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Tuesday, April 21

CHILLY AIR HERE TO STAY

I hope you've been enjoying the mild weather in recent weeks because the all too familiar pattern that we dealt with for much of the winter is setting up again.

A deep low pressure system will develop over Ontario and Quebec this week and then remain in place for at least the next 7 to 10 days as a blocking pattern sets up across the country. This will ensure us an extended period of chilly, unsettled weather.



Temperatures will turn progressively cooler each day and by Thursday and Friday, highs will struggle to climb out of the lower 40s. Overnight lows will dip below freezing in many areas.

A series of disturbances rotating around the main upper level low will bring scattered showers and gusty winds each day through Friday. Some flakes will mix with the rain at times but little accumulation is expected.

As mentioned, it doesn't look like this pattern will break until the first week in May so keep the sweaters out and pack away the shorts and t-shirts for awhile.

Written By: Meteorologist Matt Jones

28 comments:

  1. HELLOOOO WINTER!!!!

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  2. This is the precise reason I loathe April in the North East. Winters gone and warmth is still illusive.

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  3. Hopefully we see some winter weather advisories, I would think!

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  4. Not for what we're expected to get, which is little to no accumulation.

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  5. Snow everywhere this morning!! Everything coated!!

    WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!

    GET SOME!!

    SORRY FOLKS!!

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  6. Yeah, a whopping 4/10 of an inch at the airport. As expected, a very minor accumulation. I would guess slightly higher amounts happened near the lake, and it looks like the higher elevations received a general 1-4 inches based on the spotter reports. Essentially amounts to an icy fart...it stinks, but ultimately it's No Big Deal.

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  7. CCCC whips out the NBD.. outstanding!

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    1. ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°) ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°) ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°) ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°) ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°) ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°) ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)

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    2. As the original NBD King, let me finally welcome you aboard CCCC! It's about time!

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    3. I'm not about to start spamming "ALL RAIN GUYS NBD" everywhere. Just so you know.

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    4. So you'll Flood the blog with rain.

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  8. Not true. There has been snow in the air in Lyons all day long.

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  9. Pattern shift starting next weekend. Say good bye to the 40's and 50's. We will be in at least the 60's and 70's consistently from next Saturday and beyond. I can not wait!

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    Replies
    1. Try this Tuesday and beyond. Mostly dry too.

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    2. Yes. The next 7 days look dry. Nice. We need to dry out.

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  11. Looking at long range models, anyone else see what I'm seeing the 2nd week in May?!
    .....YIKES!

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    1. Yes!! We might get a blizzard!! I wonder if they will start putting out winter weather advisories in the next day or two to prepare for it!!

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    2. CCCC -- what are you seeing for the 2nd week in May. Will it impact Mother's Day weekend.

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    3. I see the following:

      http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2015042712/gfs-ens_T2ma5d_us_3.png
      http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem-ens/2015042712/gem-ens_T2ma5d_us_3.png

      Those would be the ensemble means for May 7th though May 12th, and they show temps near the average of mid 60s for highs and mid 40s for lows. And these are the modeled temps for the afternoon on Mother's Day:

      http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2015042712/gfs-ens_T2m_us_54.png
      http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem-ens/2015042712/gem-ens_T2m_us_54.png

      In short, anon is being a fear mongering idiot for his own amusement again.

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  12. Spring certainly has not arrived in Rochester yet. Just came back from NC; and it is Spring there. Just waiting for the grey and brown to turn green and colorful. Just don't know when!

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    Replies
    1. We always wait an eternity for that to happen, even after a mild winter. Part of the pain of early spring around here.

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  13. Can it just stay like this until November? Pretty please?

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  14. Winter Storm Watches have been posted for the counties to the south of us for Friday evening into Saturday...definitely bears watching

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  15. Have a feeling we won't have Spring, and will be going right into Summer. RC made the comment that conditions for next week will be near or close to Summer-like with temps in the high 70's+. Which will be nice for the Lilac Festival.

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  16. Anyone else sick of this bullshit weather?This is the same weather pattern we have been dealing with since early spring!Warm and dry for a few days then once again here comes more heavy rain and dropping tempertures with once more, a cold front from Canada!This weather sucks,it's the second week of July and once again,it's going to feel more like September.The people who said write off summer are right,should see our first snow by the middle of August.

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