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Wednesday, March 12

ADDITIONAL SNOW TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW A.M.



77 comments:

  1. CCCC you get your power back?

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    1. Fortunately when ours went out this morning it was back on in an hour.
      Ray

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  2. You can tell storm wrapping up the blog is dead.

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  3. Still out after about an hour. Posting this from my phone which is super obnoxious. Heavy fluff for a little over an hour.

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  4. Snowing harder now than it has all day. This has to be 2 inches per hour at least.

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  5. Is that all we have left an hour of heavy stuff

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  6. Heavy snow in Buffalo as well. I would say 2-3 hours of this looking at Radar. We might get most of our snow from this.

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  7. Yep, really coming down here, too. Just came in from an hour wrestling match with the driveway. Thank goodness my eighteen year old son is here to help with the 3' drifts.
    ~Joe, in Penfield near the Webster border.

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  8. This is getting interesting. The snow is filling in back towards Buffalo and getting heavier.

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    1. I thought this was a "NBD" storm , Snowdog?

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    2. Well...I may have jumped the gun early on that one, things look interesting now! Still think NBD when all is done

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    3. It does look like it's trying to fill in a little. I could easily see us picking up another 4" of fluff by am.

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  9. 20 inches seems like a lock for me right now with this heavy fluffy snow , had 13 inches in lakefront Webster at quarter to 7 this evening.

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  10. Been snowing like crazy for maybe 2 hours since this band came in. Definitely the heaviest snowfall rate all day occurring now

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  11. Just spent 40 mins outside snow shoeing. Snowing harder than heck and the wind is biting and visibility is nil at times. Getting a good measurement is tough, but I'd say sans the 2ft + drifts we got around 10" in NE Fairport.

    Seems like they nailed the timing and behavior of the storm and we will come in on the low end of the targeted ranges. Good forecast.

    Andy

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    1. Agreed.

      Sorry to Scott et all for freaking out mid day. Definitely not a bust.

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  12. GJ showed Brighton with 14 inches and said 18-22 for most but did say heavy stuff will stop in 2 hours then lake effect

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  13. Just came in from shoveling in Henrietta by the thruway. I picked up 2.5 inches in the last 55 minutes.

    The first 6 inches or so was real dense and the first half inch was like glue so heavy and sticky. This last 4" or so is pure fluff. So much easier to push around with the shovel.

    I really need to ask the Easter Bunny for a snow blower.

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  14. Reports are of 10-15" in the area as of 8:30 this evening. Some of that is from blowing and drifting of snow. Trained spotter reports should be coming in soon.

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  15. Pretty much winding down now on the radar.

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  16. Just measured 18.5" in my backyard

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    1. How many measurements did you make? In these scenarios, unless you have an area well sheltered from wind, an average of several measurements is the only way.

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    2. I measured in 4 different spots, 18.5 was my highest. Also came out with 16, 16, 17

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    3. Where are you located David?

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    4. Juts north of Hilton

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  17. Any thoughts on the morning commute?

    Single digits with wind chills in -10 territory?

    Think schools will the good to go? I would think rural districts might have a tough time.

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    1. City district with kids who walk a distance for buses could be tough. Scott the wind chill tomorrow morning will be in the minus 10 to 15 range is that true?

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    2. Several districts have already closed and many have 2 hour delays that may end up closing.

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  18. Now we turn our heads to the possible storm on St. Patty's Day. Move it north 200 miles we are in the ball game. Hey you never know?

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    1. Would take the luck of the Irish.

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    2. Actually the luck of the Irish would keep that storm as far away as possible like 99% of us want.

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    3. Seriously do you want to go through another day like Wednesday. For those of us who could not make it home due to white out conditions, and travel advisories -- spent the night in a local hotel. You got your big storm, celebrate it, and then lets move onto Spring.

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  19. Chris now in PenfieldMarch 12, 2014 at 9:21 PM

    An unofficial, non-drifted 14" report from eastern Penfield, Rt. 250 & 286 area as of 9:00pm

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  20. Chris now in PenfieldMarch 12, 2014 at 9:23 PM

    East-west roads quite vulnerable tonight and tomorrow morning. Rts. 104, 31 in Wayne County, Parkway, Thruway, etc. due to north winds. Snow will taper, but the top layer is light and fluffy and will be blown around easily.

