ROCHESTER REMAINS SNOW STARVED!
Written By: Scott Hetsko
Rochester remains in somewhat of a snow drought as we are over 7" below the season average to date. As I've stated in previous posts, we are expect some light lake snows occasionally tonight through early Thursday. Sections of Wayne County stand to get the most (3-7") range while most of Monroe County will get only 1-4" the next 36 hours. While the cold air will remain in the Northeast, I still don't see any juicy storms coming close enough to produce anything widespread through early next week.
A storm along the Carolina coast Saturday is forecast to stay far out to sea thanks to strong Canadian high pressure block a further Northward track. Temperatures will stay at or below average right through Christmas Day.
That is the problem. Everytime we get a cold air mass we never have any storms. I do not understand why this always happens. Then if you lose the high pressure the storm will come and push all the cold air away so we receive rain.
ReplyDeleteI live in Gananda and I have only recieved about 5 inches of snow thus far. I only received about 2 inches from that Lake erie snow last week. I hope January is a better month for snow lovers. December looks pathetic so far.
ReplyDeleteThis is the nickle and dime stuff Rochester always receives. An inch here, 2 inches there. Last weeks 6 inches at the airport was a fluke.
ReplyDeleteScott,
ReplyDeleteI'm trying really hard to put a more positive and optimistic post on here so that every post isn't about people complaining about the weather. But I really don't know what to say that's positive at the moment. The pattern temperature wise is looking absolutely beautiful...we're FINALLY seeing a prolonged period of cold temps. But then it's as dry as can be. It's almost cruel to us snow lovers. I'm a little concerned that by the time the storm track becomes more active, the NAO and AO will have eased up, and the PNA will become less positive, and we'll find more rain / snow systems with temps near 40. Do you have ANY hope for us, here?
I hate Rochester winters now as a snow lover. I'd much rather have 40-50 inches of snow per winter season with most of that from synoptic snows and major one time dumps than 1-2 inches here and there adding to 100 inches in a season, with most of that 1-2 inches melting soon after. Pathetic. I'll bet you ANYTHING that the next synoptic storm wlll have rain, RIGHT WHEN THE COLD GOES AWAY.
ReplyDeleteHudson Valley, HERE I COME!
Sorry to tell you but this Winter will be one of frequent breaks from cold. The primary storm track will continue to be either too far East or into the Great Lakes which gives us brief snow, rain over to snow showers.
ReplyDeleteThere always can be that big fun storm, remember March of 1999 was also at the tail end of an El Nino Winter.
There can always be that fluke storm, sure, and I'm not sure whether these storm tracks will stick like you said. There could be some overruning CAD events that give us good synoptic snows without going to rain, maybe PL or ZR at the most. El Ninos do not typically have lake cutter storms, although this EL Nino has been kind of unusual, almost a La Nino. Also, with the AO at minus 3 this month, something tells me this winter will be colder than you think, despite a strong EL Nino. My dream and hope is to get a triple phaser storm that runs up the Hudson Valley, ala March 1993 but even better! I think this winter has the best chance of that happening out of any recent ones.
ReplyDeleteThe winter of 1998-1999 was a strong La Nina. 1997-98 was a super strong El Nino followed by 2 winters of strong La Nina (98-99, 99-00).
Nice snow squall blowing through Monroe County arond 9:30 this evening! Quick 1-2" of snow with this burst. More to come before Thursday...
ReplyDeleteWe got an inch in Geneva, and it stopped for about an hour, now it started again pretty good. I hope we get atleast 4"
ReplyDelete