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Friday, January 25

A Little Snow for All Today & Early Tonight

Written by John DiPasquale:

A little snow this afternoon & evening for all, but no big snows in the near future are expected.  Temperatures will slowly moderate this weekend with highs in the upper teens to mid 20s, & just a little lake snow at times possible later Saturday through very early Sunday.  Much of Sunday looks good, & then a quick shot of snow late Sunday night into Monday morning ahead of warm front that MAY make for a slick Monday morning ride.  It looks like 30s Monday, 40s Tuesday & POSSIBLY...POSSIBLY 50s Wednesday...We'll see if storm strengthens as much as currently advertised & hooks as far as west too by current model runs...It's still several days out.  Either way, it will turn much colder thereafter to round out next week with lots of wind & at least some lake snow.  Stay tuned.  It looks like a wild week next week!       

80 comments:

  1. Wow, 50's next week. Goodbye snow. We will end January well below normal in snow. Heading for another dismal snow year.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. "POSSIBLY...POSSIBLY 50s Wednesday"

      Possibly 50s, for one measly day. IF the current model guidance holds. And this statement had to have caught your eye:

      "Either way, it will turn much colder thereafter to round out next week with lots of wind & at least some lake snow. Stay tuned. It looks like a wild week next week!"

      Delete
  2. *insert obligatory early spring comment*

    ReplyDelete
  3. All data still points to deep deep winter. Winter conditions are expected to last well into April. The source of the cool lake breeze this June will be the massive iceberg that still hasn't melted in Lake Ontario. Southern stream is going to become much more active first week of February.. causing storms to fling themselves all over the place East of the Mississippi.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Fighting fire with ice...I like it.

      Delete
  4. All of you should slap in the Aerosmith song "Dream On". Unreal! Data points to an early spring with temperatures in the 40s and yes 50s midweek. Look, do not say just because this last 4 days of cold weather this winter is different from last years. The average high temperature for the month was higher than the norm. It is going to be the same way for snow fall. Get used too it and go get tanning lotion for thre early spring. Sorry snow mongers!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. So what you're saying is, much like the temperatures, snowfall will be higher than the norm? Got it. How are those lilacs coming along?

      Delete
  5. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/
    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/
    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/fxus06.html

    Above average confidence for the 6-10 day period, near average for the 8-14 day period. Fun times may lie ahead.

    ReplyDelete
  6. STILL SNOWING IN HAMLIN. It has only stopped snowing for a few hours here and there THE WHOLE WEEK in Hamlin. It maybe an exception and not the rule but still VERY WINTERY FOR SOME. If next weeks storm "BOMBS OUT" like the 12Z GFS has it we will has some VERY SERIOUS WINDS with temps dropping like a rock. Arctic air will AGAIN pour south. WHO KNOWS who will get the snow next week and beyond. IT WILL SNOW I have no doubt of that. We will see either way VERY WINTERY for someone if not all, later next week and BEYOND. STAY POSITIVE. I guess it is easier for me to say that living here where it has already snowed so much.

    ReplyDelete
  7. That climate prediction sites you post Anon are a joke. Funny how everyone on here says it is hard to predict 3 days out but you put 6-10 and 8-10 prediction sites on here ha ha. Look you know what I meant before below average snow fall totals this year by far the same as last winter. The winter is DONE move on and get your sun glasses unpacked or maybe your winter rose regular glasses should be packed up.I chose to look at many factors and the one staring me right in the eye the forecast fdor next week. Spring temperatures and no snow in the next 10 days!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Oh I'm sorry, was that not enough links for you?

      http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/ensemble/naefs/semaine2/images/2013012500_054@007_E1_north@america_I_NAEFS@TEMPERATURE_anomaly@probability@combined@week2_198.png
      http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfsensemble.html
      http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ecmwfens.html
      http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/ens/m500zusanim.gif

      In case you have trouble interpreting those, they all indicate colder than normal temps prevailing in our region. Some of them might be time-sensitive FYI. And just for kicks, here's the warm-loving Joe Lundberg's thoughts from today:

      http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/lundberg/conflicting-sig/4850098

      Any questions?

