Get your daily dose of weather news

with Scott Hetsko, Chief Meteorologist

RSS FEED SUBSCRIBE BY EMAIL

Our weather blog brings you expert perspective on the latest weather news. Our weather experts share the inside scoop with blog entries from the studio and from the field. Check out the latest weather news and storm coverage in our most recent blog entries.

Wednesday, January 12

EARLY WEDNESDAY SNOW UPDATE

Written by: Brian Neudorff

I expect that there will be a wide range of snow totals this morning. In Rochester and some of the surrounding areas 3 to 4 inches of snow fell overnight. This has left a slick coating on many area roads and highways. I would just remind people give yourself time and be smart as you go to work, school or where ever the day may take you.

The coastal storm is taking over. There has even been thunder and lightning in eastern Connecticut this early morning as the storm deepens and strengthens. I am with a good portion of you who wish that was us but such is the pattern we have been in.

As far as additional snow, I think many could get another 2 to 4 inches with wrap around and some lake enhancement from the Niagara Frontier to the Genesee Valley. This is more of a nuisance snow than a hindrance. Later tonight with a north to northwest wind more fluffy (or as some of you like to call it "fake" snow) will occur. Most north of the thruway and highest amounts east and north of Rochester. I expect a range of 1 to 4 inches for the City with the lower ends the most likely with maybe 3 to 5 inches close to the lake and eastern suburbs of Rocehster into Wayne county.

I would also like to get your snow reports. In the comments below just post your location, when you measured and how much snow you received. Thank you to all for all your input.

65 comments:

  1. About 4 inches in Lyons at 6am

    ReplyDelete
  2. Besides snowfall today, and a little this weekend,what do you think next week will bring? Got a few inches anyway here in pavilion.

    ReplyDelete
  3. 4" in West Bloomfield

    ReplyDelete
  4. Between 4-5 inches Xerox area in Webster by 7 am.

    ReplyDelete
  5. 4-5" - Dewey/Stone Area

    But I sure had forgot what 'real' snow was like to shovel!

    ReplyDelete
  6. Looking at the snow reports - http://www.crh.noaa.gov/product.php?site=buf&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF&format=ci&version=1

    It appears our 3 to 6 was right on target. Yes a lot of this was Lake enhanced but still there is that synoptic component.

    Additional 2 to 4 is possible by later this evening from Rochester west.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Still coming down moderate to heavy on the east side of Rochester. have 6.5" so far.

    Brian, how much longer is this going to keep up? We're nearing Warning level snowfall here.

    ReplyDelete
  8. We will see a transition from the synoptic over to lake effect. I am still thinking of 2 to 4 additional inches possible for some this afternoon. Definitely think it is still steady through the early afternoon and into the evening. -Brian

    ReplyDelete
  9. Eastside by Powder Mills Park is almost at 6 and 1/2 inches and no it wasn't on a drift. Just measured it. Whoop Whoop!!

    ReplyDelete
  10. Thanks TP. We said 3-6" by noon. Definitely keeping the lake enhancement through the afternoon. -Brian

    ReplyDelete
  11. Just now. Noon just about 6 inches in Newark.

    ReplyDelete
  12. Still snowing at a pretty good clip in Lyons. I have to think we are into the lake effect snow now as radar seems to be having a tough time picking up the snow here in Lyons. I know we now have over 6 to 8 inches in Lyons now.

    ReplyDelete
  13. I know most are saying about 4 in in rochester...I live near highland park so maybe elevation has something to do with it but it definitely seemed like as of 10am we had 6-8 inches, which by now would have to be closer to 8. I'll give an update later when I'm home from work and finished ice skating around the metro in my car.

    ReplyDelete
  14. 8 inches in Bloomfield

    ReplyDelete
  15. Closing in on 8" in the city of Rochester.

    ReplyDelete
  16. How are we doing down in Livingston county? Everybody get at least 4" so far?

