COLD TUESDAY THEN MILDER DAYS COMING
Written By: Scott Hetsko
After a cold day with snow showers on Tuesday, high pressure builds in from the lower Mississippi valley by Wednesday. Eventually milder air will curve over the Northern edge of this ridge. The result here will be temperatures slowly warming later this week. Highs in the 20s Tuesday, low 30s Wednesday and near 40 degrees by Thursday and Friday.
Some snow stats of note: Rochester is now about 16" above average for snowfall compare to season to date. In January, we are 13" above average but that number will drop without significant snowfall the next week to ten days. There will be a storm out of the Gulf of Mexico this weekend but I believe that this storm will likely stay well Southeast of our area Sunday into Monday. Blame strong high pressure over Maine for that.
Well, the zonal flow was bound to return eventually. Scott, I mentioned in this morning's blog that Joe Bastardi is calling for the major cold pattern to make a huge comeback toward the end of January. When do you think we'll return back to a cold and snowy pattern?
ReplyDeleteAO AND NAO forecasts both point to negative values after a brief respite. I do think we're in for at least two more 7-14 days periods of very cold and snow before Winter is done. I think February will be the least snowiest month of Winter. I said in out Winter Outlook that two months would be snowy with over 30" in those months. January already has 22" so I like my chances this month
ReplyDeleteI also believe you said that January would have some of the coldest temperatures...and Rochester hit -4 degrees Sunday morning...not to mention nearly every day so far this month being well below average in general. So far, Scott, it's fair to say that you're nailing the winter outlook.
ReplyDeleteNailing the winter outlook? Well, Scott did say the winter would be milder than normal over all.
ReplyDeleteYes, but remember how mild November and the first half of December was. When the entire winter is averaged out, it still might be slightly milder than normal.
ReplyDelete