      Delete
  8. How come accuweahter has possible ice as a concern from Buffalo to NYC Sunday into Monday? Have not hear anything locally about that?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The worst that would happen from any ice we get is a period of slick driving conditions, before we warm above freezing and the ice melts. Not that big of a deal, which is probably why no one local has been talking about it.

      Delete
  9. I am looking forward to the warm-up to be honest. This is too cold. I love snow but cannot stand this frigid air. PLus when you have this cold air there are no storms around just very localized lake effect. BORING!!!!!!

    ReplyDelete
  10. another day on the blog - anonymous sticking "it's" finger in its belly button, sniffing it, and trying to see if it smells more like Vermont cheddar (barrel aged) or fontina and then saying spring is here & Macedon bitching......

    something to be said for status quo

    ReplyDelete
  11. It is a PERFECT winter morning in Hamlin. The sun is shining on the extremely white fresh snow pack which is still covering everything hanging all over the trees, and houses. It is calm and cold just perfect.

    ReplyDelete
  12. Another beautiful spring day and Mike coming out of that hole he lives in to make his monthly post. Perhaps he lives with his mommy and she only lets him on the computer once a month. Still no cold and no big storms in site

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Are you for real right now? It's in the low 20s regionwide, that is most decidedly un-springlike. Does nitrogen have to freeze for it to be winter in your eyes? Though now I can see how you sustain that absurd early spring argument...by having ridiculously low standards for what spring is.

      Delete
  13. I'm begining to think this winter will go down as ho hum, nothing special. No it's not spring, but it looks like up and down bland weather, with no big storms, and little lake effect. I hope I'm wrong, but the clock is ticking.

    ReplyDelete
  14. Have you look at the forecast for next week in terms of temperatures? Springlike yes! Also not one storm in sight bc if there was some would be posting about that potential for a big storm. Lets all face the fact that we are going to have an early spring and we will have less snowfall than last winter. Mark it down! It is also funny how some come on here and make predictions that are not even close and yet disappear. Weatherguy is one. David said the other day that the strong band will shift south and that never happened. And best of all Andrew. Where has he been lately since I think you can check, he made a prediction for almost double digit snowfall last night? He is always right on ha ha. Where has he been lately? But I am a troll?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You're one to talk about disappearing, Mr. Anonymous. I know I'm anonymous too, deal with it. I will quote you from earlier:

      "Another beautiful spring day"

      We are in the low 20s Fahrenheit today. How is that springlike? Also there's this tidbit from the NWS:

      "BOTH 00Z GFS AND ECMWF HAVE THE COLD AIR BACK IN PLACE FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. ALTHOUGH STILL VERY EARLY THE PATTERN WOULD AGAIN BECOME FAVORABLE FOR SOME SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO RETURN ACROSS THE LAKES. WAY TOO EARLY TO PIN DOWN THE ORIENTATION OF THE LAKE EFFECT BUT 850MB TEMPS...LAKE INDUCED INSTABILITY AND LAKE CAPES LOOK TO BE COMPARABLE TO THE EXTENDED LAKE EFFECT EPISODE WE SAW LAST WEEK."

      Based on what I saw on the models this would arrive on a stronger and wetter cyclonic flow, rather than just a slow and dry puff like what we saw this week. To me, this says better lake effect chances over a broader area INCLUDING metro Rochester. This is what the models show, I can't claim to know that this will happen.

      As for the people you mentioned, I'm assuming they're young people. Combine that with the fact that it's a weekend and it's easy to see where they might have gone...out, to live their lives like normal young people.