    ReplyDelete
  17. Hi DK, I had 5 drives to do this morning! I haven't measured but it it still coming down. If i had to guess, I would say 7 inches. I like it! Brian, do you think that we will continue with snow down here in Sparta (Just about 6 miles south of conesus lake)? Will we get what appears to be coming in from the west?

    ReplyDelete
  18. Chris - I think you could still get a couple more inches before this winds downs. Nice little event. I wonder how "This is No Big Deal only 2" Andrew feels now? Ok all kidding aside I like Andrew and appreciate his contributions to this blog. It's not everyday the meteorologist can give someone a hard time for a weather forecast. It takes guts to come on here and forecast what he did. So keep it coming we appreciate it Andrew and no hard feelings.

    Let us know what amounts you are getting. Keep us updated. If you have family call them and say hey email amounts to weather@rochesterhomepage.net

    Thanks guys.

    ReplyDelete
  19. If anything, I guess you could call this an "overachieving" event. The lake enhancement really took hold today. It's nice to get a little bonus snow rather than what more often seems to happen and we get less than expected.

    And like I said yesterday, with a couple more snow systems coming through between this weekend and next week, our snow pack is going to get impressive around here. Gotta love it.

    ReplyDelete
  20. Just an FYI - The Winter Weather Advisory has been replaced with a lake effect snow advisory. NWS is expecting another 4-8 inches overnight. Counties include Orleans, Monroe, Wayne, Ontario, Yates & Seneca. Livingston, Genesee & Wyoming still under Winter Weather Advisory until 5pm.

    ReplyDelete
  21. Aw, for a minute there, I thought maybe I would see another 4-8 tonight! Anything is possible! If the snow falls, then I have driveways to clear so the more, the merrier!! Brian, you mentioned yesterday that this weekends even will be a 1-3 but what is in store for next week? I know DK has mentioned it a couple times! I am curious! Henry, Hats off to you too as you were talking about this weeks ago :)

    ReplyDelete
  22. It is funny to watch the snow flakes change back and forth from little to HUGE flakes! It is still coming down good here in Sparta! I am hoping the snow off to the west makes it's way to me!

    ReplyDelete
  23. In case you've been looking at the radar that appears to show it winding down, don't be fooled. I just drove from Pittsford/Victor to Henrietta and back, and it snowed like crazy the whole way. Roads are lousy.

    ReplyDelete
  24. 8 inches in Fairport.

    ReplyDelete
  25. Thank you Chris thought the storm would move more west it was by no means a direct hit but it moved close enough to give us more lake enhancement. I am glad the snow lovers got some decent snow still hoping for that 1-2 feet storm sometime this winter. Looking at something Monday-Tuesday not sure what will happen will that one. May give my opinion on that later or tomorrow.

    ReplyDelete
  26. Lake snow will continue tonight 3-7" North and along the thruway by morning. This isn't DIRECTLY from the storm, additional lake snows is all.

    Scott

    ReplyDelete
  27. Lyons: 7" of snow as of 3:45PM, Moderate snow continues, and very windy!

    ReplyDelete
  28. OK Brian I was not correct I concede! However, did not think there would be this much lake enhancement and LES from this storm. But you can not always be right. I will keep trying it is all in fun! Scott not to be predicting again but LES appears to have ceased are you saying the lake will kick up again later tonight and dump 3-7 in the metro?

    ReplyDelete
  29. don't be fooled by the radar... sometimes you have to just look up :) it's still snowing pretty good here in Gates

    ReplyDelete
  30. Snowing outside the station at a pretty good clip too...snow reflects poorly back to radar and thus we don't get the true picture. Ask anyone in Wayne CTY!

    Scott

    ReplyDelete
  31. Definitely approaching 12" if not a solid 12 up by highland park

    ReplyDelete
  32. snowmobile trails are open too!

    ReplyDelete
  33. Yep, radar does not pick up snow all that good. We had about an hour break and it is snowing again pretty good down here in Livingston County! Nice big flakes too!! I pulled up the radar and it shows nothing near me yet it is coming down very nicely :) I would say about 8 inches so far.

