ANOTHER SIGN OF AN ACTIVE HURRICANE SEASON
Written by: Bob Metcalfe
Besides the dying El Nino and quite possibly a transition to La Nina, which is favorable for hurricane growth, we have another sign of a potentially active year in the Atlantic Basin. I draw your attention to the image at left. I've circled three key areas of warm, cold, and warm water anomalies in the Atlantic Ocean. Most know that warmer water means more potential energy for storms, and you can see that from the 10 to 25 degree north lines. But what's more interesting is the cold water from Florida straight across the middle of the Atlantic. This sinking air/rising air set up is a major marker for an active hurricane season, especially in May. This will be something to watch over the next month and a half to two months.
Ahhh, the Atlantic Tripole. Gotta love it. It should be a great year to watch hurricanes -from a meteorological standpoint. Hopefully none of them have any major impact on the U.S. But with this type of setup, I fear they will.
ReplyDeleteThe odds for a busy season are certainly increasing, which in turn increases the coastal risk. Never a good thing. I'll keep an eye on these stats over the coming weeks to see what becomes of them. I wonder if there will be any discussion about the impact of the volcanic ash on the season.
ReplyDeleteIs the volcanic ash still around? I know it's still spewing lightly around Iceland, but where did all that ash go?
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