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Monday, December 5

Colder Air on the Way

Written by John DiPasquale:

Damp & cooler, but still mild for this time of year. Between today & tonight we should pick up about a half an inch to almost inch of rain, but no snow is expected through the start of Tuesday. However, in the wake of the slow moving cold front's passage late today/early tonight it will eventually turn cold enough for any lingering light showers & drizzle to most likely mix with & change to a little wet snow &/or flurries late Tuesday into Tuesday night. A chilly northerly flow will likely provide a bit of lake enhancement/effect Tuesday night into early Wednesday with a coating to maybe an inch in spots, especially in the hills South of Rochester Tuesday night. That would be nice to at least make it look a bit more festive! Temperatures Tuesday will be near 40 & then inch back into the mid 30s by the end of the day, as colder air oozes in.

High pressure will build in Wednesday & should provide some sun & squash out any lake flurries. Highs on Wednesday will be in the upper 30s to around 40, which is where should be for early December.

On Thursday, there will be a developing storm across the Carolinas along the slow moving cold front that will stall near or just off the Eastern Seaboard Wednesday night. At this time, it looks like an upper level trough swinging in from South Central Canada will prevent this storm from having any significant affects on us as it should stay well off to the South & East of the area Thursday & Thursday night.

What will affect us on Friday, though, will be a strong cold front associated with the aforementioned trough. This front should trigger some snow showers & may lay down a light accumulation of snow with the coldest air of the season to follow late Friday into Saturday. A limited amount of lake snow is possible East & Southeast of the lake late Friday into Saturday under the cold west-northwest flow projected to occur. Somewhat milder air will try to make a return for Sunday & Monday with dry weather expected.

Have a great day & get ready for a more seasonable air mass to be with us for some time after today.


  1. Big whoopdi doo. A whole coating. Wow!!!! Another miss on a storm. There is a shocker.

  2. Perhaps we can get to at least the middle of the month without any appreciable snow. What a difference a year makes. Last year we were getting buried in heavy lake effect by now.


  4. This negativity is killing me! Weatherdan, you are working yourself up for no reason. The weather is beginning to transition towards more prolonged "colder" air, which gives us opportunities for snow. You just have to be patient!

  5. It is supposed to get back in the 40'sunday and Monday after a couple days in the 30's.

  6. It's a week away still and that's only 2 days your looking at.
    And bloggers, I was wondering your take on the pattern setup the models are hinting at next week. It looks like a favorable pattern for some storms to ride up into our neck of the woods! Plus, there is a vortex setting up over Hudson Bay that will hopefully continue to pull down at least seasonably cold air.


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