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Tuesday, January 24

More Typical January Day Today



Written by John DiPasquale:


A little snow in the air this afternoon, especially Rochester SW bound. Little, if any, accumulation will occur, but there may be another coating to an inch or two in ski country this afternoon. Tonight a trough will kick through with some snow showers & flurries. A coating to an inch may occur in spots, with an inch or two possible in Wyoming, & parts of Genesee & Livingston counties tonight. Either way, it will be no big deal.

Wednesday will be quiet with some sun returning, but more clouds should roll in during the afternoon. Highs will be in the mid 30s.


Late Thursday through the start of Friday we will be watching a storm system to the south to see what it's ultimate track will be. At this juncture, it looks like precipitation will begin as rain before possibly ending as a bit of wet snow Friday morning. Either way, though, it does not appear that we will see much snow out of this storm system.


On Saturday, there will be another storm to watch moving up the coast, but at this time model data has it well to the east & not a factor in our weather. However, Saturday night into Sunday a strong cold front will push through with a little snow, & then the lake machine should turn on & may lay down some accumulations for the region on a northwest/west-northwest flow. We'll see. Temperatures will dip out of the 30s for highs Saturday, & into the 20s Sunday & Monday. Stay tuned.


Have a good one everyone!


32 comments:

  1. Same old same old misses every where. Anyone know if the pattern is ever going to change?

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  2. Probably not Anonymous. The pattern is stuck and everyone keeps talking about a change but it never happens. Here we are at the end of January with a pultry 18 inches of snow for the year. I have lived here all my life and have never seen a winter like this. I say we go for the record snowless winter and be a part of history. Might as well right.

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  3. I guess we can do that. It kind of stinks you live in Rochester to at least get one or two bigger snow storms a winter. But the past two winters have been pretty sad. Rain in the winter really stinks but it is what it is. Maybe we will get lucky in Feb. and March. This blog is dead no more weatherguy, David and Charles Wachel.

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  4. Im here, just nothing to talk about. sucks

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  5. I know, I miss everyone!!

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  6. Even though the cold is reluctant to push south out of Canada, I still think we are going to have some great opportunities for some storms. The pattern is becoming more volatile and will probably stay that way for a couple weeks. The main factor we need!? Obviously "cold" air!

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  7. Scott said nothing of importance at least the next 7 days. That takes us to pretty much February with nothing. We are going to have under 40 inches of snow this year amazing.

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  8. Brandon in FarmingtonJanuary 24, 2012 at 6:45 PM

    At least some of you up near the city have had 18' or whatever because in the Farmington area we've had about 9'.

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  9. Last winter similar to this was 2001-02. More snow for the record, but accumulations did not last because of the warm temps. I think the total was 58"? Anyway, I do remember the spring of 2002 being awfully wet, dreary and cold with snow on May 18. Awful.

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  10. Chris, hopefully we got that cold wet spring out of the way this past spring and we don't have to go through it again this spring. I don't remember the snow you speak of in May 2002, but I remember a storm in May 1989 where we got in excess of like 10" of heavy wet slush in May--- no fun. Then I remember the summer of 1994 where all it did was rain. It was a terrible summer. I thought we were headed for that kind of summer this past year, but it turned out to be a great summer. I love the snow, but by late March I'm done with it.

    Keep the faith as some of our best storms have come in February and March.
    Andy

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  11. Models are hinting at something brewing mid to late next week! It is a bit far out, but something to watch as models have been fairly consistent with a low tracking up across the Ohio valley around Wednesday/Thursday!

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  12. Hey Weatherguy what models are you looking at in regards to mid to late next week? Thanks

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  13. I am here too but nothing to talk about

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  14. At least it doesn't look like we will get much rain out of the Thursday system.

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  15. I love how each month starting in November snow lovers have been told, hold on we still have December. Then DEcember came and we heard, hold on we still have January. Now I heard last night, hold on we still have February. I am sure when February is over and we still have not received any snow we will hear, hold on we still have March. Very disappointed this year with the forecasting.

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  16. The reality with the weather is there is no way to predict it beyond three days. Three days may be even too far out. Even with all the technology it is not an exact science. So if you want accuracy on future pattern changes or storms coming forget it! This winter is shot so do not expect anything. We are heading toward February with minimal snow. We will be lucky to hit half of our average snowfall for the winter. As you have already said weatherdan lets go for the least snowiest winter ever in Rochester. Stop trying to use reverse psychology.

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  17. Someone is off of their meds!

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  18. It looks warmer in the extended forescastfor late next week anyone else see this?

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  19. Yea, lets go for the least snowiest record! I do feel sorry for you snow lovers, especially those who earn a living from the snow, but look at the positive side of this. Lower heat bills, no ice dam problems, no morning commute nightmares, etc.

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  20. yep, nest week we are back in the 40's. No sign of winter. We are living through history with this winter. Never see anything like it.

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  21. Let's try again:

    Yep, next week we are back in the 40's. No sign of winter. We are living through history with this winter. Never seen anything like it.

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  22. I think were all going to be surprised at the amount of storms we get in the February and March time frame. With all this warm moist air available, I guarantee there are going to be some major storms the coming weeks. It's just of matter of who gets them and where they track!

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  23. I hate the weather guys who make up stuff to get you to watch. Tonight his lead into the weather Scott said we have some complications to deal with making it sound like something important. However, his forecast never mentioned any complications and it was the typical blah blah winter forecast. It is tough enough for us snow lovers please do not mislead us for ratings.

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  24. Michele in PenfieldJanuary 25, 2012 at 9:47 PM

    Even though this is the winter that hasn't been...........a winter......we can still stay hopeful, perhaps! From NWS..........

    PRESENT MODEL DATA IS NOW
    SUGGESTING MORE OF A NORTHWEST FLOW EVENT OFF LK ERIE AND A WEST TO
    NORTHWEST EVENT OFF LK ONTARIO.

    THE LAKE EFFECT WILL START UP LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING
    WITH HIGH LIKELY POPS EXPECTED EAST OF BOTH LAKES FOR SUNDAY
    AFTERNOON AND EVENING. OUTSIDE OF THE LAKE EFFECT...HIGH CHC POPS
    WILL BE USED TO COVER THE SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY THAT WILL BE SPAWNED
    BY THE PASSING OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. SUNDAY WILL DEFINITELY BE
    THE SNOWIEST DAY OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

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  25. Hi Michelle, A west to NW flow is not good for Rochester. That flow would be good for Wayne county East.

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  26. Even if we get a snowy weekend it won't last. Temps back up in the 40's next week. This truly is the worst winter ever for us snow lovers. Hanging on to a thread of hope for Feb. but I said the same thing about Jan.

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  27. Michele in PenfieldJanuary 26, 2012 at 7:55 AM

    Thanks weatherdan, I guess the best thing we have left is hope. I also just hope that when late March - May arrives, we don't have terrible spring weather...........

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  28. Well hang on to hope for maybe something developing late next week and weekend. Think cold air is trying to work in with these two lows developing on coast. Just a heads-up you never can tell.

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  29. We should have a weather blog party in the summer. Just a thought

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  30. A party with the every so gloomy weatherdan.......hmmmmmm...Ok, as long as you are on your meds that day, count me in.

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