BEATING A DEAD HORSE!
Written By: Scott Hetsko
Everyday of late I have been talking about recent storms and how they just miss Western New York. We see evidence of this happening again this coming Saturday. A strong storm over West Texas this evening will track through the smokey mountains and eventually toward Eastern Maryland by noon Saturday. Strong, cold high pressure will feed cold and dry air into the storm which will limit the Northern extent of steady snowfall.
I think the Southern Tier has the potential of seeing a couple inches of snowfall depending on the exacy track. I doubt Rochester will get anything more than clouds. We will likely get some more minor lake effect Sunday and next week. By the way, Saturday's storm may drop another 12" of snow in the D.C. area.
Just to add to the beating, here's the NWS forecast discussion for next weeks storm potential:
ReplyDeleteEARLIER THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW TUES HAS DECREASED AS NORTHERN
STREAM SEEMS TO BE HOLDING STRONG…SHUNTING ANY SYNOPTIC THREAT
WELL TO OUR SOUTH THROUGH THE PERIOD. BUT…THERE WILL BE A CLIPPER
TYPE SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE WEST MIDWEEK SO WILL BRING CHC POPS
IN FOR SNOW LATER TUES AND WED…BUT NOTHING MAJOR LOOKS LIKELY THIS
FAR OUT.
When I read that forecast discussion, I thought to myself, "you've got to be kidding me." You know, every meteorologist has been saying not to give up yet, and that the big one will still come. But how on earth is that going to happen when the pattern refuses to break down? I have yet to hear any met back up their optimism with evidence or data that shows a pattern shift is coming. Just basing it on climatology at this point isn't good enough. How do you know that if / when the pattern breaks down to allow a storm or two to come this way, they won't just start cutting to our west, or tracking right over us, so we get the mixed bag stuff? I'm just a little frustrated, as many people are. Anyway, I know that this question is also beating a dead horse, but i'm going to ask it anyway...are there ANY scraps for us to hold on to at this point that give us hope that a big one is still coming....based on data?
ReplyDeleteI'm not frustrated--keep on missin' !!!!!
ReplyDeleteAs miserable as winter is here at least I haven't had to break my back shovelling in a month and the RGE bill was down a bit too. Most folks probably like that.
Golf soon??
As far as the RGE bill, it's still been a cold winter. But if it's going to be so cold constantly, wouldn't most people agree that it might as well snow for dramatic effect? I mean, we have to suffer through the cold anyway, might as well make it look pretty. That's a big part of the excitement about WNY in the winter is watching the snow pile up. Most people take that for granted.
ReplyDeleteThe GFS has next weeks storm moving well to our South ONCE AGAIN. The storms looks like it is coming right at us and then gets shunted to the SOUTH. Same old freaking story over and over again. I say bring on spring. This winter is boring!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
ReplyDeleteI think DC will end up with more snow than us this year. They get all the good synoptic stomrs. All we get is this hit and miss lake effect stuff.
ReplyDeleteNo way D.C. gets more snow this Winter that Rochester. I'd bet my house on that one. Right now they have 35" and we've got 60"
ReplyDeleteThey will get a foot of snow with this storm. That makes 47. The storm next week looks to take a similar track this far out. If they get another big storm they will be right at us. All we get is an inch here and an inch there.
ReplyDeleteThey have 35 inches of real snow and we have 60 of fake lake effect fluff.
ReplyDelete