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Monday, November 28

Chilly & Damp Today; Much Warmer Tomorrow

Written by John DiPasquale:

Rains of last night & this morning will continue to diminish as we head into the afternoon, as the cold front moves a little further away from us & the forcing weakens. Temperatures today will climb no higher than the mid to upper 40s, so it definitely will feel & for that matter look more like late November compared to the holiday weekend.

Meanwhile, an intensifying surface & upper level storm in the deep South will be producing accumulating snows across parts of the deep South! This storm initially will pull the aforementioned cold front back through the area as a warm front late tonight/early Tuesday. However, late Tuesday into Tuesday night this storm will produce some rain & ultimately chill us down to more seasonable levels with a bit of snow likely to be in the air Wednesday with even minor accumulations possible, mainly in the hills. After reaching 60 to 65 Tuesday with a gusty Southeast wind, temperatures will be in the low to mid 40s Wednesday for highs under a brisk Southwest flow.

A brisk, chilly Northwest wind will likely produce a little bit of lake effect rain & snow later Wednesday night into Thursday here in the Greater Rochester area and into the Finger Lakes, but it should not last too long as high pressure will build in & squash it out later Thursday.

Friday will begin cold & quiet with some sun, but the sky should cloud up with a couple of rain and snow showers possible during the afternoon with a cold front.

The early take on the weekend is pretty quiet & seasonably chilly with some sun Saturday, but maybe a little snow shower activity Sunday. There may be a really good shot of cold air & lake snows early to mid next week, but this time of so much changes so fast I would not get too excited yet snow lovers. An overall a colder pattern & more representative of late autumn and early winter weather will be evolving later this week into the upcoming weekend & beyond, as we begin December (the start of the meteorological winter).


  1. Well, at least there is some promise of some snow to get us in the Christmas spirit.

  2. I think once we get the lakes cranking and the snow machine going around here, its going to be tough to stop! The models are in pretty strong agreement too about that semi-arctic front coming through next week too, which is as weatherdan said, promising.

  3. It looks like the cold shot next week will not last very long. It looks like it will be short lived and then the patter shifts to a trough in the West and a ridge in the East.

  4. The 14 day prediction for the NAO is +. I think that means above ave temps. I hope so. Doesn't look like your cold air will be around long.
    If we can't have sun---let it rain.


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