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Thursday, January 26

A Rainy Night on the Way



Written by John DiPasquale:


Precipitation is moving in this afternoon & it's beginning as snow & a mix, which will pretty quickly flip to rain by day's end into the evening as milder builds in from the south ahead of the culprit. The culprit for the mainly rain storm will be a storm system moving in from south later tonight into Friday morning. In the wake of this storm late tomorrow morning into the afternoon there should be a transition to a little wet snow &/or mix before tapering off late Friday. A slushy inch or two will probably fall in the hills south of Rochester, while little, if any, accumulation is expected for most of us as temperatures will be in the mid 30s during the afternoon tomorrow.


A bit more snow will blow in with the first of two cold fronts Saturday afternoon, followed by some flurries & a few squalls later Sunday into Monday with some, mainly minor, accumulations possible. Temperatures will be in the 30s to near 40 Saturday, & low to mid 30s Sunday. Colder 20s should arrive Monday, before we moderate back into the 30s Tuesday. We just can't keep the cold air in here more than a day or two, but signs that might change somewhat come February, as North Atlantic ridge is going to attempt to develop. I'll really believe it if the data is still suggesting this early to mid next week. Stay tuned.


Have a great night all!


18 comments:

  1. Same old same old! It is like a broken record this winter. Also is Scott around and part of the blog or had he boycotted the blog? WSeems to be hiding since his special show with the winter weather forecast was a bust.

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  2. I was forced to revise the snow numbers for the rest of Winter. Looking at how consistently positive the NAO remains, I gotta believe we'll end up with 45 to 60" at most in Rochester. There's always a possibility of a big snow in there somewhere but we may end up with our light snow season since 1952-1953!

    Scott Hetsko

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  3. The way things are going Scott 45-60 may be too high. We are living through an historic wimpy and snowless winter which I have never seen in my lifetime.

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  4. HISTORY! HISTORY! HISTORY! HISTORY!

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  5. Unless you're under 10 years old, that's not true. We had 58" of snow just 10 years ago. I don't know, March hasn't been bad since the year 2000.

    Scott

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  6. I am saying if we receive under 40, which is possible if things continue the way they are.

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  7. I am not which winter is/was worse...2001-02 (the winter Scott is referring to)...or this one. For snow lovers, that is.

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  8. Models are trying to get that MJO into phase 8..just a little further!

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  9. All as I know is that if we manage to get 60" of snow for the season, its going to be brutal February and March!

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  10. I wouldn't call 21" per month brutal.....We received 60" in one month (Jan.) a few years back.

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  11. True anon, but we're not used to wintry weather. Therefore, any sustained cold and snow is going to be a shock to everyone's system!

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  12. Exactly what I am thinking Weatherguy. If we get 40+ inches between Feb. and March that's substantial compared to the 1-2" we have been getting.

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  13. This is horrible! Rain in the winter really stinks. There is no snow on the ground and it is late January it is kind of amazing. To any of our intelligent bloggers out there is there anything promising in the future? Any possible storms in the future? People do like to do outside winter activities.

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  14. Mother nature is a real B!$&! this year. Rain in the winter is the worst.

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  15. Next week, it looks like a low pressure will track to our north then a second low develops along a front and track towards the northeast! It's still a week out, but this one bears some watching...

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  16. I see that Weatherguy. We need to hope that it moves further West though because right now it is a litle to far east. As we all know it will change a thousand times before then. We will see what happens. At least it something to watch for a change.

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  17. Michele in PenfieldJanuary 27, 2012 at 1:12 PM

    Weatherdan and Weatherguy, what does the timing look like........next weekend??

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  18. Is it just me or has this winter been extremely difficult to forecast out beyond a few days? I that because of the effect this type of winter has had on people's expectations, which drives their forecasts somewhat, or has this lousy pattern just made it impossible to tell what is going to transpire?

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