      And as for you...the reason we see you as a troll is because you seem to exist only to tick everyone off. Why do we have this idea? Because you're always claiming to "know" that "spring is here" without ever citing any supporting evidence. The forecast for a few days of warmth next week is not supporting evidence, FYI. Models, ensembles, teleconnection indices, Wheeler phase plot...THOSE are supporting evidence. And such evidence (for the most part) indicates that winter not even close to over, yet you keep insisting it is, again with no supporting evidence whatsoever. In the end (i.e. by the final week in February) you may end up being right about an early spring, in the same way a broken analog clock is right twice a day, but without any supporting evidence it's no better than hitting a bullseye in a dark room.

      In the meantime, enjoy having a few days of mild air in the forecast. They'll be gone before you know it...

      Delete
  15. The clock is not ticking it has reached midnight! It is over all the predictions for a winter different than last year are wrong.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Today marks the first time since Monday that we've gotten out of the teens. That didn't happen last season.
      We've been averaging colder than normal for the past two weeks. That didn't happen last season.
      There are signs that another extended wintry period is on our doorstep. That didn't happen last season.

      But please, do continue to delude yourself further for my amusement.

      Delete
  16. Well again people get defensive when they know someone is right so I will take your rant as a compliment. Lake effect snow again and this time you claim the Rochester metro could get in on it? Really? First of all, if it happens, more than likely it will not impact any where other than it did before. So Hamlin and the 25 other people who live in those areas will again be happy. But thanks for giving us all hope with lake effect snow.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. "when they know someone is right"

      And THERE is your biggest problem, right there in a nutshell. Claiming to know that which is impossible to know, declaring victory when the game hasn't even started yet. Unsurprisingly without any supporting evidence yet again, another one of your problems. And I guess you missed the part that said "This is what the models show, I can't claim to know that this will happen." And I guess you also missed the part that said:

      "WAY TOO EARLY TO PIN DOWN THE ORIENTATION OF THE LAKE EFFECT"

      Yes, the Rochester metro COULD get in on it, POSSIBLY. It's an early enough juncture that basically everyone is still in the game. But I guess it's not okay to speculate unless such speculation agrees with your opinion huh?

      You really need some got danged humility I tell ya whut.

      Delete
  17. I am not going to get to involved in this bickering match about winter and spring. I would like to correct anonymous though. There is more like 30 people in Hamlin, not 26. You are correct about one thing though, we are all very happy and it will snow more. ACTUALLY IT IS SNOWING AS WE SPEAK. LOOKS VERY SNOWY FOR OUR 30 RESIDENTS. I did laugh at that 26 people comment.

    ReplyDelete
  18. I will say that late next week and next weekends forecast has got me excited again. It looks to be VERY SNOWY, again. I would watch Friday night into Saturday. That secondary trough swinging through could excite the lakes. I will say with confidence. VERY SNOWY for somebody late next week and beyond!!!!! Also how quick will the cold front swing through? Where does that secondary storm form on that cold front. Look at 12Z GFS could get interesting next week, very exciting for the 30 of us on the west side of town.

    ReplyDelete
  19. Wow Anonymous - you should work for Letterman - that was very original. By the way, at least my mother walks upright and only has female genitalia.

    Everyone please note - it is easy to take this simpleton off of it's game - don't ask it for data - that doesn't work -I have had two posts addressing it in a month and it messed it's drawers each time.

    ReplyDelete
  20. Yikes people it's just weather O___o

    I'm liking the lake effect potential for late next week...more moisture in the boundary layer and stronger winds, MAYBE the lake shore won't be the only winner this time. Far too early to tell exactly where any lake effect will set up (as always), either way it looks like an active time of it next week.

    On a statistical note, we are currently 15.4 inches ahead of last season's snowfall by this date, and only 26.2 away from passing last season with plenty of winter still to go. The next cold intrusion doesn't look as pronounced as this past one, we'll see exactly what that leads to.

