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Friday, April 20

Enjoy Today!


Written by John DiPasquale:

Summery today, not so much for the weekend & beyond.  It also looks like the late Sunday - early next week INTENSE nor'easter will impact the area with lots of wind driven rain from Sunday night right into Monday.  If all pans out the way it looks like it will today, we could very well just about wipe out the 2.5"+ precipitation deficit that we are in now by days end Monday!!  Yeah, a lot of rain will fall based on the current projected storm track, but of course this could still change so keep it here to News 8 & we will keep you updated tonight & right through the weekend on any changes that may take place.

Temperatures will go from around 80 today to the 40s to low 50s for both Saturday & Sunday with the best day of the weekend being Sunday under a sky that will cloud up later in the day & may end wet.  Most of the rain from the nor'easter, though, should hold off until Sunday night into Monday.  The nor'easter will hang out in the Northeast & Southeastern Canada through at least next Wednesday with some occasional showers of rain & possibly graupel/snow, especially in the high terrain through mid week anyways.

Late next week we should shake the nor'easter with the weather improving somewhat.

Have a great day & weekend bloggers!
      

29 comments:

  1. Why cant we get a storm to take this track in Jan or Feb. In the winter this storm would miss for sure. In late April we will be in the sweet spot (HEAVY RAIN). We just cant win.

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  2. Could have used a stronger south-westerly breeze today. North Hamlin is only 53 deg with a stiff northeast breeze. Bring on the rain we need it.

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  3. Have to agree with the last post! I'm chilly here in Hilton. I went to visit friends in Spencerport and it was 14 degrees warmer. That's crazy! I really dislike that part about living near the lake.

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  4. Figures. It would have been a great Snow storm if it was winter. All winter we could not get a Noreaster and now that it is spring we get one. We cannot win.

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  5. Snow would have been nice, but a good storm is always something to enjoy regardless of the precip type. Glad to see the rains coming!

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  6. Looking more and more like a big snow potential for some. Any updates from the mets? Can the models be believed?

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  7. Wow can the experts on here answer a question? If this storm was here a month or two ago how much snow would equal what we are going to get in rain? Thanks

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  8. Been very inactive here because we did not see anything this winter. However, I think this storm should be watched with interest. This storm has the potential for a great deal of moisture. More than likely all rain for most but higher elevations could see heavy wet snow and who knows for other areas. Stranger things have happened. If there is a prolonged period of heavy wet snow then there could be significant damage to trees and power lines.

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  9. It looks like a high elevation event. The NWS has issed Winter Storm Watches for Western, NY including Rochester. Wayne county is not included. They say 4-8 for Buffalo and 2-4 for Rochester. They have 10-16 for the Western Southern Tier. Tree damage and power outages are certain there.

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  10. Maybe the mets can put up a snow fall map so we can see who will get what?

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  11. I don't buy Monroe county and the Finger Lake region getting much snow from this storm. The track is trending too far West. If anyone will get heavy, wet snow it will probably be South of Buffalo along the Chautauqua Ridge. Rain, wind and cold for Rochester Sunday night through early Tuesday. Could see some flakes mixing in but also I think GFS is OVER developing the precipitation as is its history. We'll know much more tomorrow but I think Watches are unwarranted for Rochester and areas Southeast.

    Scott Hetsko

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  12. I disagree that this track is trending too far west. In fact I think the track will be to our east and that western NY is in the sweet spot. This storm has a lot of moisture. I think the watches are more than warranted especially for the unusual lateness for a storm like this. Even if we only get some wet snow there is going to be significant winds with this storm.We will see but at the very least we can agree this one bears watching.

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  13. If I was going with any model, it would be the euro at this point! It has been showing this scenario for days now and has been much more consistent than the GFS. But it is late April, so it will have to snow pretty hard in order to get anything to stick...

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  14. Where was this storm when we should have had it and when we snow lovers would have wanted it!

    I sure hope bitter ek'er is happy now!

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  15. Ginger In WaylandApril 22, 2012 at 9:14 AM

    What is the thought on snowfall tally in the southerntier...Wayland-Dansville area?

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  16. Well this stinks.. I was just getting into the lawn mowing groove and now I need to keep a shovel handy?

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  17. Scott is correct again this will be no big deal for monroe county. It is a higher elavation event and more towards southern Buffalo. It is still a bit wild how this will happen on April 23rd in those higher elevations. I still wonder if this was in a winter month with this track how much snow would the Rochester metro get?

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  18. Where are the experts? Any update from our News 8 mets?

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  19. Not sure why the NWS still has us under a winter storm watch? At best this would be an advisory.

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  20. We are looking VERY carefully at the latest track and data and will have a detailed discussion about this evenings rain/snow/wind/cold storm after 4 p.m. this afternoon. Areas West and Southwest will potentially see over 12" of snow above 1000 feet especially. MUCH more on this later in the day and Stacey and me will be on air this evening.

    Scott Hetsko

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  21. I still think this is not tracking too far west if anything may be too far east of us. But, I still say this needs to be watched for potential tree and power line damage. Still believe we have potential for 4-7 inches of HEAVY wet snow and winds. But I am not an expert just feel this is going to track through Central NY and it has some juice.

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  22. Winter weather advisory for Monroe county as I predicted earlier. No problems for the metro only higher elevations will be impacted. Old fashion rain in the city that is all.

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  23. Michele in PenfieldApril 22, 2012 at 4:13 PM

    It seems like this storm thus far has been a tough one to forecast (even 12-24 hours out). I'm guessing that the rain/snow/mix line is a tough one to predict at this point with temperatures aloft and such. In my non-expert opinion, I have a feeling that it just might be a wait and see event for Rochester and that is why the Winter Storm Watch is still up on the NOAA website. I'll be curious to see what Scott and crew have to say.

    I hope the rest of our spring isn't going to be an up and down rollercoast like it has been.

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  24. We will see. All the Mets were wrong about yesterday. They all said this weekend would not be a washout. Well, yesterday was a complete washout and today has been drizzle all day long. My confidence in what the mets say is deteriorating. What nature will do nature will do. Weather forecasting is a tough job. If this storm jogs more east like some are saying Rochester could be in the sweet spot. Models have been wrong before. Storms do what they want. Models are only part of the picture.

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  25. When is Scott's update coming he said earlier after 4 weare well after 4. This must be a tough one to figure out!

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  26. Ginger looks like you should finally get that storm you have been waiting for. Metro no big deal inch at tops.

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  27. Thanks for the update News 8.

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  28. Why has there not been an update from Scott? He stated we are looking at this VERY closely many hours ago. He said more will come after 4:00. It is now after 8:00 and nothing?

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  29. I like snow just as much as anyone, but I am glad Rochester will not see the snow. I do not want damage to my trees and lose power. No way. That is what will happen to the areas that see this snow. If this was in winter we would have been buried. It most likely would have been a memorable storm. I feel bad for the areas that will see this heavy wet snow. They will see a lot of damage.

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