First Flakes for Many Later Today
Written by John DiPasquale:
Brisk, damp & chilly this morning will likely give way to a colder, more blustery afternoon. In addition to it turning colder this afternoon, there will be a flare up of precipitation thanks to a strong upper air disturbance this afternoon moving in from the West. Any rain will mix with & probably change to all snow before ending for most. Across the high terrain South of the Thruway a slushy 1 to 2 or 3 inches is likely, while little, if any, accumulation is expected for the majority. With that being said, the first flakes of the season will fly for most before sunset. Enjoy! Or not.
The disturbance & surface storm will quickly move east & strong high pressure will slide in behind it tonight. This will clear the sky out & settle the winds later tonight into Friday morning, which will set the stage for the coldest morning we've felt since late March/early April, as temperatures bottom out in the mid 20s to near 30. The record in Rochester tomorrow morning is 24 degrees set back in 1940. We will not be too far away from that record, but it should not be broken.
The weekend still looks quite uneventful here in WNY with maybe a rain/snow shower later Saturday. Otherwise, a little bit of sun will shine Saturday at times, with more sun expected to return Sunday. Temperatures will range from the mid 40s to around 50 this weekend for highs.
Monday, Halloween, right now appears fairly benign, but there may be a couple of minor showers later in the day & around trick or treat time. Temperatures should get into the low 50s on Monday & should be somewhere between 45 & 50.
Have a great day & enjoy the snowflakes!
snowing at the top of bristol mountain...via webcam...looks like a good dusting thus far...hopefully the lower elevation can see some of this white stuff here shortly with the precipiation still lingering around..
ReplyDeleteWill there be frost Saturday Morning?
ReplyDeleteI heard from a person who lives outside of Penn Yan that the snow is sticking on the ground there.
ReplyDeleteI have seen pictures where it looks like 2-3" of heavy wet snow is covering the ground. Very chilly night ahead.
ReplyDeleteScott
Scott, the weekend coastal storm is getting a fair amount of hype from the media. I even saw some predictions of 6-10 inches for southeastern NY and northern NJ! Do you think these amounts are feasible for everyone, for the higher terrain, or just media hype?
ReplyDeleteHere we go again. Another year and our first miss of a noreaster.
ReplyDeleteElevations may get that much but this isn't December, it's October.
ReplyDeleteScott
weatherdan,
ReplyDeleteI feel your pain, but unfortunately, as far as climatology goes, noreasters never really were a big influence on Rochester. We can't really claim or define out winters by noreasters because of that. You have to live East of Syracuse to really expect multiple hits by noreasters. It takes a VERY amplified pattern to get a noreaster to retrograde (back up) this far west.....Or, it takes a low pressure system to track right up the spine of the Appalachians, which is a very unusual track most of the time. Rochester considers itself lucky to get slammed more than twice by a major noreaster in a single winter.
Scott,
ReplyDeleteAre you familiar with the theory about anomalously positive Siberian snow cover in October and its influence on the pattern effecting the northeast U.S later in the winter?
SnowFan,
ReplyDeleteI have heard of this theory a couple of times in the past. It basically states that October snow cover in northern Eurasia influences the NAO, thus effecting the winter months of the US. However, it seems as though it has a stronger influence on the Pacific northwest winters rather than ours, but again, its just a theory.
I should not say anything but the end of next week looks interesting based on the GFS model. That will change 1000 times before then though.
ReplyDelete