    ReplyDelete
  21. Ha ha Hamlin see you have a sense of humor. I have data just look out the window and current statistics. Oh and forecast where it will be high 40s and 50s on Wednesday and Thursday. Mike drawers? Speaking of drawers rumor is your wife's drawers are mighty hugezzzzz. Is that true and does data support that?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 50s on Thursday you say? Channel 8 is predicting Thursday to have a high of 32, with the words "cold" and "snow" on the graphic.

      http://rochesterhomepage.net/weather/7day

      Wife jokes, really? Not impressed in the slightest. I take it you were born after Y2K. Using a word like "hugezzzzz" made that abundantly clear.

      Delete
  22. Check out this satellite shot of the very impressive storm near Iceland:

    http://i.imgur.com/4adeo9K.jpg

    I believe it had a minimum central pressure around 924 mb at its peak (about what one would find in a Category 4 hurricane). Now imagine a storm of that magnitude riding up along the east coast. That would make for some frightening times in these parts.

    ReplyDelete
  23. Hey anon Stacey tonight on the 6 news high in the 50s Thursday. Stop reading old forecasts on this site. You are better than that I think? Just say spring like temperatures and you will be ok.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. That's a big change from earlier and doesn't agree with any other forecast I've seen. So either you're lying through your teeth or I must respectfully disagree with Stacey, because the timing of the cold front (as of now) appears to be later Wednesday and not Thursday. Every other forecast represents this idea.

      Delete
  24. Let me see anon 7:24 13wham and 10nbc 50s both days and 40s Tuesday since you want data. Why can't you just embrace spring because it is coming and will be here. So any more inaccurate data you be posting or are you going to just say telling you what the models arte saying I can not guarantee it is accurate. Again my spring stuff is based on forecasts and just looking outside each day. Yes accurate and scientific enough for me. Just like I said 25 other people in Hamlin pretty close to that as verified by Hamlin Plower.

    ReplyDelete
  25. Go to 13wham.com and 10nbc.com for your accuracy anon you are clueless and we are going to believe not one more of your posts.

    ReplyDelete
  26. Waiting for an apology anon 8:26? You said liar liar pants on fire and it hurts. My statements and posts are based on strong research based, scientific and respect based knowledge.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If by "strong research based, scientific and respect based knowledge" you mean "lies and delusions" then I believe you. Still waiting for updates on your flower garden, it should be in full bloom by now correct?

      Delete
  27. It also snowed a lot in Kendal this past week, so we should add there 15 residents to our 30 giving a total of 45 people enjoying the winter, better than nobody.

    BTW, it is more difficult to plow Hamlin roads seeing as how our horses tire out faster when the snow is so deep.

    ReplyDelete
  28. I used to enjoy coming on here and reading what everyone thinks is gonna happen. I even amazed a few friends when I told them "my" well actually your forcasts, but this bickering about early spring and talking about each others mothers and crap...it gets old. I say we get back to talking about weather...if it gets cold is it going to be in the single digits again...I sure as hell hope not...I dont mind 20s, but single digits and zeros are way too cold for me

    ReplyDelete
  29. Holy shit! You guys are very very tiring!! Like I said before, this blog is like the kids of ICarly! I came back for a second look and it is the same as it was a few months ago....yawn....

    ReplyDelete
  30. I got a lot of snow here in Ontario.... and someone said earlier this week that "you and your 24 friends up there will get all of the snow" so we have to add 25 people to that 45 total to bring it to 70 people got a lot of snow

    ReplyDelete
  31. It looks like some BIG lake effect could hit areas East of both lakes Wednesday through the weekend on a prevailing West wind. This would leave Buffalo, Rochester and Syracuse as spectators again but it will be interesting to see how much they get. They could be measuring in feet again.

    ReplyDelete
  32. Looks all quiet on the blog must be nothing on the horizon in the way of storms. Do see Macedon has weighed in and already declaring where the LES may be going?

