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Tuesday, July 19

Stubborn Low Clouds Slowly Break Up



Written by John DiPasquale:


Definitely a bit surprised by the slow to departing/evaporating of the low clouds this morning. High pressure building in from the northwest will eventually help dry the low levels out enough so that the low clouds will dry up & allow a decent amount of sun to shine through late this morning into the afternoon. Temperatures will scoot up into the mid to upper 80s later today thanks to the return of the sun. However, today will be a bit cooler & become less humid than yesterday thanks to the backdoor cold front that snuck through the area last night.


Late tonight into early Wednesday, the backdoor cold front will be pulled back across the area as a warm front by a storm system traveling across Southeastern Canada. This will lead to the hottest air of the season blowing in for the last half of this week. Temperatures with a good deal of sun & increasing humidity will jump into the low & mid 90s, while mid to upper 90s is possible Thursday! The heat index, or feel like readings, for tomorrow & Thursday will range from 95 to 100 & 100 to 105, respectively! It appears Thursday will likely be the hottest day we've felt in Rochester & WNY since 2007, if not longer ago. The searing heat & humidity will stick around Friday, before it gets most likely pushed out Saturday by a strong cold front, which will likely be accompanied by scattered showers & storms. Temperatures will likely cool off back into the 80s Saturday & possibly upper 70s to low 80s Sunday! All I can say to that is AHHHHHHH!!!! Cant' wait!


Have a nice day & enjoy the relative tolerable heat & humidity today everyone.




















8 comments:

  1. How much rain do you think the cold front on Sat. will produce for us? Yesterday's was a bit starved for moisture. Let's hope saturday's will have a bit more pizzazz

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  2. THE NWS IS CALLING IT A WEAK COLD FRONT, BUT I TRUST CHANNLE 8 MORE THAN THE NWS.

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  3. Chris, Sodus PointJuly 19, 2011 at 3:09 PM

    When is the last time a temperature reading exceeded 100 degrees at ROC?

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  4. Scott,
    I'm a bit confused. Depending on what channel or website I go to, it's either going to be comfortably cooler in the low-mid 80's this weekend, or the 90's will extend right through Sunday. ALL of the channels have also flip flopped more than once on the extend of the heat after Friday. So what's the real story?

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  5. Yeah so are we! There's been a fight between two trusted long range models. EURO wants to cool us off over the weekend while the GFS waits until a bigger pattern change comes on Monday. I tend to agree with GFS and persist forecasting as well. At this point I would lean toward heat through Sunday.

    Of course, that may change!

    Scott

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  6. Last time we were over 100: June of 1953

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  7. Thanks, Scott. And Please don't take any offense to my question. Like I said, ALL of the networks have been shifting back and forth on the extent of the heat after about Friday. But, this makes sense when you have the GFS and Euro flip floppin like they are. I would have been inclined to ask Kevin Williams or Glenn Johnson the same exact question BUT they don't have an excellent blog that allows for such great interaction with the community like your Channel 8 weather blog does. Plus, I have found your forecasts to be the most accurate over the years. For that, I am very appreciative.

    Keep up the great work channel 8 / fox Weather team!

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  8. 6/21/53 NWS archival data says high was exactly 100---last time triple digits were reached. Last time over 100????? Probably that heat wave back in the 30's???

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