YOU'RE SPOILED AND YOU DON'T EVEN KNOW WHY!
Written By: Scott Hetsko
The past 20 years have averaged more snow per season than ANY other 20 year period in Rochester going back to 1884! This Winter makes the 7th 100" season since 2000-01 (70%) The numbers really surprise once you dig deeper toward the first half of the 20th century. Here's a couple of interesting snow facts:
1) We've had the same 100" seasons since 2000 (7) then the period between 1910-1956!
2) Between 1923 through 1955 there were NO 100" SEASONS for Rochester!
3) Since records began, there have been 33 seasons of 100"+ in Rochester. 19 of them (63%) have occurred since 1970!
Wow. Great stats, Scott. That's what I call "putting it into perspective." I just hope the 100" winter trend continues for the coming decades. Some of the stats in the middle 20th century were just pathetic by today's seasonal snowfall standards.
ReplyDeleteI would say that this should quiet the folks who come on here relentlessly repeating themselves about "snow hole over Rochester" or nickel and dime crap" or "fake fluff". But, unfortunately, it probably won't. It's a personality type. Those folks probably aren't satisfied by anything in life.
Typical Democrats
ReplyDeleteScott, can you do some research and see if we used to receive more synoptic storms in the past than we have over the past 20 years? I am just curious because maybe the lake effect has increased, but the storm frequency has decreased.
ReplyDeleteGuys, the truth is in the pudding. We have been nickle and dimed this year. I think our biggest styomr was 8 inches of lake effect snow. What was out biggest synoptic storm????? 4- 5 inches I beleive. We are not in a snow hole for lake effect, but we are for synoptic storms. The proof is there. It is not being negative, just realistic.
ReplyDeletei agree and thats just from the airport as a kid i remeber the snow getting close to my parents garage roof and yea as a kid i did grow but that roof didnt there hasnt ben any big storms just lake effect witch dosnet come down south of the airport and it seems like when a storm does hit its rain or mix makes me wonder
ReplyDeleteThe numbers speak for themselves, people. Many years in the middle 20th century struggled just to hit 50 to 60 inches for the entire year. Even if all of those inches fell in one single storm it would barely hit your parent's garage roof. Memories are selective and failing sometimes.
ReplyDeleteScott,
ReplyDeleteDid you hear about Joe Bastardi suddenly resigning? Any word on what caused him to do that? It's hard to believe he would leave the profession given how passionate he is about weather.
Scott what do you think will happen with monday-tuesday storm? nooa has either 2 days of snow or 2 days of rain or 1 day of each, but they catagarized it as a strong storm working it's way up through the northeast. Friday forecast 3-5 inches seem s like a good forecast. Sunday same type of forecat?
ReplyDeletesnowfan to this day i can touch the gutter on the garage it wasnt a big garage but i am 5 7 and if i strectch i can hit the gutter so dont tell me my memory is failing bottom line storms are not what they used to be
ReplyDeleteYeah I think Friday and Sunday each could produce 3-5" snowfall that is IF they are all snow. As for next week, probably rain over to snow showers and wind Tuesday. We'll see!
ReplyDeleteScott
Don't tell me that snow was routinely over 5 feet deep, Anonymous, and expect me to ever believe it. Unless you live in Northeastern Wayne county, or Oswego county, but I get the sense that you don't. Maybe you live in a wide open and windy area where snow drifts a lot, but even then 5 foot snow drifts are still a rarety.
ReplyDeleteoperational models and ensemble members are still all over the place with the positioning of the low on Friday. The range is anywhere between a low passing right over us with mostly rain, to the low passing well to our south and east giving us just cold, dry conditions. A compromise between the two places WNY in an "interesting" spot on Friday with rain initially, then changing over to snow for most of the event. Still a low confidence forecast, at best. Models should come together rapidly by Thursday's 0z or 12z package. Possibly earlier tha that, but i'm not counting on it.
ReplyDeleteWeatherDan - I did a post after talking to the NWS in Buffalo about Synoptic versus Lake Effect, here is what they had to say
ReplyDeletehttp://rhpweatherblog.blogspot.com/2010/12/are-we-experiencing-less-synoptic-snows.html
Brian
I think you have to remember that us folks down south have not see the 100 inches. That may be the reasons for some voices of frustration. We need synoptic snow. Usually the lake effect doesn't hit us.
ReplyDeleteAgain, the vast majority of the population density lives in the Rochester Metro. Areas well south of Rochester NEVER get as much snow seasonally as areas north of the thruway. Move north closer to the lake. 100"+ years in the middle Genesee Valley just aren't gonna happen. Sorry.
ReplyDeleteSurprised no update or talk about the storm on Friday. Looks like we could be in a good spot with the track to get a plowable midsize storm. What is youv thought Scott and DK? Thanks
ReplyDelete