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  21. Well the Flower City finally received its first Blizzard in 15 years. Mark that down!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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    1. Alright KUCKO! YES YOU WIN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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    2. KUCKO...not reallyMarch 12, 2014 at 9:53 PM

      OK. That was funny.

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    3. So when is the next Blizzard you are predicting for the Flower City -so we can all MARK IT DOWN.

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  22. Thanks Scott can I get that Rochester's most accurate plaque? Plus go out on a limb about schools tomorrow! Will wind chills be below zero?

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  23. Wait a minute! Tell me it wasn't John Kucko predicting the blizzard all this time?!?

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  24. I measured again in Sodus. I got 4 measurements. 10" 12" 14" and 18" My guess would be a solid foot. Will be getting any more before morning.

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  25. ROW ROW BACK TO POWAH!!! The whole building audibly erupted in cheers when it happened. I will remember exactly where I was and what I was doing when the grand moment arrived. In the several hour gap with no power there were glowsticks, beer and roommates passing gas like it was the last day they would ever be able to do so. The snow immediately outside of my window in the southwest corner of the building looks very deep, don't know how much actual accumulation there is here but it has to be a good deal over a foot. I must say, the whole buildup to this storm coupled with the sudden bump in modeled strength and the actual outcome have combined to make this storm a very memorable one for me, and an excellent finale to a great winter season. I know there might be one or two more snow chances over the next few weeks, but I'll just call those "epilogues" if they pan out for us. For me at least, the fruitful novel of the 2013-2014 winter season has concluded its final chapter.

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  26. CCCC you made the news for your outage talking power.

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    1. Just said power outage in a few spots on campus but sure of the cause maybe to much gas from Snowdog they said.

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  27. Going to remember this one for a long time! Good work fellow bloggers!! And hats off to News 8, nailed it as usual!

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  28. No GJ says it is not over yet Weatherguy! 4 more inches

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  29. It's still snowing here and it looks like there is still a decent stretch of lake effect to get through. 15.5 inches so far at KROC, I'm betting that'll be up near 17 or 18 by the end. I'd say around 16 here, some of the cars are about 70 percent buried thanks to drifting. And then there is that lonely 4 foot drift surrounded by grass on all sides...

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    1. We actually have a shot at that record of 17.4". Also looking at the airport obs, 7 straight hours of blizzard conditions, 10 straight hours of Heavy Snow reported, and a peak gust of 49 mph... Unreal day.

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    2. That 15.5 was measured at 9pm. We will need to have recorded 2 inches in the 3 hours between then and midnight. Might be a tough sell but it's gonna be close.

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  30. The somewhat surprising big winner so far is Sanborn, a small hamlet in Niagara county, coming in with 17 inches.

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    1. CCCC help me out here our friend GJ just said on his forecast wind chill tom. morning -20 to -25 can that be close to accurate?

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    2. Where does he get this stuff from?

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  31. Just in from plowing, back at it at 3am. I was not that impressed. I would rank it third this season in Hamlin. There has been more snow and worse drifting in two earlier storms. Visibility was reduced but never truly zero. It was a decent storm but I myself would NOT consider it a blizzard.

    If it was a blizzard I would say Hamlin typically ends up with two or three blizzard every season. I guess it is all about perspective.

    I am not complaining it was a good storm.

    BTW, it was not me earlier, my plow truck never exceeds 35 and most of the time its under 30.

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  32. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  33. CORRECTION: You can't "consider" whether a blizzard has occurred. They are a definitive thing and this one qualified what ever your opinion.

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    1. Guess HP wasn't blown away.

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    2. Yes, I agree it did meet the criteria and it is not an opinion. Maybe I should have just said I was not impressed with this storm as a Blizzard when compare to the 1993 or the 1999 Blizzards. I was not bashing forecast's, just stating that Blizzard conditions are VERY common to the north Hamlin area, much of which are worse than this particular storm.


