MORE BAD NEWS FOR SNOW LOVERS
Written By: Scott Hetsko
Winter lovers are cringing at the prospect of more rain instead of snow here in Western New York. Low pressure needs to track to our East if there is any chance for frozen precipitaiton and this one is going right over us tonight. Expect an increasing wind from the Southeast this evening then eventually to the Southwest as the storm quickly passes Thursday morning.
Because the storm is moving quickly, rain amounts will range between 0.25" and 0.75" by mid morning Thursday. Just leftover showers before noon tomorrow but the winds will be strong, gusts near 30 mph are likely. Colder weather will arrive Thursday night through the weekend but the air will be too dry to really get the lakes excited. Hey at least they will be making snow at the ski resorts over the weekend!
What else is new. The storms always pass to our West. If they pass to our East they are usually to far East to affect us. Rochester is always in the middle. Lake effect to our North, South, East and West. Synoptic storms to our West or too far East. Over the past several years Rochester gets nickle and dimed with snowfalls. 3 inches there, 2 inches here. Have not had any real big storms in a long time.
ReplyDeleteHave you seen the AO ensembles? They are projected to tank to a degree that they are literally off the charts. yet, there are so many factors going against it, that it seems all for nothing around here. The second week of December was supposed to be the big pattern change, yet 30's to near 40 are forecast though at least the middle of the week. I guess my question is, are there ANY signs that this pattern is going to break to bring us any prolonged cold and snow?
ReplyDeleteI did see that and if it holds true then a very cold and potentally snowy period could occur around here in mid December. The last dip we had like that was in mid October when temperatuers were 15-25 below average.
ReplyDeleteScott Hetsko
Yeah those drops are impressive as well as the NAO which is progged to dip to -2 by mid month. I would expect very cold air and locally heavy lake snows to follow right before Christmas!
ReplyDeleteIt looks like at least the snowbelt areas will have a White Christmas if that holds true. The rest of us will have to hope for a Synoptic snow event.
ReplyDeleteIt's interesting how many fall / winters have evolved similar to this in the last few years. We have a November and most of December which is relatively mild and uneventful, then right around, and sometimes just after Christmas, the other shoe drops. It will be interesting to see if this happens yet again this year.
ReplyDelete