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Monday, March 21

A SHOVEL READY PROJECT?



Written By: Scott Hetsko

The first full week of Spring will begin to feel and then look like Winter in Western New York. Colder air will seep South out of Eastern Canada as Polar high pressure slowly pushes South. Low pressure will develop along a stationary front draped near the NY/PA border during the day Wednesday. The combination of surface cold air with precipitation from the system will mean wet snow for Rochester.

Of course there are "ifs" with any snowfall this late in the season. Right now I'd say to expect a 3-6" wet snow for the metro during the day. Mixed precipitation will hold down the snow amounts in the Southern Tier where temperatures may be warm enough for some rain as well.

14 comments:

  1. OK welcome to Rochester in March. Scott are you pretty confident about the 3-6 for the city and is there a possibility of more?

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  2. Absolutely disgusting.

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  3. Confidence is always lower this time of year but I feel pretty good with forecasting enough snow to shovel and plow North.

    Scott

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  4. BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!

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  5. I'm going to call it now. I bet anything that the NWS puts out an advisory to begin and then upgrades it to a warning a few hours into the event. They are afraid to commit after their un-precedented busts when it comes to storms this year. But I can't blame them, winter has played every meteorologist this year one way or another!

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  6. Scott,
    Could all this abnormal cold now increase our chance for above average warmth later on due to the cold air being so spread out and thus drained rather than stacking up north? Or doesn't it work that way?

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  7. Doesn't really work that way but I'm hopeful for a warmer Spring and Summer.

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  8. .....but I feel pretty good with forecasting enough snow to shovel and plow North.

    I'm not shoveling anything. Enough ! It can stay there until it rots.

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  9. I think that last spring's warmth and growing season that started three weeks early (86F on April 2nd) makes this cold pattern in late March tougher to take.

    I agree, Scott. I'm hoping that this chilly pattern isn't revealing a sign of how our spring / summer will ultimately pan out. As of right now, it looks like any lasting warmth (key word, "lasting") won't come until sometime after the first week of April, unless something changes, which it certainly could by then. In any case, I have a feeling things could turn around to above average warmth by about one month from now, lasting into the first week or two of May. I don't really have any true science or data to back that up. Just a feeling based on how much of this cold air will flood our area for the next two to three weeks. Somethings gotta give eventually.

    By the way, does anybody else find it amazing how persistent and strong this cold has been when you consider the fact that our earth is supposedly flooded with enormous amounts of man name CO2? How is cold of this caliber even able to survive as it has this winter in a rapidly warming and polluted world? How can freezing temps even survive the trip to places like Florida this winter, when it has SO much greenhouse gas working against it? Very confusing....Good thing all the climate scientists have fallen in line with one unified explaination to all this confusion.

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  10. So just a two or three inch snowfall tomorrow is that correct? This is nothing just a pain because we had those awesome warm days late last week.

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  11. I am moving back to NY in early April ... I hope that you still have some snow left for me when I get up there

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  12. I wouldn't be a pain if not for the fact that it will be below average cold for the next two weeks. Our average high should be near 50 by next week. That's what makes it a pain.

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  13. Snowing now in Sparta! I am over it. Ready for that wonderful Tennessee weather in a couple of months.

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  14. DK, that's because this whole man-made global warming thing is a farce.

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