SOMETHING TO CHEW ON
Written by: Bob Metcalfe
Okay all you snow lovers, you may have something worthwhile next week. Models coming into better and better agreement about us getting at least several inches of snow from a storm ejecting off of the southern half of the Rockies. The graphic shown at left shows us in the target area, slated for arrival Tuesday afternoon and rolling over into Wednesday.
I'd feel pretty good saying that several inches are possible out of this storm at this point. I think widespread plowable snow is likely for most, and a rain/snow mix isn't a concern. It looks fairly fast-moving at this point which will help limit snowfall totals however. Another secondary low further south will also rob this storm of its major energy potential for our area, meaning only modest snow versus something noteworthy.
All the best support for heavy snow lies well southeast of us, through Philly, northern New Jersey and southern New England. A lot of vorticity advection is focused there, along with a negatively tilted upper level trough.
When you say several inches, how much are you thinking. I know its a long ways away but,
ReplyDelete2-4 4-8 8-12?
This is just me throwing a number out there, but I'd go 4-8 for our area, with the bigger numbers in the southern tier hills.
ReplyDeleteI appreciate what you're trying to do, Bob..give us something to hope for, some pos news, etc. But, come on, I know what's going to happen. Secondary storm will take over, rob our snow, and we're left in the shaft zone again. I've been disappointed way too many times this winter to expect anything substantial now. I'm predicting 1-3 inches and that's being generous! Huge bust potential with secondary trasnfers and all too often, WNY gets the into the screw zone between the 2 systems. Oh well, at least it won't be raining and in the 30s.
ReplyDeleteI love snow, but onto March and Spring please! Let this miserable, frustrating, teasing winter finally die!!
ill take 4-8 sounds good to me. hope you habe a great superbowl sunday
ReplyDeleteHere's hoping for another miss!!!
ReplyDeleteYou got it. Another miss. This AM the models are taking this low further South missing us AGAIN. Southern NY looks to get a good snowstorm as well as Eastern, Pa. We are left in the dust once again. We may get a few FAKE lake effect inches. Bring on spring and warmth..This winter is a wimp for us.
ReplyDeleteWow. South and East. How many times have we heard that this winter.
ReplyDelete