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Thursday, February 24

GREAT TIME FOR A SNOWSTORM



Written By: Brian Neudorff
(UPDATE: 6 AM FRIDAY)

Between 3 and 5 AM the snow arrived across western New York. Saw no reason to change the current forecast so I feel good about the 4 to 8 inches in Rochester. We could be on the low side, but at times the snow could come down at a good clip with snow rates at 1 to maybe even 2 inches an hour for a time. Most of that will occur south of Rochester, for a change, in the Southern Tier and Finger Lakes.

Feel free to give us updates from time to time this morning and the afternoon. Love to hear how it is doing in your area.

Written By: Scott Hetsko
(UPDATE: 9:30 PM THURSDAY)

Latest storm track indicates a dip further South in the track and thus the heaviest snow will stay South of Rochester on Friday. The area will still see a plowable snowfall especially near and South of the thruway.

Earlier today it looked as if the low would deepen to about 984mb as it departed the coast. Now it looks a little weaker so the amount of snow it will produce will be lower. I decided to change the snowfall map tonight to reflect the most likely amounts in the area by Friday evening. Storms are always evolving so while it won't be a bust, probably not as much as some may have hoped.

Posted by News 8 Weather

36 comments:

  1. AnonymousFebruary 24, 2011 at 3:46 PM

    Cool...not enough to call-in for a long weekend, but it should still be interesting. Now off to Tops for bread, milk, batteries, medicine, movies etc...LOL

    ReplyDelete
  2. BmanFebruary 24, 2011 at 3:48 PM

    Wow Scott, I like you so much better when your updates to the forecast result in more snow! JUST KIDDING! In all seriousness, your the best out there and can't wait to enjoy seeing a significant snowfall. I'm sure the News8 Weather Office will be enjoying as well!!

    ReplyDelete
  3. DKFebruary 24, 2011 at 3:59 PM

    Scott,
    With the winds coming out of the NE at 30MPH, do you expect they will be even stronger right on the lake Ontario shoreline? Could winds top 45 MPH right on the shore?

    ReplyDelete
  4. JennyFebruary 24, 2011 at 4:07 PM

    Scott,
    Any chance you could be wrong on this one? I've been enjoying the view of the grass lately. :)

    ReplyDelete
  5. News 8 WeatherFebruary 24, 2011 at 4:09 PM

    There's ALWAYS a chance I'll be wrong. It is a forecast after all but my confidence is pretty high on this one. Sorry. As for winds, always accelerate more near the shore due to the lack of friction on the lake. 45 mph is possible in the afternoon and evening within 1/2 mile of the lake.

    Scott

    ReplyDelete
  6. DKFebruary 24, 2011 at 4:14 PM

    Thanks, Scott.

    I have a house right along the lake, so i'm always watching out for those NE winds.

    ReplyDelete
  7. AccusteveFebruary 24, 2011 at 4:53 PM

    Can't wait for it to snow! That storm for Monday, do you still think it's going to the west? LOOKS like on gfs it might be going a little more east, right over the top of us.

    ReplyDelete
  8. Scott Hetsko's snowblowerFebruary 24, 2011 at 5:11 PM

    Wow, I really can't wait to get a good workout, it's been a while. BTW, I need a oil change Scott.

    ReplyDelete
  9. Scott Hetsko's ShovelFebruary 24, 2011 at 5:23 PM

    Well I want to do the work instead this time

    ReplyDelete
  10. Scott Hetsko's plow guy said...February 24, 2011 at 5:26 PM

    I'm done plowing your driveway!

    ReplyDelete
  11. SnowFanFebruary 24, 2011 at 5:28 PM

    Wow, somebody needs a life...

    ReplyDelete
  12. one of the persons that needs a lifeFebruary 24, 2011 at 5:41 PM

    There is 2 of us that needs a life

    ReplyDelete
  13. SnowFanFebruary 24, 2011 at 6:08 PM

    "There ARE 2 of us." Learn how to use proper grammar, moron. You're showing that you're an even greater idiot than you have already proven yourself to be.

    ReplyDelete
  14. AnonymousFebruary 24, 2011 at 6:21 PM

    Scott any chance you have the snow totals to high because I'm sick of plowing?

    ReplyDelete
  15. AnonymousFebruary 24, 2011 at 7:00 PM

    Bummer -I'm out of town and will miss this one. But at least I'm where it's nice and sunny. But I do wish the storm could have waited a week till I got home.

    Enjoy the storm. I'll look forward to reading the blogs tomorrow.
    AL

    ReplyDelete
  16. AnonymousFebruary 24, 2011 at 8:43 PM

    Sick of plowing? You better watch your mouth

    ReplyDelete
  17. DKFebruary 24, 2011 at 9:19 PM

    Get ready for lower snowfall numbers. The storm may find a way to go "bust" afterall. The latest NAM drops the precip quite a bit south. We should have known better to get excited about anything substantial. Whatever is the LEAST Favorable trend for WNY to get hit by decent snow, just assume that it will trend that way. It is fool proof.