    ReplyDelete
  34. Hey Scott I was just wondering what your feelings are about that possible storm next Tues-Weds. time frame.I know you are not a long term model guy in fact you look at way more higher level stuff than anyone to form your predictions and they are almost always right. In fact you had this current one right on for to far east for us to be in the sweet spot eight days ago. I am thinking that we have a good shot to be in the sweet spot with this next one. I strongly believe from the 21st to the end of the month we are going to get some REAL COLD air wondering what you feel about that too. And do you really think 3-7 is a good bet for those north of the thruway tonight because you are the only one thinking those numbers that I have seen. Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  35. Just goy home out here in Marion. Drove down through Sodus. A solid 8 inches and snowing. Maybe a bit more like 10, but hard to tell with the drifting. Enough to venture out on the sleds. So that is where I'm headed now. Came from Boonville today. They didn't do as well up there. 4 to 5 is all and wasn't snowing when I left at 3:00. But sleds were out up there. That's for all the other sledders out there who may read this.

    ReplyDelete
  36. I am reporting from Denver, CO today. Only a few inches here, but brilliant sunshine. One major difference between Denver and Rochester is that when it is 5 degrees here (as it was yesterday), it simply does not feel anywhere near that cold. Is it a "dry cold"? A mile closer to the sun? Not sure. But it was neat watching people with sunglasses and not a lot of heavy winter gear walking the sidewalks.

    ReplyDelete
  37. I came home to 1 ft of snow in Gananda. Pleasently surprised as this was not called for.

    ReplyDelete
  38. I would say it was a good snow event for all! I ended up plowing a bunch of driveways today so it was a good day! Now that we have had a taste, I hope that we get more in the ddays or weeks to come!! Henry has his sights on something for next week. He called this one a few weeks ago so I am hopeful he can go for two in a row!! Lets bring in the snow!

    ReplyDelete
  39. I am still wondering what Scott thinks about the mid-week possible storm next week. I also am wondering what DK and Dave think they are good too!

    ReplyDelete
  40. The NWS states that we will be on the edge of the storm.

    ReplyDelete
  41. Is the lake effect going to redevelop because radar is clear right now.

    ReplyDelete
  42. I do not think there will be much LES for really any areas tonight. Maybe along the route 104 corrider will get some but that it about it. The radar has cleared out.

    ReplyDelete
  43. I agree now that everything has settled in for the night, I don't expect much. I will be making that point later tonight on the newscast. 3-7" overdone, more like 1-3"

    Scott

    ReplyDelete
  44. Wow it has happened Scott has finally miss a forecast(ha ha). You still are Rochester's most accurate forecaster even with this blemish. What are you thinking about next weeks possible mid week storm?

    ReplyDelete
  45. The snow is finally coming to close down here in Mid Livingston County. It was a great day of snow and I am sure there will be enough for one more round of plowing in the morning!! I am excited to see what is next down the road!! I will stick ruler in the yard tomorrow morning for a final number! Henry, I am still waiting for Scott's answer too....

    ReplyDelete
  46. Perhaps I spoke too soon. I just went outside and the snow has picked back up again! I am sure it wont last long but once again, big flakes and coming down good too!! Henry, I have been looking around at the next system. Do you think it will be the same type that we just had where the Low that is coming across the middle of the country will transfer over to the one that will be coming up the coast? Or will that Low hold it's own and head our way? If I was looking at it correctly, it has some good potential! Is that the one you are wondering about?

    ReplyDelete
  47. Warmer air may come into play with next week's storm depending on track. Too early to say of course!

    Scott

    ReplyDelete
  48. No More snow tonight, haha I need sleep, 30 hour shifts, ahhhhhhhhhh I pushed solid 8inches in North Greece. I was pushing solid 12" in the eastern side of city..

