March Chill in May??
Written by John DiPasquale:
The damp & unseasonably chilly weather that developed over the weekend, especially Sunday will not be going anywhere soon. At this point, it looks like we will remain chilly & damp, but not nearly as wet as yesterday on this Monday. Temperatures will have a tough time getting out of the 40s, with a stiff north northeast wind accentuating the March chill in May.
The storm responsible for the terrible weekend weather is falling apart near Northern Virgina, but yet another one is developing in response to the cut-off upper level low just spinning down south with very little sense of direction. This will ensure the area of another round of steadier rain later Tuesday into Wednesday. The only good news concerning Tuesday afternoon & Wednesday will be that the flow will turn more easterly, instead of northeast, which should lead to more seasonable temperatures by Wednesday afternoon. Thankfully, the storm system should weaken enough so that the shower activity should become more scattered & diurnal Thursday & Friday. Temperatures should crack 70 by Friday with any luck. An early sneak peak into the weekend looks pretty good Saturday, but might turn a bit more unsettled again Sunday. We'll see. Stay tuned throughout the week for the latest regarding that all important weekend outlook.
Have a great day everyone!
What's going on with the weather these days? I know that anomalies are normal to some extent...but is something wierd happening to our overall weather pattern like the previous poster said??
ReplyDeleteNo I disagree. Everyone has a short memory. This is a common "rare" occurrence meaning that blocking patterns like this occur often in the mid latitudes in both hemispheres. In the late 1800's, Rochester had some of it's coldest and wettest springs on record. I'm sure there were some writing into the papers back then with similar concerns.
ReplyDeleteWeather is repetitive. Just as we enjoyed 5-7 days of great weather last week, we get 5-7 days of bad weather this week.
Scott Hetsko
Thanks for your input Scott. I guess sometimes it takes a professional who studies this stuff for a living to put things into a more realistic perspective. I think we all hoped that this spring would be as unbelievably nice as last years spring. But we all knew deep down that two springs like that in a row would be rare..to say the least.
ReplyDeleteBy the way, keep up the great work. I liked Bob Metcalfe and Brian Neudorf, but I just wanted to say that I like John DiPasquale and Stacey Pensgen just as much. They both have excellent on-air personalities, and most importantly, it is obvious that they are very intelligent. I can tell that they understand and enjoy the meteorology that they talk about. Believe it or not, viewers can pick up on those traits. Once again...you have assembled an excellent weather team over there at Channel 8 / Fox. Kudos.
Scott,
ReplyDeleteWill this blocking pattern be an ongoing event all summer long?
Shall I forget about putting in central air this year?
I am by no means a professional weather forecast person, but what I have gathered in the world of long range forecasting, is that this might be a repeat of the summer of the late 1800's.
Thanks AgriTom, I agree that we won't miss a beat with John and Stacey joining my team. As for this Summer, I believe that this pattern ends by the second or third week of June.
ReplyDeleteI expect Summer weather to be warm and drier, unlike last summer which was VERY wet.
My question is why do you do an extended forecast for when it changes every day?Lastnight Mr Hetsko was telling us warmer weather was coming starting with a high near 57 today.Now we are being told it won'nt get out of the 40's today.
ReplyDeleteForecasting weather isn't like plugging in legos, Anonymous. Air masses, and frontal boundaries and precipitation and clouds are swirling all around us at any given moment. Sometimes they speed up, sometimes they slow down, sometimes they stall out, sometimes they fizzle out. So, sometimes the timing and exact placement of these factors can be off, which can impact the forecast...even in the short range. It's really not as exact of a science as people think that it should be. I'm amazed science has advanced even as far as it has in this field.
ReplyDeleteRocWx is right obviously but also please let my forecast be wrong before you declare it wrong, ok?
ReplyDeleteI still think we'll reach the lower or even mid 50s this afternoon before showers pick up again. By the way, RocWx, a front IS a boundary by definition so frontal boundary is redundant. Just a pet peeve of mine, thanks for the defense!
Scott Hetsko