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Monday, December 10

A Little Snow Tonight!





Written by John DiPasquale:

After another mild day to begin the week with some rain, the rain will mix with & change to snow this evening, as the air turns colder in the wake of a cold front that moved through during the mid to late morning.  A little wave of low pressure riding up along the slow moving cold front will generate the slushy coating to two or three inches tonight & early Tuesday.  Most will pick up just a slushy coating to an inch or so, but over the higher terrain south & east of Rochester, especially over the Finger Lakes, could receive 2 or 3" by 7am Tuesday.  Not much, but at least it's something & it should look a little more festive later tonight into Tuesday.  Also, when heading out later this evening & Tuesday morning, if you have to, be sure to be cautious, as there will be some icy patches developing with temps dropping into the 25 to 30 degree range. 

After a few lingering snow showers/flurries Tuesday morning, the air will slowly dry & ultimately lead to some sun Wednesday, Thursday & right into Friday with a slow warming trend to boot.  Highs will only be in the 30 to 35 degree range Tuesday, but with the help of the low angled sun, we should muster 35 to 40 Wednesday, & 40 to 45 Thursday & maybe near 50 to end the week!  So any snow we see will obviously not last long.  Latest guidance & trends for the weekend are suggesting a little more snow possible after a mild start.  We'll see...Stay tuned. 

42 comments:

  1. Could be up to an inch or two in the elevations of the Finger Lakes tonight as colder air changes rain to wet snow. Also black ice could be a concern on bridges in many areas after 9-10 p.m.

    Scott

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  2. Sounds like some caution required on the roads tonight. Black ice is really deadly.

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  3. OMG, I whole trace for Rochester. Get out the shovels and snowblowers. Sorry. I know I am whining but this is pathetic.

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  4. Snow in the air tonight will be nice to see for a change. I will go out on a limb and say maybe we are rounding the corner toward winter. I still have hope for mid to late December. The latest model run are atleast more exciting to look at. I am looking forward to 18Z GFS and 0Z Euro runs. Finaly something in the 7 day forecast more interesting.

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  5. Oh if we only had some solid cold air to work with over the next 10 days.

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  6. Some are saying some colder air next weekend and beyond. QBO setup resembles 2003-04, a year where the bottom fell out in January, with tons of cold and snow after 1/5/04. Of course, that's just one measure.

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  7. 12z has a good ole' Christmas Eve snowstorm!!! Awesome if that were to verify.... But hey, at least we have something to finally watch for this weekend/early next week!

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  8. You know that will change 1000 times before Christmas but we can hope.

    ReplyDelete
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    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. What are you smoking. You lost me with that blog.

      Delete
    2. Probably links to an infected site.

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  10. el oh el, I was JUST thinking about spanish rice!

    ReplyDelete
  11. We can't even get a dusting anymore. Mother Nature is just not giving us a single break. Maybe next week we can finally get a single inch to fall, a few interesting opportunities appear to be on the horizon. Though with the way things are going we'll probably end up with all rain again...

    Another thing, if you want a green Christmas you're a scrooge in my book. Snow on the ground with streets and walkways cleared and a few light flurries never hurt anyone.

    ReplyDelete
  12. The potential storm Sunday monday looks to cut West again. This is the pattern so get used to it.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes we know. You've told us about 800 times.

      I see a weakening primary dying over Buffalo and a secondary forming off the coast.

      Delete
  13. Scott said last night that it is worth watching next Sunday/Monday. As Anonymous said a secondary low will form. Scott said a Noreaster will form so who knows to early to tell. At least it is something to watch.

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  14. 11:39 -- there is a big difference between a snowstorm when you have to drive to church (your job) and to relatives houses, which I don't want for Christmas, and a little safe snow!

    Have a little mercy, weatherguy.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yeah, I know. Which is why I included "a few light flurries" in there. There are very few people that want to drive in a snowstorm on any day, let alone Christmas, and I really do hope that our big daddy doesn't occur during especially busy travel times on or near Christmas. I personally am one of those few crazy enough to want to drive in a snowstorm, but I relish challenges way more than a normal healthy person would...

