FROM SNOW TO SUN
Written by: Brian Neudorff
Sprawling high pressure in the wake of the passing storm system will help return the sunshine to the sky. All though the sunshine has return, warmer temperatures are still lagging.
This moring temperature dropped to 6 and we could see another single digit morning, maybe even a sub zero morning on Friday. Skies will remain sunny for Friday.
There will be a system moving up the east coast. Some question on the track. We will see some light snow showers. If it is farther west we could see a couple of inches but by no means will this be a big system.
I don't know about storms but next week is looking to be cold as hell
ReplyDeleteI thought hell was hot.
ReplyDelete(Unless it's Dante's Inferno)
Scott or Brian,
ReplyDeleteWhat is the fastest we have reached 100" of snow in Rochester. I am guessing that this year is pressing that record.
Jim
I believe the cold and and wintry stormy weather will continue for the rest of the month. The wintry threat on the weather channel, that zone or area will probably continue. Just looking at the gfs and nam models, even though a long ways out and doesn't mean anything, it's pretty active and the 15th and 17th they are for the great lakes region. we will see nice days like today and tomorrow at times this month. Staying cold!
ReplyDeleteI am really enjoying this bright sunny day!! It makes the snow pack look so beautiful across the yard and fields!! Very bright on the eyes too. I do love the snow but these beautiful sun filled days make the snow so much more beautiful for us to enjoy. I look forward to what the rest of winter holds in store for us.
ReplyDeleteBrian or Scott the future cast shows us in quite a good area of snow for Saturday. Do you think that could come true?
ReplyDeleteBack out of hibernation!I know the people hoping and wishcasters are not going to want to hear this but based on my review of the long range data we WILL not get a major synoptic snow storm the rest of the winter. The best chance just went NW of us! Again all can doubt but I called lucky to get 6 inches in the afternoon before the great Hetsko did at 9:30. Also had the first one pretty much pegged except lake enhancement came into play that I will admit was missed but the storm amounts were not. Sorry about this news but as Hetsko says go with my gut and call em as I see em. The great Hetsko who also got after me about my prediction but then rode my coat tails at 9:30. Both the NAM and GFS during that day had the storm drift northwest of us not hard to figure freezing rain was going to come into play. At least Neudorff ate humble pie have not heard a word from the Rochester's most accurate. Back in hibernation!
ReplyDeleteI just have a feeling that this Saturday storm will give us a little more than just snow showers and minor accumulations.
ReplyDeleteQuick question Andrew..............are you a meterologist? I'm guessing probably not. Scott and crew ARE trained meterologists and I would trust them much more than someone who doesn't have that background. Not to say that you don't have the ability to predict weather, but there is a difference between let's say..........a golfer and a pro golfer. I'm guessing the "pro" will hit the ball better.......or have more knowledge and insight than someone that is not. Even the best make mistakes, and Scott and crew will tell you its hard to predict weeks and months out there. Maybe we won't get a major synopic storm, but it won't be because the GREAT ANDREW predicted it!!
ReplyDeleteWe don't get any snow 300 days a year. Predicting NO snow is not a forecast...it's playing the odds.
ReplyDeleteBack out of hibernation please Anonymous put your name on things and the great Hetsko has said their will be at least one large synoptic snowfall storm this winter. I say not now we just dodged that event. Maybe Rochester's most accurate will chime in on this? Not hard to predict the weather climate and pattern change. We will get out of February with no big one and then March will warm up and be nice. I did not predict no snow by the way just no big synoptic storms. Back in hibernation!
ReplyDeleteAndrew, you really should STOP PRETENDING that you are better at forecasting than the meteorologists. This whole "I called lucky to get 6 inches" thing is getting old.
ReplyDeleteGo check the archives if you want, Scott said on Monday that "No one is talking about the 850mb low. That is the one thing that is fishy with this storm." Where was your forecast then...?
Andrew must be a democrat....
ReplyDeleteSaturday's storm for us looks like a nuisance snowfall. I'd feel better about snowfall numbers tomorrow which is when they will be posted if necessary. I'll just wait for "Andrew's" prediction and go from there I guess. So enlighten us Andrew, what can we expect the rest of Winter?
ReplyDeleteScott Hetsko
HAHA Scott. Funny Stuff. Heard you on Lonsberry's show the other day, was laughing so hard, good stuff.
ReplyDeleteBack from hibernation! That will come in a second Scott. Adam what are you talking about 850mb? The temps were all good until Tuesday. They were in the negative at this level the started switching to the positive on the runs Tuesday. The ground temps. were 21 Tuesday did you know that Adam? However warmer aloft leads to sleet most know that except you wish casters on here. I am sure Adam is one who did not know you can sleet when the ground air temperature is 21 degrees. So everything changed from the 12z GFS (the most reliable) both with track and upper level temperatures. Scott as for Saturday 3 to 4 inches tops a nuisance like you said. How about the rest of the winter give your most accurate prediction for that! Back to hibernation!
ReplyDeleteI don't think Andrew understands what hibernation means...
ReplyDeleteHibernation - It is when an animal goes to sleep for the winter. Hibernation is a state of inactivity and metabolic depression in animals, characterized by lower body temperature, slower breathing, and lower metabolic rate.