    ReplyDelete
  33. Any lake effect that develops late next week is currently being forecasted to INITIALLY occur on a westerly flow, before the wind veers more northwesterly later on.

    http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BUF&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

    "EARLY INDICATIONS FROM BOTH THE GFS/ECMWF SUGGEST THAT THE LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY MAY DEVELOP IN A WESTERLY FLOW REGIME LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY...THEN GRADUALLY INTENSIFY OVER TIME AS AN INITIALLY DRY AIRMASS MOISTENS IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING SECONDARY SURFACE TROUGH. BOTH GUIDANCE PACKAGES ARE THEN IN ROUGH AGREEMENT ON THIS TROUGH PUSHING THROUGH THE REGION SOMETIME BETWEEN THURSDAY NIGHT AND THE FIRST PART OF FRIDAY...WITH THE PREVAILING LOW LEVEL FLOW GOING MORE NORTHWESTERLY FOLLOWING ITS PASSAGE."

    Since this appears to be a shorter duration potential than this past event, I doubt anyone will see the kind of totals that occurred last week.

    ReplyDelete
  34. Nothing big coming except warm temperatures with that early spring next week. No big storms on the horizon and the lake effect will be minimal at best. We are heading as I think I have stated to an early spring with winter snow totals around the same as last year. It is hard to deny this eventhough yesterday anon tried to dispute the temps I said and called me a liar. Have not heard him apologize for that?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous December 31, 2012 at 1:05 PM

      "Weather going back to last year. Warm-up coming and think that will be the pattern rest of winter. We had our one storm for the winter. It will be like last winter from here on."

      Anonymous January 2, 2013 at 7:52 AM

      "Can you say warm spell? Just as I predicted the winter is over and we had our one storm!"

      Anonymous January 6, 2013 at 10:39 AM

      "Winter is over it is going to get warm and stay above average. Yeah for that! Our channel 10 over the top people have it getting brutally cold in 10 days. Some of the coldest air we have seen in a long time according to the world is ending forecasters. We will be above average temps rest of winter with no mare that 30 inches of snowfall the rest of the winter. Mark it down! Also mark down the stupid troll comments will start coming again."

      Anonymous January 8, 2013 at 12:22 PM

      "Get the sun tan lotion out. Latest data suggests no cold air surprise until February. Then guess what it will get pushed back again on and on we go. Give it up people."

      So tell me, how has that early spring been working out for you? Yes I am enough of a loser to read through past threads to prove a point, thanks for asking. Oh also Stacey just posted on Twitter about highs near 50 on TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY. No mention of Thursday.

      Delete
  35. I have to be honest I did hear that March and April are going to warm with little snow. I heard this on the radio but I am not sure of the source. They said february will be up and down with again, not alot of snow. Again, I do not know the source so take it with a grain of salt. I hope it is not true because we will end up the year with mess snowfall than last. ONly 30" so far whihc is about 20" below normal. We are also 1.6" below normal in rainfall.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Any forecast that tries to predict one month from now shouldn't be taken seriously, regardless of the source. March/April may end up warmer, but that can't be reliably predicted from this range. I'd wager that this radio source used the CFSv2 as the basis for their thinking, since it shows a warmer March/April. That model tried to give us a cold December from a month out, proof enough that it can't be taken with more than a grain of salt. As for February, the last run of the Euro weekly has a cold first half followed by a more seasonable second half. It's definitely worth noting that the Euro weekly hasn't performed very well this season. Three weeks ago it actually pegged this past week with above normal temperatures, and we all saw how that panned out.

      We shall see what transpires. One can only hope the February/March period decides to deliver on snow.

      Delete
    2. Interesting that accuweather long range has 11 inches of snow falling on February 4th. Now I'm not putting any stock in that, but where is that coming from?

      Delete
    3. Accuweather's local forecasts are computer generated based on the output from the GFS model which, like every operational model has its difficulty in the longer range. This is only true for the first 15 days of the forecast, the last 10 days are probably based around the output from the Euro weekly, but I don't know that for sure.

      Delete
  36. The end of next week into following week will be snowy for some. Lake effect and clippers are NOT A JOKE for all locations. Everyone is waiting for the BIG STORM to happen. I am happy with LES and clippers.

