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Thursday, March 14

Winter Chill Persist through Weekend





Written by John DiPasquale:

The chill will hang with us through the weekend, with highs ranging from the upper 20s to mid 30s right through St. Patrick's Day.  How much snow will we see during this stretch?  It doesn't look like much.  A coating to an inch or two of lake effect on your Wednesday night.  A coating to maybe an inch of lake effect Thursday, & possibly another coating to an inch or so Friday into Friday night with cold front & weak clipper to the south.  Much of the weekend now looks quiet, brisk & cold with some sun possible, especially Sunday.

At this time, next Monday night into Tuesday looks like a mainly rain event, which may begin as a little mix/snow & end as a little snow too with westerly track.  With that said, this potential storm is still 5 days or so out, so lots can change between now & then, but the track record this winter would say that this storm will hook to the west.  Keep your fingers crossed for a chance snow lovers, but right now it does not look too good for this one.  Stay tuned.

Have a great night all!            

53 comments:

  1. What else is new. They are always West movers or 2 far south and east. It is really getting old. Why do these storms continuously move to the West????? I swear NT is in a no storm bubble and storms are deflected to the West or South and East.

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  2. Good.. what sane person wants snow in late March?

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  3. The LP still looks to cut west and I know Scott always said when it goes west of us it is rain but the temperatures look cold. I am not sure how we are not going to get at least snow snow Tuesday with these temps?

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  4. Starts as rain, then colder with snow. Pretty cold and unspring like next week.

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  5. Watch out for early next week, if secondary storm forms east and moves north along the Appalachians. To early to call for sure, but something to keep an eye on.

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  6. The rumors of spring being here have been greatly exaggerated.

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  7. Looks like not much spring weather for AT LEAST 2 weeks...maybe into April. What a difference a year makes.

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    Replies
    1. Hopefully if we pay our dues now we will get a nice mild and dry summer.

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    2. I having been saying this on this blog for sometime. Spring will be very cold and wet. First part of Summer looks that way also. We will be lucky if we see any days this Summer in the 90's. Remember the Summer of 93? It was so cool and wet all the time that mold was starting to grow on people's lawns. There was hardly a weekend that had Sun. This is what happens when all you Snow Lovers keep wishing for the big one. Payback is a ...ch.

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    3. Troll, you've been wrong with every prediction so why should anyone believe you?

      Lets review the facts---we've had well over 30 inches of snow since you first proclaimed "winter is over." You've said we won't even get to 60", and we exceeded that! Then you said we won't even have 70", and now we are about 1.7" short of 70". Getting above 70" is virtually unquestioned. Ironically you should be abundantly familiar with 1.7"

      The summer of 93 was not the wet one... so wrong again!

      We all know the 15 day outlook is for below normal temperatures, and the 30 and 90 day outlooks are for normal temps.

      Nice try spanky! Enjoy life in your moms basement!

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  8. Are we still looking at a mostly rain event next Mon/Tuesday?

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  9. Just saw this on accuweather site in regards to next weeks storm:

    As we have warned about this past week, there is the potential for the rate of snow to be intense and the accumulation heavy and wet. Half a foot of snow or more could fall in a few hours, prior to any mix over or complete change to rain. Enough wet, clinging snow can fall to down tree limbs and power lines in some areas.
    Cities that have a chance at receiving this sort of treatment from the storm include Rochester, N.Y., Burlington, Vt., Worcester, Mass., Concord, N.H., Augusta, Maine, and Montreal, Quebec.

    I wouldn't get too excited because this storm has many questions as it redevelops and heads north somewhere near the Appalachians.
    We've been disappointed all year, so no reason to think this one will be different, but we can hope. No matter what this reinforces that the troll's predictions are sheep dip.


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  10. I still think this is something to keep an eye for early next week and then we have to keep an eye on the following Sunday/Monday period. I posted it way back but also said the other day it appeared I was wrong again. But, guess we will just have to wait and see. I still think some areas will get major snow next Monday/Tuesday.

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    Replies
    1. Just like Yogi Berra said, it ain't over till it's over.
      That applies to stoms.

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  11. Blah Blah Blah. Some old sory. Something to watch and never works out for Rochester. Watch next week watch next week. Next week comes and there is nothing.

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    Replies
    1. GOOD. NO SNOW IS GOOD SNOW.

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  12. Nobody's getting excited here. There's just the potential that's all.
    That's opposed to a certain someone who says spring weather is already here, which is a joke.

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  13. Wish News 8 would post what they are thinking? Seems like John is the only one who posts anymore. Where is Weatherguy, David, Jo-Sef and Hamlin?

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  14. No one is posting including the News 8 team because there is nothing there but rain. This is nothing so go on with your spring activities next week.

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    Replies
    1. You're really a delusional mental defective.

      Now go enjoy being lonely.

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  15. I really think the Euro has this one pegged, which would mean mostly snow for us... Still lots of time but I think the GFS will start trending colder by tomorrow 12z

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  16. John on his forecast has it snow then rain and it appears more rain.

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  17. FROM THE NWS: RAIN NOT SNOW. SORRY!!!!

    A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE REGION
    MONDAY AND TUESDAY. PRECIPITATION MONDAY AND THE FIRST HALF OF
    MONDAY NIGHT WILL LARGELY FALL AS PLAIN RAIN. LATER THIS RAIN WILL
    TAPER OFF AS A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW.

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  18. Regardless it will be very unspring like for the entire week.

