Once this front moves through, a significantly cooler and drier airmass will arrive from Canada with highs falling well below the seasonal average. In fact by Wednesday, temperatures will struggle to climb out of the lower 50s and combine some wind and it will feel downright chilly! 



Written By: Meteorologist Matt Jones




Wednesday, April 29

Turning the Corner!

Written by: Stacey Pensgen

It looks like we've finally turned that corner. Yes, we've had a few mild days sprinkled in here and there this spring, but it looks like a more prolonged "warm" pattern is developing for us in the Northeast. Temperatures should remain above average into mid-May. Yes, we'll probably have a few cooler days here and there, but at least it's just a few cooler days among plenty of warmer days! That's all for now. Enjoy!

Tuesday, April 21

CHILLY AIR HERE TO STAY

I hope you've been enjoying the mild weather in recent weeks because the all too familiar pattern that we dealt with for much of the winter is setting up again.

A deep low pressure system will develop over Ontario and Quebec this week and then remain in place for at least the next 7 to 10 days as a blocking pattern sets up across the country. This will ensure us an extended period of chilly, unsettled weather.



Temperatures will turn progressively cooler each day and by Thursday and Friday, highs will struggle to climb out of the lower 40s. Overnight lows will dip below freezing in many areas.

A series of disturbances rotating around the main upper level low will bring scattered showers and gusty winds each day through Friday. Some flakes will mix with the rain at times but little accumulation is expected.

As mentioned, it doesn't look like this pattern will break until the first week in May so keep the sweaters out and pack away the shorts and t-shirts for awhile.

Written By: Meteorologist Matt Jones

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