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  34. Last thing before I finally get some sleep. Everyone who freaks out and cries BUST before the storm is over, this is the second storm in a row where the wrap around deformation zone got some serious juice from the lake. Never under-estimate lake enhancement with these storm tracks... Peace out

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    1. The biggest bust?
      The under on 100 inches.

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  35. The LES is about done and winds are letting up some, time to cleanup. I think I am throwing in the towel, enough 3am plow calls for one season. It could stop snowing today and I would have no problem with ending the season with that storm. To bad mother nature has the final say.

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  36. What's the official total at kroc?

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  37. 15.7 at airport

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    1. Correct myself I guess its up to 16.2 at ROC

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  38. Chris now in PenfieldMarch 13, 2014 at 9:06 AM

    For all those complaining that ROC "never" gets any significant snowstorms, they always miss us to the east, or we get warm side of a Great Lakes cutter, I hope they remember this winter…I believe yesterday's storm was the 6th storm this winter in excess of 10" of snowfall.

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  39. For those who kept talking about how we always miss out on the big storms, and we never get anything. Interesting how those of you have failed to post about the hours of shoveling you have done, the difficult road travel conditions yesterday afternoon and last night.

    The City is now asking residents who have not other choice but to park on the street to remove their cars. Have they driven around to see how buried in the snow many cars are, and for some it will truly take several hours to just shovel to the point they will be able to even move their car.

    Hats off to the snow plowers who did an AWESOME job last night and overnight. The roads though not perfect were drivable and passable (with caution). THANK YOU!!!!

    Please don't post about another possible storm next week, and I have already begun to see some points from bloggers asking about next week. We truly need to see Spring and get back the snow and cold. See Wednesday as winters say of saying "goodbye for the season, and I've left you this gift to remember me during the Spring, Summer, and Fall months.

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    1. Right, because if nobody talks about it, it won't happen!

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  40. Not to gloat, but I've been saying all along we will definitely hit 100" this season, and that it would be a huge statistical aberration if we didn't. Well as of EOD yesterday we were at 101."

    I also said we'd need a big March storm to hit 110" which was my target range I set back in mid December of 110"-120" for the season. I think at this point 110" will be reached without problem as it would be an aberration if we didn't get at least 9" more before it's done.

    Nothing magic about my predictions, just using 73 years of weather history and analyzing patterns, rather than using gut feel and emotion as some do.

    This has been a great SNOWY WINTER!

    With that said, if I could flip a switch and turn on spring weather starting next week, I would most certainly would.

    Andy

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    1. Chris now in PenfieldMarch 13, 2014 at 12:36 PM

      Minus the two big warm ups (one pre-Xmas, one mid-January, shorter one late February), this was a winter for the ages. We all got used to lows in the single digits and below 0, which is not typical for an ROC winter.

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    2. Yeah Chris, could you imagine the snowpack had we not had those melts? It would be epic!

      Andy

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    3. Chris now in PenfieldMarch 13, 2014 at 2:50 PM

      Up at my camp in Oswego Co, those meltdowns had less impact. We've been riding snowmobiles every weekend up there for over THREE MONTHS now, and there's still another couple of weeks left in the season regardless of temps. I believe they've had 250" in that area, 300"+ just north of there in higher terrain. Snowbanks are up past the window sills from snow coming off the roof.

      Still, it is those warm ups that the winters of 2010-11 and 02-03 did not have that make them #1, 2 in the past decade, and this one #3.

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  41. I think every snow lover was happy with this storm and our winter overall. Somehow I do sense the longing for not just a blizzard, but a monster blizzard. You know, the big one, 30 plus inches in a storm that lasts for days. Those kinds of storms usually only happen once or twice in a generation. I experienced the blizzard of 1966, which basically shut the city down for a week. Back then as a kid, I loved being out of school for a week, plus being a snow lover, I was in my glory. As much as I would love to see that kind of historic storm again, I have mixed emotions, as a storm of that magnitude has it's bad side, with loss of life, income from not working etc. I lost an uncle during the blizzard of 1966, who suffered a heart attack walking to work because the plows couldn't clear the streets. Because the ambulance and other emergency vehicles couldn't get to him in time because of the storm, they had no chance to revive him, or get him to a hospital in time. My excitement over the storm quickly turned into wishing it had never hit.

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