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Thursday, February 9

Wintry Weekend Ahead



Written by John DiPasquale:


Sunny & nice through Friday morning, but then clouds will move in Friday afternoon & evening which should lead to some light to occasionally moderate snow Friday night with an Arctic cold front. The front will likely be held up a bit tomorrow night, & may not get totally through until Saturday morning now due to a developing coastal storm Friday night & Saturday. At this time, it does not look like there will be any direct impact from the developing nor'easter, but as the storm really winds up Saturday night into Sunday the second, more vigorous shot of Arctic air will make a run at the area late Saturday night. If this in fact plays out like it's looking more & more like it will do so. We could be in for a little general snow, & some significant lake snows for areas south & southeast of Lake Ontario, which could very well include the Greater Rochester area late Saturday night into much of Sunday. As you all know, lake snows are very fickle & tough to predict, but the exact orientation of the snow band will heavily rely on the positioning of the secondary Arctic front, & how far south it makes it. Either way, though, it will definitely be a wintry weekend with lots of cold developing & at least some snow. Highs over the weekend will likely be within a few degrees of 20, before more seasonable air returns early next week. More updates coming over the next 24 hours into the weekend. Stay tuned.


19 comments:

  1. I am confused. Yesterday Scott said we would not have significant lake Effect in Rochester because the air will be too dry. Has that changed???

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  2. It really does not matter as we will get warm again next week. That advertised pattern change is a bust once again.

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  3. and once again, shut the f up weather douche - I know it is a blog but you are just such an annoying pain in the a$$ - f off for good

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  4. A bit strong but I agree with the other ANON. I don't understand why Weatherdan is confused (maybe he was born that way). I haven't seen anything to indicate that we will have significant(or anything close to significant) LES.

    JM

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  5. You should be off this blog using that language. Talk about annoying. If you cannot say anything intelligent besides mocking people get the hell off this blog and grow up. What are you 2 years old. Grow up! Oh I forgot you cannot say anything intelligent.

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  6. JM, did you read Scotts forecast yesterday. Oh maybe you cannot read. He said the lake effect would not be substantial. Today John said it could be. I was just asking if something has changed. It is like dealing with a bunch of kids. You guys are idiots. SCott, can you stop these morons from talking this way on the blog!!!

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  7. maybe they should just shut this blog down for good until next winter. nothing good to talk about, and when someone tries to have a good conversation it is ruined by rude immature people who have nothing better to do apparently. go find some other blog to troll and be annoying there. you must lead a pathetic lonely life.

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  8. Forecast for tomorrow, cloudy with a 90% chance of more whining (from weatherdan). Maybe NOAA will issue a Whining Weatherdan advisory for this weekend. I love this blog!

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  9. What's so annoying about Weatherdan?

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  10. Michele in PenfieldFebruary 9, 2012 at 11:26 PM

    Please people, this is a weather blog................Weather Dan is just giving his opinion........without profanity or stupidity. If you want to be rude and disrespectful, I am sure there are other blogs you can find. Let's all just enjoy the POSSIBILITY that we may get some snow. I realize we haven't had much this season, but there is still hope..........and if it doesn't pan out, it is nice coming to the blog to see what other's are thinking, without being rude to each other. If we don't get much snow out of this system, its not the end of the world, but at least we have something to talk about!!

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  11. Nothing big again this weekend for the Rochester metro. This winter is just awful. Also weatherdan is correct the temps are soaring towards 50 again late next week. Scott said last night that is the way it is going to be the rest of the winter. No blocking pattern to keep the cold thus no big storms. If there are storms they will be rain. So not sure what weatherguy was talking about the other day when he said the storm next week will bring cold after with a pattern change. The pattern is not going to change!

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  12. This blog is hilarious. Last winter, you guys were blowing the hobbymets for their input on storms/changes in the weather, now this year, with no snow, everyone seems a bit on the edge. Some one adds input, and its like, 'shut your effin mouth, get the hell off this blog'
    Settle down, and quit whining.

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  13. I agree with weatherdan there was confusion between John and Scott as to the LES potential. We know it is hard to forecast but Scott was pretty sure no big deal on his forecast Wednesday night. John posted yesterday the potential could be for big LES. Also, Scott last night had temps soaring to mid 40s mid and late next week while this morning John had low 30s as the highs next week. Thus it is hard to figure out when your meterologists who work at the same station disagree on the forecast.

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  14. If you look at the last 3 GFS runs we are not even in the picture for a storm next week or the week after. Stop model chasing there will not be one big storm this winter let alone 2.

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  15. For the record Anon, I never said there was going to be a pattern change...

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  16. Sorry but you did think a change would come after that storm next weekend? There is nothing there next weekend.

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  17. Technically the pattern has changed. This isn't the same pattern we had in January.. it just didn't change to a pattern that is any good for people waiting for a prolonged blast of winter (A.K.A. me ). Wild temperature swings are normal during a La Nina and large storms are harder to come by with a weak southern jet. I, for one, was hoping we would get some activity to start in Southwest, pick up moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and ride up the ridge right into our laps a few times over the winter. Rain to snow type deals.

    Side note: If I have my Nina years right and you like hot summers.. you might be in luck this year.

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  18. A nice HOT summer would be cool.

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  19. Does anyone think we will have plowable snow before the weekend is over? I have my fingers crossed.

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