    ReplyDelete
  18. AnonymousFebruary 24, 2011 at 9:30 PM

    Any truth to this how much lower and what time in the pm do u think it clears out

    ReplyDelete
  19. DKFebruary 24, 2011 at 9:33 PM

    South of routes 5&20 still looks to be in good shape. It's north of there that the numbers might be lower. Maybe only around 4" north of the thruway. The NAM shows the system being weaker and farther south than previous runs.

    ReplyDelete
  20. DavidFebruary 24, 2011 at 9:42 PM

    To be honest, I hope we get nothing up by the lake. Did enough plowing for one year.

    ReplyDelete
  21. SnowFanFebruary 24, 2011 at 9:58 PM

    Does anybody find it a little bizarre that EVERY synoptic snowstorm potential has been swooped out from under us right at the last minute this year? What gives? It's just getting strange now.

    ReplyDelete
  22. DKFebruary 24, 2011 at 10:12 PM

    Scott,
    I know weather is always evolving and such, but it's unbelievable how much the models are struggling this winter. This isn't the first time that a significant shift occurred within a mere 12 hours out. Is this typical and I just don't remember from past winters, or is the climate being exceptionally elusive to the forecast models this winter?

    ReplyDelete
  23. SnowFanFebruary 24, 2011 at 10:23 PM

    Scott did you beef up the numbers slightly on the air compared to the latest snowfall map you updated at 9:30?

    ReplyDelete
  24. News 8 WeatherFebruary 24, 2011 at 10:36 PM

    No this is weather, that's all. Models cannot predict precisely what will occur even 12 hours out.

    ReplyDelete
  25. weatherdanFebruary 24, 2011 at 11:24 PM

    Waht the heck happened. We go from being in the heaviest snow at 6 to missing out, ONCE AGAIN at 11am. Just like evry storm this winter. WE are in a snow hole in Rochester. At the last minute these storms miss us ovwr and over again. It is getting almost unbeleiveable.

    ReplyDelete
  26. AnonymousFebruary 24, 2011 at 11:26 PM

    This winter sucks.

    ReplyDelete
  27. AnonymousFebruary 24, 2011 at 11:27 PM

    Why do they still have winter strom warnings up for a wimpy 4 inches?

    ReplyDelete
  28. KROCFebruary 24, 2011 at 11:34 PM

    We still have Warnings up because the National Weather Service can't get over their pride.

    ReplyDelete
  29. AnonymousFebruary 25, 2011 at 12:38 AM

    I agree. synoptically this winter has just up and sucked! Every time! 36 hrs out we look great and then it just f'n falls apart. DANG. NWS should downgrade northern most counties to advisory. I don't see more than 8 inches falling anywhere in Orleans or Niagara. Monroe still has a small shot. Could LE enhancement make up the difference now that it looks soo much colder? I'm sick of this winter wimping out. Can we get a big one in March please!!! RocDave

    ReplyDelete
  30. AnonymousFebruary 25, 2011 at 2:43 AM

    I'm the only one on now apparently, but I see some interesting developments. Radar trends in S. Michigan are rather impressive. Looking at everything. I think the thruway region may still be in the bullseye zone. Go figure. Just when I give up. They bring me back!!!! RocDave

    ReplyDelete
  31. Sal in LyonsFebruary 25, 2011 at 6:12 AM

    Starting snowing in Lyons about 5:15 a.m.

    ReplyDelete
  32. Mack BaxterFebruary 25, 2011 at 8:56 AM

    At the intersection of the three counties: Livingston, Ontario and Steuben (on Pardee Hollow Road)

    We have 3 inches at 8:50 AM-- 2-25-11 Friday AM

    From the Baxter's home

    ReplyDelete
  33. AdamFebruary 25, 2011 at 10:57 AM

    Quiet... everyone must be shoveling :)

    6.5" in Greece

    ReplyDelete
  34. AdamFebruary 25, 2011 at 11:01 AM

    oops :) there's a newer post on the blog (that I already posted on) whoops, I must be tired ;)

    ReplyDelete
  35. AnonymousFebruary 25, 2011 at 2:44 PM

    I couldn't tell anyone how much snow is in Fairport right now but theres definitely alot! Its been sick nasty all day. lol I'm going to guess at least 5 inches.. AT LEAST! I hope this is the last time that will happen for the season. haha

    ReplyDelete
  36. AnonymousFebruary 25, 2011 at 2:45 PM

    Oh and I decided to take a walk in it. Its beautiful, it really is. But I'm done with the snow now. =]

    ReplyDelete

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