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Tuesday, October 18

Some Sun Fading Away Today



Written by John DiPasquale:


Some sun will slowly fade away later this afternoon, as clouds move in from the south-southwest in advance of the next weather maker. The system that will begin to affect us with thicker clouds & eventually some showers come Wednesday is a complex one. One storm diving into the deep south with it's upper level trough will ultimately combine forces with another storm slowly moving through the Gulf of Mexico. These two system will evolve into intense, large nor'easter Wednesday night, which will hook to the west of our area. This will mean some developing showers Wednesday, especially during the afternoon, which will be followed by some steadier heavier rains Wednesday night & early Thursday, as the storm winds up to the west. After an occluded/cold front pushes through early Thursday, we should see a limited amount of sun for a bit before more clouds & a few showers move back in later in the day. Highs on Wednesday will be near 60, while mid 50s is all we should be able to muster out of the thermometer Thursday.


A chilly west-northwest flow will blow Thursday night into Friday with a few lake showers likely to be around. Highs on Friday will only be in the low to mid 50s, but feel colder than that due to the brisk breeze.


Thankfully this weekend is looking much better than last with a weak, kind of dirty high building in. I do not think this weekend will be great, but expect to see some sun both Saturday & Sunday with just a small chance of a shower/flurry or two Saturday, mainly in the morning. Highs will likely range from 50 to 55 this weekend with not a lot of wind, so yes it will be chilly, but should feel better than last weekend.


Right now Monday looks quiet, but Tuesday/Wednesday may feature a potent cold front. Behind the front, some of the coldest air of the season may drop in for a visit. Stay tuned.





3 comments:

  1. I have a feeling this winter is going to be a doosey with a couple big storms hitting the Rochester metro. What do the many winter experts on this blog think?

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  2. I don't want to jinx this winter but I will say that all the long range predictions and judging by the weak to moderate La Nina and the apparent blocking high that is supposed to set up, it puts us in the area to see the best chance of some heavy hitters...

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  3. Yes. It could be a doosey of a winter, but we are also due for a lackluster winter. The extent & position of NAO blocking is what I believe will ultimately determine how the winter plays out. Time will tell. Hoping for a few biggies! We are due!

    John DiPasquale

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