Let me highlight part of the definition so hopefully he will act on it.
A STATE OF INACTIVITY
Back from Hibernation! Come on Tommy then you would miss me. Back to hibernation!
ReplyDeleteAnonymous said...
ReplyDeleteWe don't get any snow 300 days a year. Predicting NO snow is not a forecast...it's playing the odds.
Not in this miserable climate. Playing the odds would be predicting snow anytime from Dec to end of March. Case in point 28/31 days in Jan had SOME snow. Dec was about 25/31.
In most normal climates you'd be correct with your statement---not here.
I sure hope Andrew is right with no big ones--I doubt it (no science to base that on). These little ones are bad enough. Anymore and roofs are going to start collapsing since there is no chance of melting any of this garbage. It just keeps piling up and up.
Anyone else find "Andrew" to be a top of the line loser? I vote that Andrew "hibernates" his way off the blog entirely. But that's just me. It's a free country.
ReplyDeleteScott where are you? Any updates on any possible happenenings with the weather? Thanks
ReplyDeleteI have to stay positive and I know it is a wekk out but there is going to be a HUGE storm in a week on the coast somewhere. Hoping we get pay back for the miss Tuesday. Have to hope and stay positive that we can get one big storm before winter.
ReplyDeleteThe whole hibernation thing is just weird now. At least the guy is a character. At best he can be funny, at worst he can be pretty insulting to the News 8 team & just flat out annoying. There are other people who predict the weather on here that don't feel the need to be jerks about it.
ReplyDeleteAndrew - You can be as accurate as you want, but what's the point when no one listens to you/respects what you have to say?
has anyone heard from DK? He has not been heard from since the big miss. I hope he is ok we need his weather knowledge and need him around when that big storm finally arrives the heck with what Andrew says.
ReplyDeleteI will only respect andrew's thoughts if he backs it up with facts, not shear negativity. And Henry, I totally agree with you on the fact that the end of next week looks to be quite interesting, definitely something to pay attention too!
ReplyDeleteHenry, I know its far away, but that storm looks to be huge next week wherever it goes. Been looking around the Accuweather forms, pretty interesting what people are saying. There usually pretty good too.
ReplyDeleteI'm all good. Just taking a breath from the unfortunate bust of a storm. Snowpack looks good out there, though. I'll happy for that. Early next week looks "interesting" but the models are all over the place. The trend of late is for the low to track to our west. Models try to keep cold air in place even on the east side of the low at that time - but as we learned this week, warm advection always becomes a problem around here. In any case, it's one to watch, but i'm not impressed yet. I have even less trust for models ability to forecast storm track with any precision. Scott always warns us not to follow models so religiously, and this week proved exactly why.
ReplyDeleteEnjoy the quiet weather for now. No major snow around here for the next 5-7 days. Bitter cold and localized lake snow later next week but coastal low will probably only graze us again. Just saying that given the recent pattern.
ReplyDeleteThe Great Hetsko (Thanks, Andrew!)
But...with that said. If I see any especially interesting runs print out good snow, you bet i'll be on here letting you know about it.
ReplyDeleteI also heard that later next week might feature a significant lake effect snow event southeast of lake Ontario. Winds look more WNW'erly, so it might be more of a Wayne to Oswego county event, but if we get a brief 310 or 320 flow, Rochester could get clipped by a decent episode of accumulating snow if it materializes. That would be in the wake of the potential snowfall early next week when the cold air really floods in around Wednesday or so.
Long story short...and Active weather pattern is shaping up. It might just be a series of minor events, but the potential is definitely there for another Big one to slip into the picture.
Scott,
ReplyDeleteIs is typical for so many nor'easters to miss WNY by such a long shot? Even central and eastern new york has been spared by the vast majority of these east coast storms. It seems that each winter we usually get on the back side of at least one or two of them. Are they unsually offshore this year?
Back from hibernation! The Great Hetsko has spoken finally on the potential and once again we are in agreement NO BIG storms in site. Remember the great did say we were going to get one big synoptic snow storm this winter there was time left. We are running out of time March will be warm. We missed our one chance stay with me folks you will see. Back to hibernation!
ReplyDeleteAndrew,
ReplyDeleteDoesn't it get tiring to have to keep typing "back from/to hibernation" everytime you post? It's a lot of extra typing. I'm tired out just typing it now...
Scott,
ReplyDeleteWhat is your take on the almost unprecidentedly low pressure that the GFS and Euro are projecting for late next week? They have this monster down near 950MB or lower. Is somewhere along the east coast going to have an epic event on its hands later next week?
Andrew: You sound like you may actually know what you are talking about. Can you give us your background at least? Also, you have some balls challenging the mets. Unless, maybe you are a met from another channel just screwing with us, that would be pretty scummy. Again, your info is intriguing, but i tend to believe someone like scott who doesn't hide in hibernation. It looks like there is no end in sight to your being on this blog so why not come out of hibernation and be nice to people and share your knowledge that you claim to have. I can predict something too: its going to be sunny today! wow i am smart.
ReplyDelete