      In regards to next week, normally I would be cautiously giddy about it but with the way things have been I don't have very much hope. Even if the track does end up favorable or a coastal secondary develops I feel like there might be too much mild Pacific air in place for any snow of substance to fall. Saw the same thing happen on numerous occasions last season. I really, desperately hope my amateur suspicions are proven unreasonable.

      Delete
  15. Thanks anon. at 9:29.

    I LOVE to drive in snowstorms too, but ONLY if I don't HAVE to go anywhere. Same thing with being outside when the weather is wicked. I LOVE it.

    Any thoughts about Christmas week itself?

    ReplyDelete
  16. GFS is showing us moderately cold next week with three potential storms. This is already being hyped up on some other weather sites and Twitter feeds. Is the Euro showing this as well? The GFS is showing the cold air now over the central US drifting eastward in moderate form next week.

    ReplyDelete
  17. Channel 10 is showing the end of the world next week... THREE CHANCES FOR SNOW between the 16th and the 26th. Just hoping I can drive to my in-laws.

    ReplyDelete
  18. Farmington Snow LoverDecember 11, 2012 at 2:31 PM

    I honestly would not worry about it. I hope we do get some snow and cold, but if we have learned anything, with the exception of sandy, storms for us are usually a little over hyped by some and we usually get less or none at all by the time the storm gets here. They are only on models at this point. Ive decided to sit back and wait this year. I've been following the blog but not posting much. Everyone is entitled to their opinion on here but its been a little rough on here lately. its like everyone is taking it out on each other when the real person to blame is mother nature, or global warming. Relax people. something will come about soon i'm sure.

    ReplyDelete
  19. I would ask that Mr. Hetsko please be in the Christmas spirit and give me a second chance. I will still tell it like it is but be more respectful and less confrontational on the blog. Come on even Michael Vick got a second chance. What do you think Mr. Hetsko?

    ReplyDelete
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    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. My tip for aspiring writers is to not spam weather blogs.

      Delete
  21. This would be a third chance Andrew. Tell you what, let's bring it to a vote. Vote YES to keep Andrew on the blog with the condition he offers his opinion but is more respectful or NO.

    Scott

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  22. No Anonymous votes, just like at the poles...we need a name please.

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  23. NO more Andrew - arrogance doesn't go away.

    ReplyDelete
  24. Thanks, FLS, for the sanity. My wife likes to watch Chn. 10, but I can't STAND how they hype snow.

    I vote for Yes on Andrew, but the first time he is disrespectful, out.

    ReplyDelete
  25. Yes for Andrew.
    BUT cool it on the chest thumping please.
    Scott, this is very good of you to do. He can be very annoying--reminds me of Sheldon on Big Bang (not THAT smart, but you get the drift).

    ReplyDelete
  26. Funny how new names come up all of the sudden to vote yes. I vote NO!
    Chris

    ReplyDelete
  27. I vote yes to Andrews return. Opinions are like nipples. Everyone has atleast a couple, some have more than a couple and only about 50% are useful. Most people know what category Andrews fall into, so lets let Andrew try to blog his way out of this hole he dug.

    ReplyDelete
  28. I vote yes. He makes a boring winter more interesting I guess.

    ReplyDelete
  29. Did I really just hear Scott say that next weeks Nor'Easter potentials might be too far EAST? After all we've been through with this stupid warm pattern? Please God don't let that happen, Mother Nature can't possible be that sadistic. I'd rather stay warm than watch the coastal cities get their 700th major snowstorm in the past 4 seasons, while we sit shivering and dry.

    ReplyDelete
  30. I say yes, as long as he remains respectful like everyone else...

    ReplyDelete
  31. Tentative yes for Andrew. I enjoy stopping at this blog several times a day so I beg everyone to be civil so we can keep it going.

    ReplyDelete
  32. No to Andrew When he is involved with his stupid posts, I stay away like many others..

    ReplyDelete
  33. Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me..

    ReplyDelete
  34. I vote yes. It's Christmas after all and he's harmless. Plus, following my theory that he's a dual Weather and Sports nut (Hello, Vick reference, frequency and fluidity of trash talk). He'll probably relax after his team bombs in the playoffs or as soon as it snows. If he doesn't, Pete Rose 'em.

    ReplyDelete

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