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Monday, February 15

WHY AM I EVEN TALKING ABOUT THIS?



Written By: Scott Hetsko

The overall pattern will remain quiet this week. The only hiccup is this quick moving low that will move from Eastern Ohio into Conneticut by Tuesday afternoon. We will be on the very edge of this system so again little snow is forecast for the period. Only about an inch or two for Rochester with up to 3-4" toward the Southern Finger Lakes by Tuesday evening. There is no real cold air to tap into behind the system so only lake snow showers will follow the rest of the week.

I expect us to get under 15" for a total this month. Right now we are at 6.1" so it may even be hard to get close. We've still got March which has produced some monster snowstorms in the past for us. In my Winter forecast, I mentioned that two months would record 30" of snow. That happened in January so for me to be right, March MUST deliver!

11 comments:

  1. Holy cow, 1-2 inches. What will we do with it all. Get out the snow blowers, close the schools, get ready to dig out. LOL. What a joke this winter is. At this rate i think March will be a lamb. We could end up with less than 80 inches of snow this year.

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  2. Scott I read on the NWS forecast discussion that a vigorous shortwave will be crossing our region Thursday night and that this one might be potent enough to require headlines. Do you think we have a shot at that?

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  3. So what do you think, Scott. Do you have a gut feeling that March WILL deliver? I know that a lot of laymen have a funny feeling that Ma' Nature is going to do what she does best and balance things out by kicking our butts come March and maybe even ino April. Wouldn't that be a cruel turn of events. She doesn't produce all winter, then when we're fed up with this winter, she decides to bury us in the Spring.

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  4. I know that we have been at or below freezing for quite some time, but it's still i miracle that we still have a snowpack, thin as it may be.

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  5. I hope you are wrong, but I doubt it. We'll get crushed in March. This place has a way of extending misery.

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  6. Hi Scott,
    So let's say the storm track and overall pattern starts to shift toward the end of the month or early March, allowing the low pressure systems to give us a more direct impact. Do you worry that when that happens, it will over correct, so to speak, and put us on the rain / snow gloppy side of storms, like it did when we got all those cutters that passed to our west? I have a fear that that's what might happen, and it would be the final insult to our already pathetic winter if that were to happen!

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  7. I say let it snow until June!

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  8. According to the Climate Prediction Center off the NWS website, it looks like March will be similar to how this winter has been. As a matter of fact, with the lack of snow, and the way the patterns have been, it is looking like this Spring and Summer will be very warm and dry. Some are predicting that we could have drought conditions as early as May.

    What are your thoughts on this Scott?

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  9. That is what I was thinking. We are over an inch below normal in rain equivilent so far. Over the next 7-10 days with no big storms that will grow to 1.5 - 2.00 inches below normal. I think March will be stormless.

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  10. knowing our luck it'll be snowing from march to may. lol

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  11. The Euro models are latching on to a major East coast storm in the middle of next week that would miss us South and East.

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