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Monday, February 6

Winter Retuns Tomorrow



Written by John DiPasquale:


Spring is in the air this afternoon, but winter will return for our Tuesday with readings dropping back into the 20s. A cold front will come through from the north late tonight/early Tuesday & flip the switch back to winter with a bit of lake snow expected to lay down a coating to an inch or two tomorrow. Any lingering lake flurries should taper off Tuesday night, as high pressure builds in from the west & provides some sun Wednesday & Thursday. Temperatures will be mainly in the 20s to low 30s Wednesday, & well into the 30s Thursday & Friday morning before a shot of Arctic air arrives to end the week. The blast of Arctic air should be accompanied by at least a little burst of snow with some limited lake snow to follow late Friday possibly through early Saturday.


The weekend right now looks mainly quiet with maybe a snow shower or two off the lake Saturday early, & then a few general snow/flurries may occur Sunday. The big story, however, for the upcoming weekend looks to be some pretty cold temperatures with highs possibly struggling to get out of the upper teens to mid 20s. This will be great news for the ski resorts as they will make more snow.


Have a great day & enjoy all the nice weather WNY! GO GIANTS!!!!!


13 comments:

  1. One word, PATHETIC!!!!

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  2. F off, weatherdan.

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  3. Yes you are Weatherdan!

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  4. The Euro is frigid this weekend.... But how many times have we seen this one so far this winter!?

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  5. NWS now starting to say the cold on the weekend might be colder and longer lasting than first thought. Also, perhaps some serious snow squall activity, especially Sunday. What's your feeling on this, Scott.

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  6. Sunday looks fun if that Arctic front and attached low are as strong as advertised. Remember a high inversion, cyclonic flow are MORE important than the cold air over the warmer lake.

    Scott

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  7. At this point, the winds look like they are going to be blowing out of the N and NE. That means lake effect will be limited. Am I wrong about this? I want to go to my camp in NE Oswego County and ride my snowmobile this weekend! That won't happen with a northerly flow. Believe it or not, there is still 2-4" of snow in the woods up there, but the trails are mostly bare with thin layer of ice with rocks poking through.

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  8. Scott can you explain what you mean when you say high inversion and cyclonic flow are more important than cold air over the water? This would help our casual weather people like myself.

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  9. Sure, sorry about that. An inversion (warming temperatures with height) kind of puts a lid if you will on rising air. Lower inversion = less rising air and because of that clouds and snow growth are limited. Cyclonic flow is important again for "lift" or rising air parcels. If a region has higher pressure and associated "Anti-cyclonic" flow, then clouds and snow growth are limited again.

    The more factors that favor lift or rising air will make the chances of significant lake effect snow fall more possible. There are many others including the relative humidity from ground to LCL (cloud level) too. These are a few reasons why lake effect snow forecasting is very difficult and really can't be done until 24-36 hours out. I hope that clears it up a bit :)

    Scott

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  10. Yes thank you that helps. So as far as Sunday goes with the potential LES you will know better Friday night?

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  11. Yep, Friday we'll know a whole lot more.

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  12. What do all the other expert weather bloggers think about this potential for LES Sunday?

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  13. Where is everyone no feelings about the possible LES that even Scott mentioned. What do you think weatherguy?

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