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Wednesday, November 28

Cold End to November, but...

Written by John DiPasquale:

The rest of today will feature clouds, intervals of sun & a few scattered snow showers/squall into the start of tonight, but moving through tonight any snow shower activity will likely be confined to the north & east of Rochester across far Northeastern Monroe, & Northern Wayne counties.  A coating to an inch or two is possible in the most persistent snows in the aforementioned areas, but most will see little, if any snow tonight. 
Winds will whip between 15 & 30, with gusts at times possibly reaching to near 40 on our Thursday, & aid in warming temps into the 40 to 45 degree range.  There should also be intervals of sun on Thursday to boot.  Later Thursday night into early Friday a strong, backdoor cold front will sneak through with a few snow showers dusting the landscape through the start of Friday.  Behind the front it will be brisk & cold with highs struggling to reach freezing, & will likely be the coldest day in Rochester since March 5th, almost 9 months ago!!  With the cold, dense air mass in place, & a warm front trying to move in from the southwest there will likely be a general, mainly light, snow breaking out later Friday into early Friday night.  A light accumulation is possible from this region wide, & while it could get a little slick, this will likely not be a big deal.  Later Friday night into Saturday morning lingering low level moisture may lead to a little patchy freezing mist/drizzle &/or snizzle.

Warm front will finally get pulled through completely Saturday night & as a result we should have no problem making it well into the 50s with gusty southwest winds on Sunday!  There will be a bit of rain developing later Sunday too, but boy it will not feel like December to end the weekend, & for that matter right through the first half of next week!  Readings may be up around 60 or better Tuesday!?  Thereafter it will turn much colder & more wintry for 2 or 3 days anyways.  Stay tuned for more details on the changeable pattern in the coming days. 

Have a nice day WNY!         

10 comments:

  1. The good news is better chances of bigger storms with temperatures fluctuating.. bad news is the annual decision on sending the state a hundred plus for snowmobile registration and trail fees.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Join a club, and its only $45 ($70 with membership). www.snowdevils.net

    ReplyDelete
  3. Pretty much the whole month of December will have above average temps! That is awesome! Last winter here we come.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Still a long way to go to be able to say either of those things.

      Delete
  4. Where did you get your December figures from. If I had your crystal ball, I would have an extra 500 million dollars this morning, not this Decembers weather. I dont have a clue what December is going to bring. The sun shine today is nice and so will be some snow tomorrow. As far as the whole month of December we will see when the time comes to make that forecast.

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  5. That vortex in Alaska is a persistent thing. It can't park itself there all winter again...can it?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I'd be extremely surprised if that occurred. We should be in a colder pattern by mid December, though not a true deep freeze, and there are a few signs of a bigger change for later in the month. Even if neither of those things actually transpire, we've already seen several differences between this season and last.

      Delete
  6. Anonymous, the Annoying - sits on this blog to annoy the people that want snow - this is one of his/her/it's posts

    AnonymousNovember 29, 2012 10:55 AM
    Pretty much the whole month of December will have above average temps! That is awesome! Last winter here we come.

    Ignore it and it will hopefully go away - obviosuly doesn't use any real weather science for the rationale of the posts

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The word "wishcasting" comes to mind as well.

      For the record I am a different Anonymous.

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    2. Optimistic Hamlin PlowerNovember 29, 2012 at 3:07 PM

      I would call it a wishcast on your half to forecast a second snowless and warm winter in a row. I am not saying it wont happen, who knows. I have just come to understand it is not possible to make a reliable winter forecast with any amount of detail before winter even arives.

      Instead everyone needs to enjoy what ever weather we are given and continue to hope for some big snow events. With that said it is time to take a walk and enjoy the sun before the snow comes. Then it will be time to enjoy the snowy walks and other winter activities.

      I almost forgot to mention it LOOKS AS IF the weather pattern the next few weeks MIGHT atleast be a very active one. With many shots of cold. December might start out very mild but how will it end up as a whole is whats exciting.

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