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Tuesday, April 6

WATCHING THE POTENTIAL FOR AFTERNOON STORMS


(Radar image from 9:41 am EDT)
Written by: Brian Neudorff

The first wave of rain associated with a warm front lifting through western and central New York will come to an end by midday. We may even get a period of some sunshine in the early to mid afternoon. Then our attention turns to the cluster of convection (Area of Thunderstorms) moving into Michigan. This system will ride along the warm boundary like trains on railroad tracks the rest of the morning and afternoon. We could expect these showers and storms to arrive sometime late afternoon into the early evening between 4 and 6 pm.

The question is how well will these storms hold together as they get closer and have to deal with colder lake temperatures of Erie & Huron. If we get any sunshine later today before the storms arrive this could help in their development when they reach western New York.

Although the Storm Prediction Center or (SPC) as we will tend to call it here on the blog, has us in a "Slight" risk for severe weather later today and evening, I do not think this is a wide spread severe weather event. I think we could get some storms that are potentially strong with gusty winds and maybe even some hail. We will have to monitor this system and depending on what the SPC sees in the afternoon it is possible we could get a severe thunderstorm watch.

For those of you who are curious, a severe thunderstorm watch doesn't mean severe weather is occurring or will occur. It means watch out storms that form have a high potential of becoming severe. If a storm becomes severe then a WARNING is issued and that's when action is needed.

6 comments:

  1. Brian what happened last night at the 10 o'clock segment on Fox? You cut yourself short and abruptly passed it over to Kevin.

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  2. If this were football I was the backup QB who fumbled the hand off. It was a bit awkward, I'm sorry for that. It was one of those situations where I realized I had made a mistake and instead of just going with the mistake I tried to correct it. Ah the joys of live TV. I'm embarrassed you caught that but I'm big enough to admit my mistakes.

    Thanks for watching, Scott is back tonight so once again balance has been restored to the force.

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  3. I didn't notice a mistake, so no worries. Besides, I don't know how you guys go on live TV and do that stuff to begin with. I think 98 percent of non-professional people would "fumble" every time they're on air lol. You guys are a special breed to be able to do that stuff.

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  4. Trust me, if you ask most of us in TV we've made some big blunders on air. Most when we're first starting out. Hopefully you get them out of the way or a great veteran in the business caught you in time to make sure you don't make BIG mistakes.

    Monday was just a case of being in an unfamiliar situation with a show. When I do FOX First at 10 it's usually a Saturday. I can count on 1 hand the number of times I have filled in during the week that late but we live and we learn. Thanks for watching and please anytime you have a question don't hesitate to ask.

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  5. Pfff, whatever, it's a non-event. You three guys make the sharpest weather team on Rochester television.

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  6. Agreed. If you're on TV for several years or more and don't have at least one blunder under you belt, you probably don't have much in common with most everybody else in live TV. It's like a right of passage lol.

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