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Tuesday, March 13

Cooler, but Still Mild Wednesday

Written by John DiPasquale:

Well above average temperatures will continue by day & night through the next 7 to 10 days at least! Other than lakeshore communities I believe it will turn even warmer this weekend, especially come Sunday. However, near the lake there should be a lake breeze developing keeping it quite chilly there in the 40s to near 50, especially St. Patrick's Day, Saturday, while the rest of the area will be well into the 60s!

There MAY be enough of a gradient wind Sunday to prevent the lake breeze from developing, but still too early to tell. Either way, much of the area should get into the 70s come Sunday, & possibly flirting with the 80 early to mid next week!! Stay tuned.

The best chance for rain the way it looks now over the next several days will be Thursday into Friday with some showers & a few storms a distinct possibility. Other than that, it looks pretty uneventful over the next several days.

Have a great day everyone!


  1. How many miles inland from the lakeshore do you expect the lake breeze to reach? Will the lake breeze make it all the way to downtown Rochester for the parade?

  2. Michele in Penfield, NYMarch 13, 2012 at 3:18 PM

    I just received a note from one of the local agriculture specialists (Robert King from MCC) and thought it was interesting in regards to his comparison of the weather we are having now to the weather that occur during 1945. Hopefully this pattern doesn't come into fruition as seen below from the stats from 1945. Thought I would share it with all the bloggers.

    Regarding agriculture for our area, as you may know, the temperature forecast for the month of March is well above normal average temperatures. It appears we are in a weather pattern that has similarities to the 1945 growing season. During 1945, tree fruits were at least four weeks ahead in terms of their physiology (bud development and bloom). During the first week of April, 1945, apple, pear and tart cherry were approaching full bloom when the area experienced critical cold temperatures (frost). Frosts followed again on April 15 and 22. Total NY production of apples was 87% less, pear was 73% and tart cherry was 63% less then average. Peach and sweet cherry crops were not affected because of their different stages of development.

  3. I'm taking my snow fence down after supper. I'm sure now we'll get the biggest snowstorm of the year!

  4. Yes, we have hit 70 before in March and yes we have hit 80 before in March. It is not that unusual. What is unusual is this prolonged period of way above average temps for March. That is highly unusual no matter what anyone says. This could be bad for our tree, flowers and other agriculture. The trees are already popping and the flowers are starting to bloom. It will get cold again and probably even snow again. We will most definately have more freezes. This is not good.

  5. Hi everyone,

    I think Michele, & Anonymous are right on with their concerns with early budding & blooming thanks to the unusual length of warmth through much, if not, all of next week. Thereafter we will likely turn much colder, with at least a few hard freezes still probable.

    In the meantime, jet stream well to the north & the warmth will increase with a little shower/storm activity Thursday & Friday, & again later Sunday into Monday, otherwise it should be pretty uneventful & incredibly warm with highs in the 60s & 70s for the next 7 to 10 days, with possibly 80 or better once or twice next week! However, near the big lake it will likely be much cooler due to lake breeze many of the warm days the way it looks now. It appears that at least 2 or 3 record highs will go down over the next week or so too!

    Have a great day & enjoy all the sunshine out there today, Wednesday!

    John DiPasquale

  6. I have feeling winter is coming back the end of march and beginning of april...

  7. Sadly winter was never here this year, so not sure how it would come back.

    I hope you're wrong as I'm ready for more warmth.

  8. Hi Dave,

    Lake breeze will likely make it a few miles inland, with 40s & 50s there, but downtown Rochester for the parade should make the 60s, but not the 70s like further inland will tomorrow. Either way, it looks like a great day for all tomorrow, just cool/chilly up near the lake, but everyone will need the shades.


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