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  19. Still too early to say what form of precipitation will fall, as different sites are saying different things. Everyone knows this type of storm behaves erratically. Again, it could be elevation that determines things. Even if it is mostly a cold rain, I don't see how this relates to being spring like. In fact, the rest of March and into early April look to be below normal.

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  20. Cold without snow is worthless. If it is not going to snow it might as well be warm. We all want snow not just cold. Who cares about below normal temps if no snow comes with it.

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    Replies
    1. We all want snow not just cold.

      NO WE DON'T

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    2. Why do you live in Rochester then? Move south if you do not want snow.

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    3. There is a lot more to Rochester than snow, or for that matter winter. Sorry...I just hate seeing the knee-jerk reaction of "well move" if someone says they don't care for a certain thing. We all have things we like and dislike about living here (or anywhere, for that matter).

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  21. I just read the conversation out of Syracuse and they say all snow from the PA border North. They are siding with the Eura and the NAM. Why is BUffalo saying all rain. How can Meterologists read things so differently?????

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  22. Well all the local Mets have rain so they all can not be wrong. Get your umbella out Monday afternoon and night.

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  23. I know Scott is out but these are the storms he nails with great accuracy. This one is king of confusing because they are calling for mostly snow in CNY while rain here. I am possibly concerned about freezing rain?

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  24. This will be NBD for Rochester. The minor storm will occlude just west of us. We will get a very brief initial shot of snow which will quickly change to rain Monday night. A secondary low will form East of us but will take most of the moisture well east of us into Eastern, NY. We will be lucky to receive an inch of snow before the changeover. Minor lake effect for the rest of the week. It will definatley be colder than normal next week but not a lot of snow for us.

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  25. I believe we will see a BIG patern change when April hits. Much warmer and drier. Winter will be over by the end of March.

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  26. What a great looking winter morning. Everything has a fresh coating of snow and huge flakes are gently falling.

    We don't know exactly when the weather will become more spring like (hopefully by early April), but one thing we know for sure is that the Spring Troll has been wrong on every prediction made this winter!

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    1. If he keeps predicting spring is coming eventually he will be right : ) Since April is coming soon I also will be predicting the arrival of spring.
      Yes it is beautiful looking this morning and also very winter like!

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    2. and I know I'm really going out on a limb with this prediction, but Summer is also coming :)

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  27. Nobody seems to have a handle on this latest storm, as per the varying forecasts depending on who you listen to. It looks like type of storm that will surprise, but who knows where. Chatter seems to suggest that in April the switch will be flipped from winter to spring in a big way. Troll has failed miserably in his delusional spring forecast. I suggest therapy.

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  28. I agree anon 1025, we could get anything.

    FYI over 70" season to date and climbing.

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  29. I, for one, have no idea the motivations of the "troll". Do many of you really believe he's making weather predictions based on anything scientific? Comments range from he's delusional, needs therapy, should be banned from the site, ... on and on. I'm thinking he's reacting to the constant whiney, wishcasting, "next week looks interesting", "we never get storms", etc. that's prevalent on this site. If you don't want the troll, don't react to his comments. I imagine he'll go away eventually, and the world will be a better place.

    Just my 2 cents.

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  30. Anon 1136, I agree the wishcasting is somewhat annoying, but at least it notifies us that something is showing on the models. The lesson is that we greatly temper our expectations. Anyone that expects storm after storm is being unrealistic.

    As for the Spring Troll, if I've got my trolls right, this one is a former yellow box employee. I'm guessing he had no real job skills and was grossly overpaid for doing some menial work. This is why he chose to stay in western NY, even though he hates the climate. Now that his job is gone, he is frustrated, lonely and incapable of changing his course in life. This frustration and misery has driven him to being a troll, and being a troll gets him some relief and badly needed attention.

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  31. Is anyone from News 8 team ever going to post anything again?

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  32. Winter Weather Advisory for southern tier.

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  33. Rochester could see 1 inch of snow., WOW!!! Get out the shovels and snow blowers. What a wimpy winter this has been.

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  34. We will get more than an inch of snow from this storm. This will be another storm similar to the last two events we had, where location makes a big difference. I wouldn't be surprised to see some areas get a good dumping of wet white stuff. Not a big deal - but I don't think it will be as much rain as some are saying. I could be wrong.

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  35. 0z NAM has us 2-4". The issue with this storm is not the temps, it's the fact that the bulk of the precip. is sliding East of us. Still going to be a wintry week...

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  36. You snow lovers will have your Winter! All summer long! Enjoy!

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  37. It is amazing how we in Western, Ny continuously miss storm after storm. Eastern, NY will get up to a foot while we will see an inch. Amazing!!!!

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  38. We generally don't get big snows from coastal storms... And I encourage everyone to look at the trend for the AO. It literally is diving so negative, it's almost off the chart! Probably going to see overall below average temps. til mid-april, which means more opportunities for snow.

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  39. Hello maybe cold air but our snowfall is basically done for the year. If you are looking for any major snow storms you have less than 1 percent chance of that happening in Western, NY this time of the year. Move on and we want spring like temperatures as the troll has been saying.

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    Replies
    1. Way wrong on the 1% chance. Just add it to the list of things your wrong about. Nice try troll.

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  40. Sure anon 11:54 you think that there is a greater than 1% chance of a major snow storm happening in Western, NY the next few weeks? If so then I hope you do not go to a casino because you will lose you loser. Odds are that with all the climate factors this time of the year. When I major I am talking anything greater than 10 inches Dodo.

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