    ReplyDelete
  49. 1-3" more for most overnight, not completely over just yet. Georgian Bay is working a bit West and some of that will move East overnight.

    Scott

    ReplyDelete
  50. Chris still alot of uncertainty with the next storm as Scott said. May be to far east but there appears that warm air could be a problem and lead to a mixed bag of stuff. We will have a better idea Sunday-Monday with what is going to happen.

    ReplyDelete
  51. Good Morning Henry! Yes, I noticed the red bars which I assume mean warm air? Am I correct that it is kind of the same scinario as this past storm with a LP coming up the East coast and another LP coming across the ohio valley? I just hope we do not get iced over. Snow storms are fun but ice causes many folks property damage and puts a hurting on their wallets. i do not wish that on anyone.

    ReplyDelete
  52. Rochester is Officially up to 63.5" for the season (and it's only the second week of January!). With a couple more shots of snow on the way, I wouldn't be surprised if we hit or even exceed 70" for the season by this time next week.

    A bust of a winter snowfall-wise? No way. This has been quite a snowy winter so far if you ask me.

    ReplyDelete
  53. accuweather has us with snow and ice in their extended forecast, just hope for no rain or warm temperatures. Bring us more snow, snowmobilers welcome it!

    ReplyDelete
  54. Well, I just went out and stuck a tape in the yard! 9" of snow in Sparta! We still have some big fluffy flakes coming down too! It is great to watch. Now if only the deer would come out of the woods into the field so we can try out the new zoom lens. It would make a beautiful picture!!

    ReplyDelete
  55. Where has Charles Wachael been?

    ReplyDelete
  56. If we do end up on the warmer side of the storm, it won't last long. Even the warmer GFS model has us getting above freezing for just one day. And not above freezing by very much. No big thaw on the way, so don't worry. We'll keep our deep snow for quite some time to come.

    ReplyDelete
  57. I agree with DK and I think we will not be on the warmer side perhaps a wintry mix but not pure rain but still too early to tell. However, I do not think this storm is going to have a great deal of moisture to work with. I will say this starting next Friday I think it is going to get pretty darn cold around here for a bit. DK what do you think about what side we will be on in your opinion and the moisture with it? Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  58. Yes, I would like to read DK's take on next week as well. Henry, you are right, it is going to get cold!

    ReplyDelete
  59. What is Saturday and Saturday night looking like?

    ReplyDelete
  60. We actually might be on the west side for the Tuesday storm, but don't worry. It won't be like the other storms where we turned balmy warm and rained. For one thing, it won't be strong enough to advect in a ton of warm air. There is a lot of snow cover currently, and a lot of cold air in place. Also, we have a pattern that just isn't conducive for major ridges bubbling up into the east. So despite a westerly track, still not enough for 50's and rain. Ain't gonna happen. We may get a mix out of it, however, but only briefly. And probably some accumulating "front end" snow before the changeover were to happen. As for major cold later next week...that's been showing on the ensembles for quite some time now. Looks like it will turn quite cold. Question is, are we talking 15-20 for highs, or are we talking highs not making it out of the single digits. Too early to tell.

    I will say this...last night's run of the GFS had -30C at 850 over us during the advertised cold outbreak. We would struggle to get above zero fahrenheit with those temps. And you don't even want to know what our lows would be with clear skies, light winds and deep snow cover if it's -30C at 850 in mid January. Not buying it though. The GFS is notorious for getting too aggressive with cold a week to ten days out. And it has already shifted away from -30 in the most recent runs.

    ReplyDelete
  61. As of now it looks like the sat./sat. night clipper will give us the usual 2-3 inches with the possibility of a little bit of lake activity. I don't want to jinx us, but it looks like the storm system next tuesday/wednesday could be the storm everyone on this blog has been eagerly awaiting!!! Fingers crossed!! Although, the current models are making it a mess to forecast. Scott and the rest of the News 8 weather team, Good Luck!!

    ReplyDelete

Blog Archive