    Anonymous, I have put the notice out to our 30 residents this morning, EXPECT SNOW END OF NEXT WEEK AND INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEK, ALSO COLDER THAN AVERAGE TEMPS AFTER THIS WEDNESDAY.

    ReplyDelete
  37. NWS new forecast doesn't look too bad, considering the time of year. 50+ Tues and Wed., colder Thurs. thru Sat., then above freezing again by next Sunday. Could be a lot worse.

    ReplyDelete
  38. Hamlin thank you for alerting those other 30 besides yourself. You guys will be only people getting any snow. The rest of us will be enjoying that early spring. Really why are people so angry because they are not going to get any big snow storms the rest of the winter? They should have got use to that last winter. It is over and time is running out. February is upon us and no matter how much the snow mongers want to think the big one is coming, it is not. The models show nothing in the next 10 to 14 days. March by all accounts and weather experts think will be much warmer than normal. April never delivers a big one so major snow stroms are history move on and enjoy the early spring. Get the patio furniture out and grill. Have a steak, relax, you can not prevent the inevitable this winter will be less snow than last. Hop on the spring band wagon with me and let Hamlin and his 30 residents enjoy the lake effect because that will be coming next. We will hear about the possibility of signifigant lake effect snow and try to get all excited when really only 31 people will be impacted.This will allow more OT for Hamlin and of course that enjoyment of snow he speaks about. Heck Ginger has woke up and even sold her snowmobiles (smart Ginger)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous December 31, 2012 at 1:05 PM

      "Weather going back to last year. Warm-up coming and think that will be the pattern rest of winter. We had our one storm for the winter. It will be like last winter from here on."

      Anonymous January 2, 2013 at 7:52 AM

      "Can you say warm spell? Just as I predicted the winter is over and we had our one storm!"

      Anonymous January 6, 2013 at 10:39 AM

      "Winter is over it is going to get warm and stay above average. Yeah for that! Our channel 10 over the top people have it getting brutally cold in 10 days. Some of the coldest air we have seen in a long time according to the world is ending forecasters. We will be above average temps rest of winter with no mare that 30 inches of snowfall the rest of the winter. Mark it down! Also mark down the stupid troll comments will start coming again."

      Anonymous January 8, 2013 at 12:22 PM

      "Get the sun tan lotion out. Latest data suggests no cold air surprise until February. Then guess what it will get pushed back again on and on we go. Give it up people."

      http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BUF&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

      "FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE MIDWEEK COLD FRONT...THE MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE REMAINS IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT THAT BROAD UPPER TROUGHING WILL BECOME RE-ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES TUMBLING BACK TO WELL BELOW AVERAGE AS PROGRESSIVELY COLDER AIR FLOODS EAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES."

      Spring is always a week away isn't it...

      Delete
    2. I don't even feel bad about selling that snowmobile. I look out my window and only see a thin layer on the ground which will be gone in a couple of days. Sure we will get colder, but I do not sit in a lake effect area. Time is running out for that big snowstorm. IF we ever get another one this season, I have some nice commercial grade snow tubes to enjoy now. At least with those I am not wasting thousands of dollars on to just sit there, doesn't make me feel as stressed!

      Delete
  39. Winter Weather Advisory for 1-3 inches of snow and sleet, up to a tenth of an inch of ice.

    http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NYZ003&warncounty=NYC055&firewxzone=NYZ003&local_place1=&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory

    Now what's this talk about spring?

    ReplyDelete
  40. Looks like another high wind event to me on Tuesday/Wednesday. The next cold shot doesn't look nearly as cold as the last one thankfully. It's still going to be cold.. just not as intense. Let's watch that clipper for next weekend.. and I think the period between February 5th - 10th might be pretty active.

    IF we don't get any blocking I think late February into March could be pretty warm. If it isn't going to snow that doesn't bother me at all.

