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Tuesday, January 5

MORE COLD AND SNOW THRU THE WEEKEND


Written By: Scott Hetsko

Snow pretty much winding down overnight with only leftover snow showers into Wednesday morning. Looking forward a bit, another shot of Arctic air will follow the passage of a weak low pressure traveling from the Ohio valley on Friday. At this point, most will get another general light snowfall on Friday then lake effect will again be a concern North over the weekend.
One BIG difference this weekend is the lack of any stalling coastal low like we saw with last weekends event. I still expect accumulating snow over the weekend along counties bordering Lake Ontario but the totals will be less for sure. Lots of time to look ahead, it's only Tuesday!

11 comments:

  1. Scott,
    What part of Friday is the actual arctic front and snow expected to begin? Does it actually arrive Thursday night, or hold off until later Friday?

    Thanks in advance.

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  2. Progressively colder through the day Friday with a weak low riding through the Ohio Valley. Expect areawide light snow then heavier snow in the late afternoon and at night for the Rochester region.

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  3. We did not get much of anything last night as far as lake effect. About an inch and we are in mid Wayen County. Did the lake effect form last night? Only a dusting today.

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  4. Scott, why has BUffalo been getting more snow the Metro Rochester over the past few days on a NW flow. They and Syracuse have pulled significantly ahead of us on snow.

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  5. I know and it's interesting. Buffalo and Niagara are getting a little extra help upstream from Huron as is Orleans county. As for the lake snows tonight, not a whole lot expected for us but more coming later in the week and weekend.

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  6. Scott, why has there been a lack of synoptic storms over the past few weeks? It has all been lake effect. Do you see that changing anytime soon?

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  7. There has been plenty of synoptic (large scale) storms in the U.S. just not many near us other than last weekend. I expect the active Southern track to continue the next 10-14 days with storms remaining East.

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  8. Scott,
    Outside of the lake effect in the wake of the low on Friday, do you expect advisory level accumulations for the synotpic snow itself? I ask because I see Winter Storm Watches are already posted as nearby as Northern Indiana.

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  9. I do actually if I had to put numbers on Friday now, 3-6" areawide then several more inches in the wake of that low Friday and Saturday. I expect us to be in the deformation zone of the little low Friday morning.

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  10. The NWS forecast discussion is poo-pooing this upcoming event, once again. They seem highly unimpressed by the snow amounts with the synoptic. What's going on with them over there? They completely blew the last event, too. And they're always sitting on their hands until the very last minute before issuing anything, even when all the offices around them already have.

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  11. Yeah, they are saying an inch or 2 at most and also saying the lake effect will not be very impressive because of dry air, low moisture and an inversion.

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