COLD AIR, WARM HEARTS THIS VALENTINE'S WEEKEND
Written By: Scott Hetsko
Cupid will be flying around with a thick sweater this weekend! Temperatures remain below average here in the Northeast with a broad West-northwest flow of chilly air from Central Canada. You can't really say it's bone chilling but it's been persistently cold since late January. Lake snows will fall throughout the weekend but we only expect at most 2-4" in some areas shaded in blue in Western New York. Have you heard about the record snow in Dallas? Oh by the way, global warming is to blame for the recent round of heavy snow in the mid Atlantic! This is what my lawmakers are saying, the same ones who 5 years ago said there would be no more snow thanks to global warming. I'm so confused? Oh well I'll just stick with what I know, weather!!!!
Yeah I read an article that said the freak snows are caused by "more energized storms" due to global warming. But then I recall reading about how our grandchildren won't even know what a sled is down in the mid atlantic because of global warming. Now look, i've taken many college level courses in logic, and I don't quite get that one. So...global warming will make winters milder and shorter, with snow less common in the mid atlantic...but then then it will also make them the snowiest ever, as in this year? Doesn't that defy logic, Scott? Now, i'm not a meteorologist, but i'm well read and highly educated. And when I hear things like this, it makes me feel frustrated, angry...but most of all, helpless to do anything about it when the media doesn't ask any critical questions and just goes with it. And the public buys it! What can we do?
ReplyDeleteScott, please bring on Spring. I hate this winter. When the Southeast receives a snowstorm and we have not even seen one yet it is getting quite ridiculous and laughable if you ask me.
ReplyDeleteScott,
ReplyDeleteWhy is it that snow always favors areas just west of here, basically from an Albion to Warsaw line westward? It seems no matter what teh wind direction is, or what the weather scenerio is, they always get extra enhancement in the far western portion of WNY. What's up with that?
Scott I know you're probably sick of getting this question by now, but are there any indications that the storm track will shift more north in the next several weeks? Also, are you concerned that if / when synoptic systems start favoring a track to impact us, they will over correct and start cutting west again to give us rain / snow mix events come March?
ReplyDeleteStorm track looks to remain South of the area through February. It's too early to tell how the NAO/AO changes for us in March. In El Nino Winters like this we've had March snows under 10" and over 40" so we can't even point to hard evidence climatologically that March will be one way or the other.
ReplyDeleteAs for the "more energized" storms this Winter, that is complete bull***t. I've studied weather for awhile now and there was nothing more special about this Winter's storms other than they were in the perfect location to strike areas usually prone to the warm influences of the Atlantic. They just so happened to get to major storms in one spot in one week. Look at NYC and you'll see they have had MUCH less snow then Philly or Baltimore, why? The storm track my friends and that's the only reason!
Scott,
ReplyDeleteThe subtropical jet stream indeed is quite a bit stronger than normal, due to El Nino. However, this has nothing to due with climate change (aka global warming). The location of the jet appears to be displaced a bit to the north for this El Nino hence the wet and wild weather in the mid Atlantic rather than the southeast.
Scott,
ReplyDeleteI read that the weather might have something to do with sunspots. What are they?
Here is the way I look at this lousy winter up here, Scott. If sacrificing our winter this year means buring cities from DC to Dallas, and gettting people scratching their heads and thinking twice about global warming, then it's worth it. I also think that the Russian's knew about this all along. I think they knew exactly what they were doing when they timed up leaking the climategate emails. Let's put it this way, I believe the Russians know a lot more than we do about where the climate is going. No sunspots by 2015 and a coming ice age? Entirely possible.
ReplyDeleteAs far as climate change (note I didn't say global warming), there may be paradoxical effects with increased CO2 emissions, which may raise planetary temps, but allow for regional cooling due to complex interactions beteen the oceans and atmosphere and nature's way of balancing things out. The earth's atmosphere is complex and not linear in nature. Man made influences are real, but what direction the climate is going is questionable. What is true is that the avg earth temps have warmed in the past 100 years. Global warming man made or nature cycle? Perhaps both, but most importantly, scientists have got to admit that despite all their tools and progress, there is a lot WE DON'T KNOW about climate change and we should not pretend to know.
ReplyDeleteI agree with Scott about man made "global warming"--it's BS. Sells books, gets votes, makes politicians "look sensitive"--but it's BS. They say they have solid "science"--based on what?? 100 years of data on a system that's been in motion for what 3 billion++? You gotta be kidding--funny if it wasn't so tragic in all the trouble these nuts cause. I was a research scientist for 35 years I analyzed a lot of data, if I ever drew sweeping, costly conclusions based on such limited data for such a complex system I wouldn't have lasted 15 minutes.
ReplyDeleteI notice K. Williams over at 10 isn't too big a fan of GW either--takes pokes at it all the time. Johnson doesn't say much on the subject. So two out of 3 of our meteorologists aren't "believers"--Hmmmm, something seems amiss if this is such great science why do people trained in that science say it's BS? I'd love to see a national poll of meteorologists answering a simple question--Global Warming: BS or Not BS?
Scott why don't you take charge of that?
Kevin Williams is a very strong AGW skeptic. He is a member of Dr. Joseph D'Aleo's website ICECAP.US which is filled with many great articles by scientists regarding the truth on this topic. I advise everybody visit it. Hopefuly Scott doesn't mind me plugging one of his competitors, but hopefully they get along.
ReplyDeleteScott,
ReplyDeleteWhy do democrats believe in global warming? Is it a mental disorder? Just wondering...
Oh man now we're getting political?
ReplyDeleteScott and I had this discussion the other day about why most TV mets are "critics". We see the weather on a daily basis, have our hands in it, and we see the variations daily. There's ALWAYS records being broken somewhere. Extremes are there, that's why we have a definition for extremes. Unfortunately, anything outside of the defined "normal" parameters of weather is placed in either the global warming domain or the "its totally not happening" domain, when really it belongs in neither.
I heard an interesting idea at one point. I forget where I picked it up so I can't give credit right now. But records were described like this:
The first year of weather data, every day broke a record.
The second year, roughly 1 out of 2 days broke a record.
The third year a quarter of the days were records.
... so on and so forth. Kind of made me look at it a little differently. Imagine how the media would have handled it back then!
WoW! I got a reply from cute young meteorologist Scott Metcalfe! This weather blog may be fun after all. Bob, If I drive a SUV and use old fashioned light bulbs in the winter, will summer come faster? That's how we make the global warming isnt it? How many bulbs do I need?
ReplyDeleteThe release of Co2 in the atmosphere and its effects on earth's climate is not hocus pocus and something the democrats make up. It's science. Now, what is debatable is the impact that man made emissions will have in the long run. There's a lot WE DON'T KNOW...PERIOD.
ReplyDeleteOh, and by the way, wasting energy is nothing to make light of or dismiss. It's in everyone's benefit to conserve energy as much as possible and to be mindful of more efficient and more earth friendly ways to use energy, much beyond any talk of climate change.
LOL Al Gore is that you? No one else believes in that trash. Your hoax is over. Global warming is a joke. And your silly light bulbs need to go too. They don't even last as long as the regular bulbs.
ReplyDelete