    ReplyDelete
  41. Looks like quite the messy day tomorrow - should be fun.

    ReplyDelete
  42. Wow WWA for 1-3 inches of snow! We are in business now. This winter is back. What are the temperatures expected to be Tues/Wed?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. What are the temperatures expected to be after that? Exactly, now shut yer trap.

      Delete
  43. Have to admit really missed the forecast Friday and of course it was pointed out by anonymous. It was way off for sure sorry. No one knows how the LES will set up. I do agree with an earlier post the 5th-7th time frame should be watched. Will get colder starting Thursday for an extended period. It certainly will not be spring but whatever.

    ReplyDelete
  44. The fact is that we will end January well below normal in snowfall with only a little lake effect after that and no storms. Where are the storms???? Tne last one we had was just before Christmas.

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  45. Not many coming to the east coast at all lately. I do not see any big ones in the near future either. It is really quiet. I thought the MJO was heading to a favorable phase for storm potential? Not sure I am not an expert.

    ReplyDelete
  46. Don't know what is more annoying. The springtime troll, people that acknowledge him or Cuomo/Obama. Looking forward to a messy morning (hopefully).

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  47. Cuomo/Obama are worse, much much much much much much much much much worse..

    ReplyDelete
  48. Let's take care to not turn this into a discussion about politics. The weather might be boring right now but that's no excuse to stray too far off topic.

    The second week of February looks like it may have more storm potential than what we've seen lately.

    ReplyDelete
  49. Stupid Democrats!

    ReplyDelete
  50. Please do not take offense to whoever said the second half of February looks stormy. When we were in December I heard the 1st half of January looks stormy. It never happend. Then I heard that the 2nd half of January looks to get stormy. It never happend. A few weeks ago I heard that it looks to get stormy at the end of January into February. It still has not happen. Now I hear that the second half of February looks to get stormy. Give it up. We are in a none stormy pattern this winter and it will not change until spring comes and then it will be rain.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I said 2nd week of February. I don't take offense because I have no control over it. If I'm wrong... I'm wrong.

      Delete
  51. You are right and that was not even troll anon. They keep syaing/hoping it will get stormy and it never happens. Hello 60s on Wednesday. Get ready for the early spring and then you can enjoy the outdoors. No stroms in sight any month.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I'm not a fan of stroms. Hurry and eat your Lucky Charms before you miss the bus.

      Delete
  52. What happened to all that potential "Big" lake effect talk for the end of the week? I do not see it you are all fighting the coming spring.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The National Weather Service is still talking about it.. though I suspect it will be for East of here.

      "AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF ANOTHER
      ROUND OF POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS DOWNWIND OF THE
      LAKES."

      You have single handedly ruined this blog btw.

      Delete
  53. The blog can be saved if everyone stops responding to the spring comments and just sticks with discussing real weather. If someone is trying to stir up trouble just ignore them please, I used to enjoy reading the blog.
    Ray

    ReplyDelete
  54. Ray is right on the money. Stop feeding the trolls! Sadly this blog has become a disaster.

    Suggestion to Scott, block anonymous posters and/or publish IP address of each post.

    Andy

    ReplyDelete
  55. This winter just has been extremely disappointing for us winter lovers in terms of snow for all. Lake effect has been good to some but not the majority. I hate the cold weather particularly with no storms. It just kind of stinks because there does not look like potential for any event the next 2 weeks. But what can you do it is just disappointing because most felt we would have at least a few bigger synoptic snow storms this year. Looks like it may end up like last winter in terms of snow storms.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I agree 100% WE NEED GOOD OLD FASHIONED SNOW STORMS!!

      Delete
  56. Agreed Ray and Andy. It's hard to believe people are this incompetent when it comes to dealing with a troll. I still read the blog but it's more out of habit than anything else and it's much more discouraging than the weather has been. I hope the people who have been responding to him will figure it out sooner or later. I've got my fingers crossed for some LES in the near future.

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