WINTRY MIX SUNDAY
Written by: Brian Neudorff
One of the many things that are difficult to forecast and freezing rain tends to be one of them. You can see from our Winter Ready Special that there needs to be just a very shallow area of freezing and subfreezing temperatures close to the surface but also shallow enough not to let the rain freeze before hitting the frozen surfaces. This is what we are seeing in places across Western New York this morning. There is a freezing rain advisory until 1pm Sunday afternoon.
By the afternoon temperatures will rise above freezing into the upper 30s to near 40 but there will still be icy mess across the Northeast and into the Mid Atlantic. There is an upper level system coming out of the Great Lakes moving into Ontario and a surface storm moves up the east coast later today and tonight. It appears the worst places to travel today will be south of Rochester and into Pennsylvania over to Washington D.C and Philadelphia. Even reports on Twitter this morning that ice is bad in Pittsburgh.
If you live in the interior parts of Western New York, especially in the higher elevations of the Finger Lakes and Southern Tier, be careful if you will be out, you might encounter some slick and hazardous conditions.
We should start tallying up the number of synoptic systems that bring 0.50" or more of liqid precip to our area this winter, and see how many featured warm advection and a rain / ice mix versus pure snow. So far we're 0-2 when it comes to snow wins, provided that this current system gives us a half inch of liquid.
ReplyDeleteYup, no sign anywhere in the near future of synoptic snows. All the snow goes East of Lake Ontario. And when it gets cold enough, we get lake snows, but that's hit and miss.
ReplyDeleteis there any potential for this lake effect on tuesday and wednesday bring a significant snow to Wayne county
ReplyDeleteCertainly nothing like last week. High pressure with associated dry air as well as anticyclonic flow will limit snow for Wayne County this week. NW flow = multiple bands off of Lake Ontario. It will be quite cold here from Tuesday night right on through next weekend as it looks now.
ReplyDeleteSo basically, now that it's finally going to get cold enough for snow for an extended period of time, it's also going to be dry for the most part. Seriously, this is getting to be a broken record here: Cold, but no major precip to speak of; warm, then comes the big storm. Yiks, what a frustrating pattern. Please tell me something is cooking on the horizon
ReplyDeleteScott,
ReplyDeleteDoes the Rochester area at least stand a chance for SOME accumulating snow during the limited time that lake effect does happen this week? I know accuweather is a bit sensationalized, but they have this crazy headline on their website about 1-2 feet of snow in the NW wind snowbelts. They actually call out Rochester, NY specifically among other locations as getting in on the action.