WEDNESDAY MORNING SNOW UPDATE
Written by: Brian Neudorff
Updated the forecast for the afternoon into tonight. Not high amounts but light snow will continue into the evening and over night. Narrow bands of snow will begin to form later today into this evening as the storm gets closer. Some places south near the NY/PA border will see a possible wintry mix of sleet or even freezing rain.
Updated the forecast for the afternoon into tonight. Not high amounts but light snow will continue into the evening and over night. Narrow bands of snow will begin to form later today into this evening as the storm gets closer. Some places south near the NY/PA border will see a possible wintry mix of sleet or even freezing rain.
I thought with the new technology weather forecasting was going to be better. It is the only job where you just say what might happen and if you are wrong so be it. The best forecast this winter is the say it will snow some will get more and some willl get less. Putting numbers on it is a waste of time. How many times have things switched this year the computer models are worthless all they tell you that is accurate is that it will snow somewhere.
ReplyDeleteFirst of all, forecasting over 10-20 years has gotten better but this is not and never has been an exact science. It is more than just model. Had we told you want the models were saying this would be a really worst bust.
ReplyDeleteIt is very easy to come to a blog, hide behind anonymous and blast people. I would have more respect for your words and your complaints if you actually used a real name. There are not many meteorologist who give the viewers this kind of access to the meteorologist and their forecasts.
Thank you for coming by and sharing your thoughts, but it's a lot easier to hide and complain than to actually have the skills to do this job. -Brian
Very light snow in Lyons...started about 8 a.m.
ReplyDeleteThank you Sal, figures that is what you will have most of the morning. Should see more snow later today and evening.
ReplyDeleteBrian said it best. It's not an exact science. This year has been an especially tough year to forecast synoptic storms, not to mention the overall weather pattern which has floored long range forecasters for two winters in a row.
ReplyDeleteI like to explain it like this:
When you blow out a candle, have you ever watched all the cool swirls and such that the lingering smoke makes as it rises through the room? Now imagine trying to model exactly how that smoke would rise through the room, right down to every little swirl or shift from random wind currents that you can't see. Keep in mind, you would be modeling it BEFORE it happened. Now put that on a much larger scale, and you have weather forecasting. Quite frankly, it's amazing technology has gone this far in terms of forecasting weather. It ain't easy.
Another perfect example like that DK is the currents in a pot of boiling water. It will be very hard to keep track of it and predict it before you even added the heat to the water.
ReplyDeleteOne really cool thing is how the temperature has dropped about a degree every half hour since 7am when it was 28. At almost 9am we are at 24 thanks to the snow taking energy out of the air as it evaporates as it falls. This is called evaporative cooling. - Brian
ReplyDeleteHow often does that happen.. It cant be very often as conditions really have to come together for that type of temperature drop associated directly with precipitation in the form of snow only. I know it happens quite often with rain.
ReplyDeleteWell, the ground is covered up down here in Sparta. With the ground being warmer it probably took awhile to stick ask it is hard to tell how much. Light snow now bit there may be more moving in looking at radar.
ReplyDeleteLite snow in Gates. What has fallen to now has barely stuck, but it is starting to stick now.
ReplyDeleteWhen do you think this will end---this PM, later?
Originally I thought this would be essentially over by about 5PM, now it looks like you guys are thinking it will snow well into the night?
Charles - It happens quite often with snow. I have seen it numerous times with snow. This morning dew points were in the teens. Radar was showing considerable returns but none was hitting the ground for about 1 hour or 2. As the temperature dropped the snow started to fall more and stick as it moisten the atmosphere too. -Brian
ReplyDeleteAs for snow - 1-4" today and then an addition 1-2 maybe 3 tonight.
I have a hair over 4" on my deck here in Wayland and it's still snowing steadily. I was out at 7:30am shoveling a path in my driveway for my girls to catch the bus.
ReplyDeleteNew 8: My daughters school in Greece is leaving for Chicago early tomorrow morning. I'm pretty nervous about the weather. What can we expect tomorrow and will weather impact travel from Rochester to Chicago?
ReplyDeleteA couple 2 or three inches of snow in Lyons at noontime....mainly on grassy surfaces. Roads and paved surfaces are just wet.
ReplyDeleteI can't speak for the experts, but this type of snow shouldn't amount to anything the airlines / airports can't handle. Worse case scenerio would be some very minor delays for routine de-icing. But, runways will be fine, and deicing won't be a problem. Airports have operated in much worse conditions than this without problems. This is minor league stuff for them. I wouldn't worry.
ReplyDeleteJenny: Weather will be ok but some light snow will linger tonight and early Thursday. Her flight might be delayed but shouldn't be a big deal!
ReplyDeleteScott
Most of the southern Tier of Buffalo has received 6-11 inches of snow. Still expecting another 2-4 down there before it winds down. Pretty decent snowstorm.
ReplyDeleteScott: Thanks. The schools traveling by bus, not plane. I guess I didn't make that clear.
ReplyDeleteVery heavy snow in Rochester right now. Sticking to paved surfaced despite the high sun angle. Gonna be a very messy commute this evening. Drive with caution everybody!
ReplyDeleteLooks like the snow forecast will verify. Slick ride home tonight with light to moderate snow and lowering sun angle. Drive slowly out there this evening.
ReplyDeleteScott Hetsko
How much more snow does north Rochester where the airport is located get compared to 5-10 miles south of Rochester? If the Buffalo airport was located 5-10 miles south of Buffalo instead of northeast, the yearly total would be 120-130 average per year instead of 93. =P
ReplyDelete